Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 20 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Norfolk State’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Norfolk State’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 10:36 · Norfolk State tiedBrandyn Hillman intercepts Deljay Bailey and returns it 50 yardsNorfolk State at Virginia, week 2Q1, 10:36 · Norfolk State 0, Virginia 07Norfolk State’s turnover led to a touchdown7Norfolk State’s turnover led to a touchdownNorfolk State’s turnover led to a touchdownD.Bailey pass intercepted by B.Hillman at UVA13 B.Hillman return 50 yards to the NSU37 (D.Bailey)▶Watch from this play
Q3, 4:18 · Old Dominion up 7Quinn Henicle finds TJ Johnson for a 14-yard touchdownNorfolk State at Old Dominion, week 1Q3, 4:18 · Old Dominion 24, Norfolk State 1024-10score after the play24-10score after the playQ.Henicle pass complete short middle to T.Johnson caught at NSU06, for 14 yards to the NSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference
Q1, 7:39 · Virginia tiedBeau Pribula finds Jacquon Gibson for a 6-yard touchdownNorfolk State at Virginia, week 2Q1, 7:39 · Virginia 7, Norfolk State 0Virginia opened the scoringVirginia opened the scoringB. Pribula pass to J. Gibson for 6 yds, for a TD (W. Bettridge kick)▶Watch from this play
Q1, 5:57 · Norfolk State down 7Brandyn Hillman intercepts Deljay BaileyNorfolk State at Virginia, week 2Q1, 5:57 · Norfolk State 0, Virginia 77Norfolk State’s turnover led to a touchdown7Norfolk State’s turnover led to a touchdownNorfolk State’s turnover led to a touchdownD.Bailey pass intercepted by B.Hillman at NSU22, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
Q1, 5:30 · Virginia up 7Beau Pribula finds Dashawn Martin for a 27-yard touchdownNorfolk State at Virginia, week 2Q1, 5:30 · Virginia 14, Norfolk State 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playB. Pribula pass to D. Martin for 27 yds, for a TD (W. Bettridge kick)▶Watch from this play
Q1, 3:12 · Virginia up 14Beau Pribula finds Jacquon Gibson for a 30-yard touchdownNorfolk State at Virginia, week 2Q1, 3:12 · Virginia 21, Norfolk State 0Beau Pribula's third touchdown pass of the gameBeau Pribula's third touchdown pass of the gameB.Pribula pass complete short left to J.Gibson caught at NSU25, for 30 yards to the NSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Norfolk State University lost to Delaware State after being 98% to win; the closest win was at Chicago State, down to 19%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Norfolk State University during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Norfolk State University is worth +10.1 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs
0% at home, 0% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0-1 home, 0-12 away).
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Norfolk State University has beaten the number by 10.8 points less at home than away over 47 games. That is outside the ±8.1 that many games can resolve, so this is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.
William Dick"" Price Stadium"" seats 30,000 and has averaged 44% full (13,101, 12 games reported). Visitors cover a median 173 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 35 of 37 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Scheme claims
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Norfolk State University hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
7th percentile success on standard downs, 0th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
How much of Norfolk State University’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.01; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.01. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.15 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.