Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Northern Arizona’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Northern Arizona’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q2, 10:41 · Arizona up 7Noah Fifita finds Brandon Phelps for a 21-yard touchdownNorthern Arizona at Arizona, week 1Q2, 10:41 · Arizona 14, Northern Arizona 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playN.Fifita pass complete deep left to B.Phelps caught at NAU00, for 21 yards to the NAU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 11:32 · Arizona tiedNoah Fifita finds Tre Spivey for a 20-yard touchdownNorthern Arizona at Arizona, week 1Q1, 11:32 · Arizona 7, Northern Arizona 0Arizona opened the scoringArizona opened the scoringN.Fifita pass complete deep left to T.Spivey caught at NAU00, for 20 yards to the NAU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 6:51 · Northern Arizona down 7Chase Kennedy sacks Ty Pennington for a 2-yard lossNorthern Arizona at Arizona, week 1Q1, 6:51 · Northern Arizona 0, Arizona 70-7score after the play0-7score after the playT.Pennington sacked for loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ40 (C.Kennedy)▶Watch from this play- Q2, 10:33 · Northern Arizona down 14Chase Kennedy sacks Ty Pennington for a 15-yard lossNorthern Arizona at Arizona, week 1Q2, 10:33 · Northern Arizona 0, Arizona 140-14score after the play0-14score after the playT.Pennington sacked for loss of 15 yards to the NAU10 (C.Kennedy)▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 3:20 · Arizona up 14Kedrick Reescano runs 1 yard for a touchdownNorthern Arizona at Arizona, week 1Q2, 3:20 · Arizona 21, Northern Arizona 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playK.Reescano rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NAU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 5:01 · Arizona up 21Antwan Roberts runs 14 yards for a touchdownNorthern Arizona at Arizona, week 1Q3, 5:01 · Arizona 28, Northern Arizona 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playA.Roberts rush left for 14 yards gain to the NAU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Northern Arizona lost 2 of 9 games, none after a real lead; the closest win was against Eastern Washington, down to 6%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Northern Arizona during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Northern Arizona is worth +8.7 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 25% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (2-2 home, 3-9 away). Interval ±10.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Northern Arizona has beaten the number by +0.5 more at home than away over 53 games. That is inside the ±8.3 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Walkup Skydome seats 10,000 and has averaged 80% full (8,021, 15 games reported). Visitors cover a median 725 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 40 of 41 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Scheme claims
How much of Northern Arizona’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.18; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.08. The widest gap came in week 10: 0.18 raw vs. 0.08 adjusted.