Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
How scary each game got
Samford lost at UAB after being 63% to win; the closest win was against Wofford, down to 3%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Samford during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Samford is worth +19.5 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs
100% at home, 0% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-0 home, 0-11 away).
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Samford has beaten the number by 8.1 points less at home than away over 54 games. That is outside the ±8.1 that many games can resolve, so this is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.
Seibert Stadium seats 6,700 and has averaged 70% full (4,663, 15 games reported). Visitors cover a median 269 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 42 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Scheme claims
How much of Samford’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is −0.02; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.01. The widest gap came in week 5: 0.07 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.