Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 4 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Western Illinois’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Western Illinois’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 14:47 · Wisconsin tiedAbu Sama III runs 72 yards for a touchdownWestern Illinois at Wisconsin, week 2Q1, 14:47 · Wisconsin 7, Western Illinois 07272-yard touchdown run7272-yard touchdown run72-yard touchdown runA.Sama III rush middle for 72 yards gain to the WIL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 7:54 · Wisconsin up 10Carson Van Dinter returns a blocked punt 3 yards for a touchdownWestern Illinois at Wisconsin, week 2Q1, 7:54 · Wisconsin 17, Western Illinois 03Blocked punt returned for a touchdown3Blocked punt returned for a touchdownBlocked punt returned for a touchdownCarson Van Dinter 3 yd Return of Blocked Punt (Gavin Lahm Kick)▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 5:14 · Wisconsin up 21Colton Joseph finds Chris Brooks Jr. for a 33-yard touchdownWestern Illinois at Wisconsin, week 2Q4, 5:14 · Wisconsin 36, Western Illinois 9Chris Brooks Jr.'s first career receiving touchdownChris Brooks Jr.'s first career receiving touchdownC.Joseph pass complete short right to C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIL33, for 33 yards to the WIL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick no good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Western Illinois lost at North Alabama after being 92% to win; the closest win was against Tennessee State, down to 12%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Western Illinois during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Western Illinois is worth +3.1 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 30th percentile of 133 programs
0% at home, 7% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0-4 home, 1-13 away). Interval ±8.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Western Illinois has beaten the number by −1.0 more at home than away over 50 games. That is inside the ±9.9 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Hanson Field seats 16,368 and has averaged 16% full (2,612, 14 games reported). Visitors cover a median 301 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 40 of 41 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Scheme claims
How much of Western Illinois’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.16; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.06. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.42 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.