Butch Davis
Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 6-4
Miami’96W’98W’99W’00WNorth Carolina’08L’09L’10WFlorida International’17L’18W’19L
Show all 10 games
1996Carquest BowlW 31-21
1998MicronPC BowlW 46-23
1999Gator BowlW 28-13
2000Sugar BowlW 37-20
North Carolina
2008Meineke Car Care BowlL 30-31
2009Meineke Car Care BowlL 17-19
2010Music City BowlW 30-27
Florida International
2017Gasparilla BowlL 3-28
2018Bahamas BowlW 35-32
2019Camellia BowlL 26-34
Report card
Offense carries it: 44th percentile offense, bottom-quarter defense at 22nd.
Florida International, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
Pick a job to see its years on their own.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
2-10 against his rivals at Miami. Just 1-5 against Bobby Bowden.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-4 against his rivals at North Carolina. Winless in 4 tries against Tom O'Brien.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
Just 1-4 against Rick Stockstill.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
6-14 against his rivals. Just 2-8 against Frank Beamer.
Signature games
These losses tie at the model's current max -- an editorial pick among a real tie, not a clean ranking.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Passed more than the situation called for under Breiner.
3,573 run and pass snaps at Florida International, 2017–2021, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Five numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
His recruiting, really
His 4 ranked Florida International classes of his own have averaged #78 nationally — best #69, worst #88.
His class — he had the full signing cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2021 roster arrived on his watch — 109 of 110 players. The other 1 is a holdover from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 0% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2017–2021Counting players who have since left: 0% of the 36 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
This tenure spans the 2021 transfer-portal tracking floor: seasons before 2021 structurally cannot be classified portal-vs-not (they land in 'unknown' below), so the portal-share figure understates how many pre-2021 arrivals might have been transfers under the pre-portal-tracking transfer rules.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Florida International rosters have averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average (2017–2021). In the three seasons before he arrived, Florida International’s line averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 72 of 94 signees (77%) across his 2017–2021 tenure, drawn from 12 states in all. Next: TX (6).
81% of his signees come from FL and its 2 border states (GA 4).
Off this map: 9 signees to the west (TX 6, CO, others) and 4 to the north (MD, NJ, others).
- median hometown distance
- 174 mi
- within 100 mi
- 41%
- within 500 mi
- 78%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 12%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. Most were someone else’s recruits: 2 arrived under Ron Turner; 1 he brought in himself.
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R4.19 | James Morgan | Quarterback |  New York Jets | |
| 2020 | R7.07 | Stantley Thomas-Oliver III | Cornerback |  Carolina Panthers | recruited under Ron Turner |
| 2018 | R7.02 | Alex Mcgough | Quarterback |  Seattle Seahawks | recruited under Ron Turner |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Sustainer inherited a power and held it for five-plus elite seasons · Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
1st-best Florida International tenure of 6 by the numbers.
Followed Ron Turner (2013–2016) · succeeded by Mike MacIntyre (2022–2024).
| Season | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||
| Record | 8-5 | 9-4 | 6-7 | 0-5 | 1-11 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | W bowl | L bowl | — | — | |
| Coordinators | ||||||
| OC | Rich Skrosky | Rich Skrosky | Rich Skrosky | Rich Skrosky | Andrew Breiner | |
| DC | Brent Guy | Brent Guy | Jerod Kruse / Jeff Copp | Jerod Kruse / Jeff Copp | Everett Withers | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||
| Offense | 62 | 93 | 47 | 6 | 28 | |
| Defense | 10 | 31 | 51 | 60 | 3 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 40.5 | 37.9 | 38.6 | 37.9 | 41.2 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 40.2 | 28.8 | 39.2 | 45.0 | 46.9 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 24.3 | 40.5 | 31.8 | 30.0 | 12.1 | |
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
14th-best North Carolina tenure of 17 by the numbers.
Followed John Bunting (2001–2006) · succeeded by Everett Withers (2011).
| Season | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 4-8 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 8-5 | |
| Postseason | — | L bowl | L bowl | W bowl | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | 13 | 17 | 20 | 78 | |
| Defense | 39 | 28 | 95 | 72 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | 43.1 | 36.1 | 36.8 | 47.0 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 35.5 | 26.2 | 31.0 | 42.8 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 31.7 | 18.2 | 18.2 | 38.3 | |
18 NFL Draft picks: Kentwan Balmer (2008), Hilee Taylor (2008), Hakeem Nicks (2009), Richard Quinn (2009), Brandon Tate (2009), Garrett Reynolds (2009), Brooks Foster (2009), E.J. Wilson (2010) + 10 more
3rd-best Miami tenure of 20 by the numbers.
Followed Dennis Erickson (1989–1994) · succeeded by Larry Coker (2001–2006).
| Season | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||
| Record | 8-3 | 9-3 | 5-6 | 9-3 | 9-4 | 11-1 | |
| Postseason | — | W bowl | — | W bowl | W bowl | W bowl | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
25 NFL Draft picks: Yatil Green (1997), Kenard Lang (1997), Kenny Holmes (1997), Tremain Mack (1997), Marcus Wimberly (1997), Twan Russell (1997), Tony Gaiter (1997), Carlos Jones (1997) + 17 more
Was he good?
A mixed record — ahead of expectations by some measures here, behind by others. The honest read is that it depends which lens you use.
+7.2 pts at North Carolina · #307 of 1290 · top quarterModel fit as of 2026-09-04.