Todd Graham
Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 6-4
Rice’06LTulsa’07W’08W’10WArizona State’12W’13L’14W’15L’17LHawai'i’20W
Show all 10 games
2006New Orleans BowlL 17-41
Tulsa
2007GMAC BowlW 63-7
2008GMAC BowlW 45-13
2010Hawaii BowlW 62-35
Arizona State
2012Kraft Fight Hunger BowlW 62-28
2013Holiday BowlL 23-37
2014Sun BowlW 36-31
2015Cactus BowlL 42-43
2017Sun BowlL 31-52Hawai'i
2020New Mexico BowlW 28-14
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
Pick a job to see its years on their own.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
1-1 against his rivals at Rice.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
Just 1-2 against George O'Leary.
Signature games
These losses tie at the model's current max -- an editorial pick among a real tie, not a clean ranking.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0-1 against his rivals at Pittsburgh.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-2 against his rivals at Arizona State. Just 1-3 against David Shaw.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
1-1 against his rivals at Hawai'i.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
6-5 against his rivals. Just 1-3 against David Shaw.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Passed more than the situation called for under Kinne and Graham.
1,513 run and pass snaps at Hawai'i, 2020–2021, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Five numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
His recruiting, really
His one ranked Hawai'i class of his own finished #126 nationally.
His class — he had the full signing cycleTransition — he was hired mid-cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.
Followed him here
Rice→
Tulsa2007Tulsa→
Pittsburgh2011Pittsburgh→
Arizona State2012Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2021 roster arrived on his watch — 64 of 118 players. The other 54 are holdovers from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 11% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2020–2021Counting players who have since left: 11% of the 37 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
This tenure spans the 2021 transfer-portal tracking floor: seasons before 2021 structurally cannot be classified portal-vs-not (they land in 'unknown' below), so the portal-share figure understates how many pre-2021 arrivals might have been transfers under the pre-portal-tracking transfer rules.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Arizona State rosters have averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average (2012–2017). In the two seasons before he arrived, Arizona State’s line averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 13 of 35 signees (37%) across his 2020–2021 tenure, drawn from 8 states in all. Next: TX (9).
Off this map: 1 signee to the east (FL). 1 signee without a plottable hometown location not shown.
- median hometown distance
- 2,576 mi
- within 100 mi
- 38%
- within 500 mi
- 39%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 61%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
Followed Nick Rolovich (2016–2019) · succeeded by Timmy Chang (2022–now).
| Season | 2020 | 2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 5-4 | 6-7 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | GJ Kinne / Tony Hull | Bo Graham | |
| DC | Jacob Yoro / Victor Santa Cruz | Trent Figg | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 67 | 47 | |
| Defense | 37 | 77 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 46.9 | 43.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 41.9 | 49.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 20.0 | 24.3 | |
Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
6th-best Arizona State tenure of 19 by the numbers.
Followed Dennis Erickson (2007–2011) · succeeded by Herm Edwards (2018–2022).
| Season | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||
| Record | 8-5 | 10-4 | 10-3 | 6-7 | 5-7 | 7-6 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | L bowl | W bowl | L bowl | — | L bowl | |
| Coordinators | |||||||
| OC | — | — | Mike Norvell | Mike Norvell | Chip Lindsey | Billy Napier | |
| DC | — | — | Chris Ball / Keith Patterson | Chris Ball / Keith Patterson | Keith Patterson | Phil Bennett | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||
| Offense | 70 | 52 | 52 | 60 | 28 | 73 | |
| Defense | 85 | 22 | 79 | 13 | 7 | 24 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 38.5 | 45.1 | 42.4 | 41.6 | 39.8 | 39.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 40.1 | 41.3 | 44.1 | 49.7 | 27.0 | 33.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 26.8 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 22.4 | 26.3 | 31.9 | |
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
13 NFL Draft picks: Will Sutton (2014), Carl Bradford (2014), Marion Grice (2014), Damarious Randall (2015), Jaelen Strong (2015), Jamil Douglas (2015), Marcus Hardison (2015), Christian Westerman (2016) + 5 more
Followed Dave Wannstedt (2005–2010) · succeeded by Paul Chryst (2012–2014).
14th-best Tulsa tenure of 22 by the numbers.
Followed Steve Kragthorpe (2003–2006) · succeeded by Bill Blankenship (2011–2014).
| Season | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 10-4 | 11-3 | 5-7 | 10-3 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | W bowl | — | W bowl | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | 99 | 95 | 35 | 91 | |
| Defense | 95 | 71 | 71 | 35 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | 38.8 | 26.6 | 40.1 | 39.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 42.6 | 30.7 | 43.8 | 42.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 47.8 | 43.8 | 33.3 | 16.2 | |
2 NFL Draft picks: Chris Chamberlain (2008), Charles Clay (2011)
Followed Ken Hatfield (1994–2005) · succeeded by David Bailiff (2007–2017).
All-time wins
Wins at programs this site tracks, 1936–present — one consistent count for every coach, not each program’s own historically reported total.
3rd all-time at Arizona State
Was he good?
A mixed record — ahead of expectations by some measures here, behind by others. The honest read is that it depends which lens you use.
+9.4 pts at Tulsa · #233 of 1290 · top quarterModel fit as of 2026-09-04.