Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 7-6
Ole Miss’97WAuburn’00L’01L’02W’03W’04W’05L’06W’07WTexas Tech’10WCincinnati’13L’14L’15L
Show all 13 games
2000Florida Citrus BowlL 28-31
2001Peach BowlL 10-16
2002Capital One BowlW 13-9
2003Music City BowlW 28-14
2004Sugar BowlW 16-13
2005Capital One BowlL 10-24
2006Cotton BowlW 17-14
2007Chick-fil-A BowlW 23-20
2010TicketCity BowlW 45-38
2013Belk BowlL 17-39
2014Military BowlL 17-33
2015Hawaii BowlL 7-42Report card
Offense carries it: 76th percentile offense, below the median defense at 47th.
Cincinnati, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
Pick a job to see its years on their own.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-3 against his rivals at Ole Miss. Winless in 3 tries against Terry Bowden.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
12-8 against his rivals at Auburn. Just 1-3 against Les Miles.
Signature games






Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
1-8 against his rivals at Texas Tech. Winless in 3 tries against Mack Brown.
Signature games






These losses tie at the model's current max -- an editorial pick among a real tie, not a clean ranking.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-1 against his rivals at Cincinnati. Just 1-3 against Willie Taggart.
Signature games






Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
21-20 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Mack Brown.
Signature games






These losses tie at the model's current max -- an editorial pick among a real tie, not a clean ranking.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Passed more than the situation called for under Gran and Taylor.
3,266 run and pass snaps at Cincinnati, 2013–2016, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Five numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
Followed him here
Ole Miss→
Auburn1999
Texas Tech→
Cincinnati2013Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2016 roster arrived on his watch — 95 of 103 players. The other 8 are holdovers from before he was hired.
This coach's entire tenure (2013-2016) predates 2021, when transfer-portal tracking begins in this database. Portal usage cannot be measured for this tenure at all -- this is not the same as '0% portal'.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Cincinnati rosters have averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average (2013–2016). In the three seasons before he arrived, Cincinnati’s line averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 23 of 82 signees (28%) across his 2013–2016 tenure, drawn from 17 states in all. Next: OH (15).
40% of his signees come from FL and its 2 border states (GA 7, AL 3).
Off this map: 8 signees to the west (CA 7, NV).
- median hometown distance
- 250 mi
- within 100 mi
- 31%
- within 500 mi
- 74%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 3%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. Most were someone else’s recruits: 2 arrived under Butch Jones; 1 he brought in himself.
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | R6.03 | Mike Tyson | Safety | Seattle Seahawks | |
| 2016 | R4.07 | Parker Ehinger | Offensive Guard | Kansas City Chiefs | recruited under Butch Jones |
| 2016 | R4.09 | Chris Moore | Wide Receiver | Baltimore Ravens | recruited under Butch Jones |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
5th-best Cincinnati tenure of 19 by the numbers.
Followed Butch Jones (2010–2012) · succeeded by Luke Fickell (2017–2022).
| Season | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 9-4 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 4-8 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | L bowl | L bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||||
| OC | — | Eddie Gran | Eddie Gran | Zac Taylor | |
| DC | — | Robert Prunty / Hank Hughes | Robert Prunty / Steve Clinkscale | Robert Prunty | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | 68 | 89 | 69 | 10 | |
| Defense | 42 | 40 | 29 | 69 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | 41.8 | 44.5 | 49.9 | 47.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 26.4 | 42.6 | 39.7 | 52.4 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 25.0 | 24.4 | 15.2 | 25.5 | |
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
4th-best Texas Tech tenure of 15 by the numbers.
Followed Mike Leach (2000–2009) · succeeded by Kliff Kingsbury (2013–2018).
| Season | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||
| Record | 8-5 | 5-7 | 7-5 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | — | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||
| Offense | 75 | 67 | 98 | |
| Defense | 30 | 8 | 40 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||
| 1st-down pass% | 58.4 | 59.4 | 65.2 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 54.7 | 46.8 | 62.2 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 39.0 | 36.1 | 33.3 | |
1 NFL Draft pick: Baron Batch (2011)
5th-best Auburn tenure of 16 by the numbers.
Followed Terry Bowden (1993–1998) · succeeded by Gene Chizik (2009–2012).
| Season | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||||||
| Record | 5-6 | 9-4 | 7-5 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 13-0 | 9-3 | 11-2 | 9-4 | 5-7 | |
| Postseason | — | L bowl | L bowl | W bowl | W bowl | W bowl | L bowl | W bowl | W bowl | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | — | 95 | 68 | 56 | 52 | 20 | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | — | 89 | 21 | 63 | 90 | 84 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | — | 29.6 | 37.4 | 33.2 | 26.2 | 33.3 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | — | 30.9 | 39.8 | 35.1 | 29.4 | 31.9 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | — | 47.6 | 25.7 | 23.1 | 25.0 | 17.1 | |
36 NFL Draft picks: Marcus Washington (2000), Leonardo Carson (2000), Quinton Reese (2000), Jeno James (2000), Heath Evans (2001), Rudi Johnson (2001), Alex Lincoln (2001), Kendall Simmons (2002) + 28 more
14th-best Ole Miss tenure of 17 by the numbers.
Followed Joe Lee Dunn (1994) · succeeded by David Cutcliffe (1998–2004).
| Season | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 6-5 | 5-6 | 8-4 | 6-5 | |
| Postseason | — | — | W bowl | W bowl | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | |
3 NFL Draft picks: Kris Mangum (1997), John Avery (1998), Nate Wayne (1998)
All-time wins
Wins at programs this site tracks, 1936–present — one consistent count for every coach, not each program’s own historically reported total.
3rd all-time at Auburn
Was he good?
The data leans positive, where the data can separate from zero: every conclusive reading points the same way.
+7.2 pts at Auburn · #307 of 1290 · top quarterModel fit as of 2026-09-04.

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