cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Anthony Dunn /Toledo

Anthony Dunn

DE · Toledo · Sr · #58

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

32 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Toledo for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Toledo for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · Toledo

Returning around him

  • 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Toledo players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -5 net (33 in / 38 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Toledo · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #75 · 2026 recruiting class #73

DE · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN

Anthony Dunn

  • 4
  • #58
  • 6-4 | 262 lb
  • Sanford, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

67

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5809

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Toledo
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class4
Jersey58
Measurements6-4 | 262 lb
HometownSanford, FL
Primary teamToledo

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5809Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6793Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Anthony Dunn

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Anthony Dunn

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
32Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Final
32Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Anthony Dunn is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Toledo's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #5809 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.0 sacks | 3.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 32 16 solo | #1250/4942 (75th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
32 75th
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
6 94th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 16-24@ Kentucky310.00.01Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 2W 45-21vs Western Kentucky520.00.00
Wk 3W 60-0vs Morgan State210.00.00
Wk 4L 13-14@ Western Michigan310.00.00
Wk 5W 45-3vs Akron111.00.00
Wk 7L 23-28@ Bowling Green110.00.00
Wk 8W 45-10vs Kent State220.00.00
Wk 9L 7-28@ Washington State000.00.00
Wk 11W 42-3vs Northern Illinois421.01.00
Wk 12W 24-3@ Miami (OH)221.01.00
Wk 13W 38-9vs Ball State220.00.00
Wk 14W 21-3@ Central Michigan100.00.00
BowlL 22-27@ Louisville610.00.00
Total32163.02.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Balanced
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Toledo32163.02.01----
2024Toledo25127.04.0------
Career2 loaded seasons572810.06.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 6 Quarterback hurries | #117/1878 (94th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 32 #1250/4942 75th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 6 #117/1878 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 16 #1348/4584 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.70.30.20.0
Road7g2.30.10.10.1

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g2.40.40.20.0
Losses5g2.60.00.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.00.10.00.1
Weeks 8+6g1.80.30.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

67Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (94th).

QB hurries#117 / 2975 · 95th pct
6defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Tackles#1250 / 2975 · 57th pct
32defe
Solo tackles#1348 / 2975 · 53rd pct
16defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Anthony DunnToledoRay ConeyTulsa· 72% simTreylin PayneTexas State· 72% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 72% sim
QB hurries
95
Dunn
88
Coney
82
Payne
95
Fields
Sacks
80
Dunn
80
Coney
80
Payne
63
Fields
Tackles for loss
63
Dunn
90
Coney
87
Payne
87
Fields
Tackles
57
Dunn
100
Coney
98
Payne
98
Fields
Solo tackles
53
Dunn
93
Coney
95
Payne
96
Fields
Passes defended
48
Dunn
67
Coney
67
Payne
67
Fields

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Joey Petersen’s 2022 season.

Joey Petersen

89%match

Iowa State · 2022

#2

Sekai Asoau-Afoa

Washington · 2023

89%
#3

Jireh Ojata

Purdue · 2024

86%
#4

Jack Pyburn

LSU · 2025

85%
#5

Sylvain Yondjouen

Georgia Tech · 2021

84%

Matches Joey on

TFL rate
Sack rate
Weight

Differs from Joey on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kendron Wayman's junior season at Wake Forest (2023).

Kendron Wayman

90%match

Wake Forest · 2023

#2

Mikah Coleman

Cincinnati · 2025

89%
#3

Deontae Craig

Iowa · 2023

87%
#4

Michael Williams II

South Florida · 2025

85%
#5

Okiki Olorunfunmi

New Mexico · 2025

84%

Matches Kendron on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jason Candle

Pass share

45.9%

397 pass / 467 run

Plays / game

66.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo

Played his entire career under Jason Candle.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSanford, FL
Height6'4"
Weight262 lb
Class4
PositionDE
Jersey58

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Toledo DE4 #5809 #6793 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Toledo Mid-American DE 4 No. 58 | 6-4 | 262 lb | Sanford, FL
2024 Toledo Mid-American DE 4 No. 58 | 6-4 | 262 lb | Sanford, FL