cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bobby Crosby /Texas State

Bobby Crosby

S · Texas State · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

59 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Texas State)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Texas State
DestinationTBD

S · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT

Bobby Crosby

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-2 | 190 lb
  • Fort Lauderdale, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

63

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12603

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Texas State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-2 | 190 lb
HometownFort Lauderdale, FL
Primary teamTexas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Texas State -> -- 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12603Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12442Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bobby Crosby

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bobby Crosby

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
59Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
70Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
2.4Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 59): needs 10.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 59): needs 20.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bobby Crosby is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas State's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12603 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.0 sacks | 3.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 59 38 solo | #413/4942 (92nd pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
59 92nd
SOLO
38 94th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
2.0 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan550.00.01
Wk 2W 43-36@ UTSA650.00.01
Wk 3L 15-34@ Arizona State110.00.00
Wk 4W 35-3vs Nicholls330.00.00
Wk 6L 30-31@ Arkansas State661.01.00
Wk 7L 41-48vs Troy541.00.00
Wk 8L 37-40@ Marshall1130.00.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 11L 39-42@ Louisiana830.00.010
Wk 12W 41-14@ Southern Miss510.00.00
Wk 13W 31-14vs UL Monroe541.01.00
Wk 14W 49-26vs South Alabama430.00.01
Total59383.02.013
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Texas State59383.02.031--
2023Texas State1790.00.0--1--
Career2 loaded seasons76473.02.032--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 59 #413/4942 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 38 #271/4584 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.40.40.20.4
Road6g6.20.20.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g4.70.20.20.5
Losses5g6.20.40.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.30.30.20.3
Weeks 8+5g6.60.20.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

63Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (90th). Strength: tackles (85th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#271 / 2975 · 90th pct
38defe
Tackles#413 / 2975 · 86th pct
59defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Bobby CrosbyTexas StateBrevin HamblinUtah State· 90% simOwen LongColorado State· 89% simNick AndersenWake Forest· 85% sim
Solo tackles
90
Crosby
99
Hamblin
99
Long
96
Andersen
Tackles
86
Crosby
99
Hamblin
100
Long
99
Andersen
Sacks
80
Crosby
74
Hamblin
80
Long
74
Andersen
Passes defended
78
Crosby
98
Hamblin
91
Long
96
Andersen
Tackles for loss
63
Crosby
56
Hamblin
80
Long
90
Andersen
Interceptions
31
Crosby
31
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
Crosby
22
Hamblin
22
Long
22
Andersen

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dru Polidore’s 2025 season.

Dru Polidore

88%match

California · 2025

#2

Caleb Wooden

Arkansas · 2025

82%
#3

Jay Ward

LSU · 2022

NFL Rd 4
84%
#4

Lee Molette III

UConn · 2025

83%
#5

Major Burns

LSU · 2024

80%

Matches Dru on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jayden Johnson's junior season at Arkansas (2023).

Jayden Johnson

91%match

Arkansas · 2023

#2

Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren

Toledo · 2024

All-MACNFL Rd 2 · Pk 26
90%
#3

Jamal Potts

Florida International · 2023

87%
#4

Alijah Clark

Syracuse · 2023

87%
#5

Giovanni Biggers

North Carolina · 2022

85%

Matches Jayden on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

G.J. Kinne

Pass share

39.5%

358 pass / 549 run

Plays / game

69.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State

Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Lauderdale, FL
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas State S4 #12603 #12442 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Texas State S4 #13161 #12977 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas State Sun Belt S 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL
2024 Texas State Sun Belt S 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL
2023 Texas State Sun Belt S 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL