CFB Zeitgeist RB Score
Awaiting
Brad Roberts
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
RB · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Brad Roberts
- 4
- #20
- 5-11 | 215 lb
- Arvada, CO
Heisman Heat
#150
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR02 · Deep reserve
Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
★
2021
Air Force · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2022
Air Force · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2022+27%
Up 27% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
Air Force
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2-star | 0.7800 | No. 3231 recruit | HighSchool | Air Force |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to Air Force
Composite
0.7800
#3231 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Brad Roberts
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Brad Roberts
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Brad Roberts already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2022 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2022 season snapshot | final
2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse against FBS RB peers.
2022 Season · Final
2022 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
345 100th
YDS
1,728 100th
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
17 100th
Receiving
REC
1 16th
YDS
9 16th
YPR
9.0 71st
TD
0 70th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Air Force9-3HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2022Air Force10-3HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1,728 | #1/735 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 17 | #4/739 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #280/735 | 62nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 1 | #467/552 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 9 | #460/548 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.25 | #23/362 | 94th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 277 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 31.7% | #8/738 | 99th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 345 | #1/739 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 71 | #58/733 | 92nd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 9 | #425/540 | 21st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.0 | #159/548 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 37.6% | #7/738 | 99th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 37.0% | #6/738 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 36.4% | #81/738 | 89th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 32.7% | #10/738 | 99th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 21.4% | #20/738 | 97th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 16.9% | #42/738 | 94th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 0.8% | #526/738 | 29th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2022
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Troy Calhoun
Pass share
20.0%
163 pass / 650 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.6%
151 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022
1 coach2021
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
2022
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownArvada, CO
Height5'11"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey20
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAir Force
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2022
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2022)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Air Force | Mountain West | RB |
| 2021 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Air Force | Mountain West | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.