#20

Brad Roberts

Senior running back for Air Force. 2022: 1,728 rushing yards, 17 rushing TD, 1 catch.

RB · Air Force · Sr. · #20

5′11″ · 215 lb · Arvada, CO

CFB Index 77 · #24 of 317 RBsHigh confidenceAll-Conf 1st teamAir Force 2022 alumnus

Recruiting

2★

RB recruit

No. 3231 nationally · Signed with Air Force

Statement game24 car · 174 yds · 3 TDvs Colorado (FBS) · W 41-10

Top 1% rushing yards game since 2021.

Brad Roberts for Heismanr/CFB game thread · ▲ 3His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 running back for Air Force. 2022: 1,728 rushing yards, 17 rushing TD, 1 catch.

Signed as a 2-star recruit to Air Force in 2019.
Named Mountain West Offensive Player of the Year in 2022.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Three seasons at Air Force, 3,545 rushing yards, a first-team All-Conference season (2021) — his college career is complete.

His career

He was winning awards before he was old enough to be a story.

2019

Signed with Air Force2-star out of Ralston Valley

202112 games

All-Mountain Westfirst

202213 games

All-Mountain Westfirst
Mountain West Offensive Player of the Yearwinner

Career arc

Recruit

★★

#3231 national

CFB

College

Air Force

2020–2022

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Trophy case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

9 honors · 1 category

🥈

ALL-MOUNTAIN WEST · 1ST TEAM

All-Mountain West 1st team (2022)

Coaching lineage · 2020–2022

1 coach

2020–2022

Troy Calhoun

Air Force

Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.

2022 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

3 seasons under Troy Calhoun — 23-9 over that span.

2020Air Force3-3HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2021Air Force10-3HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy, fast tempo

2022Air Force10-3HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

77All-Conference level #24 of 317?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (100th percentile). Strength: carries (100th percentile). Concern: explosive rate (23rd percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Success rate#189 / 398 · 53rd pct

45.6%

TD rate#199 / 398 · 50th pct

4.5%

EPA / carry#218 / 398 · 45th pct

0.14

Yards / carry#243 / 398 · 39th pct

4.9

Explosive rate#307 / 398 · 23rd pct

4.2%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#1 / 346 · 100th pct

1728

Carries#1 / 346 · 100th pct

345

Rush TDs#8 / 346 · 98th pct

Long run#47 / 346 · 86th pct

Yards / carry#149 / 346 · 55th pct

5.0

Fumbles lost#61 / 244 · 48th pct

Rec yards#323 / 338 · 5th pct

Receptions#325 / 338 · 2nd pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / carry

47th → 45th percentile

Success rate

49th → 53rd percentile

Explosive rate

21st → 23rd percentile

Yards / carry

28th → 39th percentile

TD rate

50th → 50th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2022 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Home8g	134	6.2	1.4
Road5g	131	4.5	1.2

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-78g	121	6.1	1.8
Weeks 8+5g	152	4.7	0.6

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Troy Calhoun

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2022

All-Conference 1st team

First team in his league at the position.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

77 · #24 of 317 RBs

Two-star recruit. Now #24 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2022	Air Force	345	1,728	5.0	17	--
2021	Air Force	299	1,356	4.5	13	--
2020	Air Force	64	461	7.2	5	--
Career		708	3,545	5.0	35	--

Season	Team
2022	Air Force	1	9	9.0	0	--
2021	Air Force	--	--	--	--	--
2020	Air Force	--	--	--	--	--
Career		1	9	9.0	0	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 17 · 2022

W 30–15

vs Baylor

116 rush yds (37 car) · 2 TD

With H. Daniels — 103 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · 81 rush yds (15 car) · 1 TD · A. Terry — 1 rec · 68 yds

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 1 · Northern Iowa · 2&6 · Q3 · EPA +6.19Brad Roberts 71 Yd Run (Matthew Dapore Kick)
Week 13 · San Diego State · 4&1 · Q2 · EPA -4.20Brad Roberts run for no gain to the SDSt 2
Week 1 · Baylor · 4&1 · Q4 · EPA -3.87Brad Roberts run for no gain to the Bayl 15
Week 13 · San Diego State · 2&4 · Q1 · EPA +3.69Brad Roberts run for 63 yds to the SDSt 6 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Colorado · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.54B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for 46 yards. B.Roberts for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Week 12 · Colorado State · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.94Brad Roberts run for 34 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)
Week 1 · Baylor · 4&2 · Q4 · EPA -2.85Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the Bayl 29
Week 4 · Nevada · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.74Brad Roberts run for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)
Week 2 · Colorado · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.62B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for 20 yards. B.Roberts for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Week 13 · San Diego State · 3&1 · Q4 · EPA +2.56Brad Roberts run for 22 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2022 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 48-17vs Northern Iowa	8	114	14.3	1	71
Wk 2	W 41-10vs Colorado	24	174	7.3	3	46	3 rushing TDs
Wk 3	L 14-17@ Wyoming	16	54	3.4	0	7
Wk 4	W 48-20vs Nevada	20	123	6.2	3	27	3 rushing TDs
Wk 5	W 13-10vs Navy	23	108	4.7	0	24
Wk 6	L 27-34@ Utah State	29	136	4.7	1	30
Wk 7	W 42-7@ UNLV	29	144	5.0	4	9	4 rushing TDs
Wk 8	L 14-19vs Boise State	25	90	3.6	1	7
Wk 10	W 13-7@ Army	33	135	4.1	0	15
Wk 11	W 35-3vs New Mexico	29	163	5.6	0	15	163-yard day
Wk 12	W 24-12vs Colorado State	37	184	5.0	1	34	184-yard day
Wk 13	W 13-3@ San Diego State	35	187	5.3	1	63	Season-high 187 yds
Bowl	W 30-15vs Baylor	37	116	3.1	2	11
Total		345	1728	5.6	17	71