cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brady Lichtenberg /Cincinnati

Brady Lichtenberg

QB · Cincinnati · Sr · #16

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

134 PASS YDS · 2 PASS TD · 21 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Cincinnati for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Cincinnati for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Cincinnati

Returning around him

  • 79% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 4 Cincinnati players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (22 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Cincinnati · Last season: 7-6 (AP #22) · Talent rank #73 · 2026 recruiting class #61

QB · CINCINNATI · BIG 12

Brady Lichtenberg

  • 4
  • #16
  • 6-1 | 200 lb
  • Toledo, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

37

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#572

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
2522023
25.02024
1342025

-47%

Sharp dropoff (-47%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1227 national
CFB
College
Cincinnati
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey16
Measurements6-1 | 200 lb
HometownToledo, OH
Primary teamCincinnati

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1227 recruit
Composite rating 0.8489 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin St. John's Jesuit Toledo, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8489 No. 1227 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#572Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#493Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8489

#1227 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brady Lichtenberg

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brady Lichtenberg

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
134Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
44.7Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
580.7Pass yards
9Pass TDs
4INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 134): needs 286.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 134): needs 386.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.3/game over remaining 10.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.3/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brady Lichtenberg's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Cincinnati, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #572 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 12.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 134 2 TD | 1 INT | #251/382 (35th pct)
Completion rate 66.7% 14/21 completions | #98/383 (75th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.4 Explosiveness through the air | #233/382 (39th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Efficient

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
14 37th
ATT
21 39th
CMP%
66.7% 75th
Y/A
6.4 39th

Passing Production

YDS
134 35th
TD
2 52nd
INT
1 63rd

Rushing

CAR
4 24th
YDS
21 41st
YPC
5.3 79th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 3W 70-0vs Northwestern State4/656109.387.3
Wk 10L 14-45@ Utah
BowlL 13-35vs Navy10/1578115.2
Total14/21134217.287.3
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Cincinnati9-4HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced
2023Cincinnati3-9HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning
2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced
2025Cincinnati7-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Cincinnati142166.7%1346.421142.2----
2024Cincinnati3560.0%255.000102.0----
2023Cincinnati193455.9%2527.421131.7----
2022Cincinnati--------------------
Career4 loaded seasons366060.0%4116.842132.9----
SeasonTeam
2025Cincinnati4215.20--
2024Cincinnati6-13-2.20--
2023Cincinnati12806.71--
2022Cincinnati155.00--
Career4 loaded seasons23934.01--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 21 0 rush TD | #242/408 (41st pct)
Usage 12.5% 25.7% pass share | 3.2% rush share | #253/428 (41st pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 134 #251/382 35th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 2 #198/407 52nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 14 #242/383 37th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 66.7% #98/383 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.4 #233/382 39th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 21 #242/408 41st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 12.5% #253/428 41st pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 21 #251/407 39th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 1 #153/407 63rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 21 #167/391 58th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.3 #85/407 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 4 #312/408 24th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 25.7% #230/428 46th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 16.3% #252/428 41st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 14.8% #240/428 44th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.1% #290/428 32nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.8% #243/428 43rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 11.0% #254/428 41st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 3.2% #328/428 24th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home2g67.01.07.20.5
Road1g

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins1g56.01.09.30.0
Losses2g39.00.55.20.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g67.01.07.20.5
Weeks 8+1g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

37Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (97th). Strength: completion % (81st). Concern: pass yards (0th).

Interceptions#4 / 183 · 97th pct
1pass
Completion %#34 / 183 · 82nd pct
66.7%pass
Rush yards#135 / 183 · 27th pct
21rush
Yards / att#139 / 183 · 23rd pct
6.4pass
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Pass TDs#176 / 183 · 3rd pct
2pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
134pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Brady LichtenbergCincinnatiNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 58% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 55% simCade KlubnikClemson· 53% sim
Interceptions
97
Lichtenberg
44
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
56
Klubnik
Completion %
82
Lichtenberg
41
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
73
Klubnik
Rush yards
27
Lichtenberg
27
Vattiato
1
Lindsey
42
Klubnik
Yards / att
23
Lichtenberg
13
Vattiato
16
Lindsey
63
Klubnik
Rush TDs
9
Lichtenberg
39
Vattiato
59
Lindsey
59
Klubnik
Pass TDs
3
Lichtenberg
64
Vattiato
72
Lindsey
64
Klubnik
Pass yards
0
Lichtenberg
57
Vattiato
61
Lindsey
78
Klubnik

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Satterfield

Pass share

47.8%

363 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

58.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.6%

266 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Luke Fickell
Cincinnati
2023
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
era →
2024
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
2025
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati

Coaching transition mid-career: Luke Fickell → Scott Satterfield. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownToledo, OH
Height6'1"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey16

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Cincinnati QB4 #572 #493 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Cincinnati QB4 #775 #1006 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Cincinnati QB4 #1724 #1449 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 Cincinnati QB4 #472 #230 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Cincinnati Big 12 QB 4 No. 16 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Toledo, OH
2024 Cincinnati Big 12 QB 4 No. 16 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Toledo, OH
2023 Cincinnati Big 12 QB 4 No. 16 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Toledo, OH
2022 Cincinnati American Athletic QB 4 No. 16 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Toledo, OH
2021 Cincinnati American Athletic QB 4 No. 16 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Toledo, OH