cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bryce Boettcher /Oregon

Bryce Boettcher

LB · Oregon · Sr · #28

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

132 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Indianapolis — Rd 4, Pick 35, #135 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Indianapolis2026 NFL rookie season

#135Rd 4 · Pick 35
Indianapolis2026 NFL rookie season

LB · OREGON · BIG TEN

Bryce Boettcher

  • 4
  • #28
  • 6-2 | 232 lb
  • Eugene, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

76

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 83rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1386

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R11 National watch / fringe AA · 2025

2022

Oregon · LB

2023

Oregon · LB

2024

Oregon · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Oregon · LB

R11 · National watch / fringe AA

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 4, Pick 35 · #135 overall · Indianapolis

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2819 national
CFB
College
Oregon
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 &middot; #135
Indianapolis &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey28
Measurements6-2 | 232 lb
HometownEugene, OR
Primary teamOregon

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2819 recruit
Composite rating 0.8000 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin South Eugene Eugene, OR, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8000 No. 2819 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1386Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1555Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Honors Badge 0.7% Honors Badge Recognized on a major honors list (Heisman, All-American, Davey O'Brien, Maxwell, Walter Camp, Nagurski, Biletnikoff). Held by 0.7% of the 2025 pool. Recognized on: All-America (SI).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8000

#2819 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 4, Pick 35

#135 overall · Indianapolis

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bryce Boettcher

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bryce Boettcher

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 15g
132Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
9Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
132Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 132.

✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 132.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bryce Boettcher is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Oregon's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #1386 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 4 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 132 55 solo | #5/4942 (100th pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
132 100th
SOLO
55 99th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 15 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Montana State310.00.00
Wk 2W 69-3vs Oklahoma State920.00.00
Wk 3W 34-14@ Northwestern510.50.011
Wk 4W 41-7vs Oregon State1020.00.00
Wk 5W 30-24@ Penn State1230.50.00
Wk 7L 20-30vs Indiana1150.00.00
Wk 8W 56-10@ Rutgers740.00.00
Wk 9W 21-7vs Wisconsin641.00.02
Wk 11W 18-16@ Iowa851.01.00
Wk 12W 42-13vs Minnesota630.00.00
Wk 13W 42-27vs USC1341.00.00Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 14W 26-14@ Washington1050.00.00
BowlW 51-34vs James Madison930.50.01
BowlW 23-0@ Texas Tech1260.00.00
BowlL 22-56@ Indiana1171.00.01
Total132555.51.015
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Oregon10-3HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
2023Oregon12-2HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2024Oregon13-1HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon132555.51.051--
2024Oregon87477.02.041--
2023Oregon37152.51.0------
2022Oregon2--0.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons25811715.04.092--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 132 #5/4942 100th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 55 #41/4584 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 31.0 #86/578 85th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 31 #209/578 64th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

NATIONAL WATCH

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

NATIONAL WATCH · Rung 11 of 16

Why he’s here

National watch / fringe All-American — on the edge of a 1st-team nod.

What moves him up

Convert a fringe mention into a 1st-team NCAA-selector All-American spot.

What moves him down

A quiet close drops this back to the conference honors.

Accolade streams

1st-team selections1×1ST

First-team selections from 1 selectors.

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI1st

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 15 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g8.40.30.00.4
Road7g9.30.40.10.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins13g8.50.30.10.3
Losses2g11.00.50.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-79g9.10.30.00.3
Weeks 8+6g8.30.50.20.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

76All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (99th). Strength: solo tackles (98th).

Tackles#5 / 2975 · 100th pct
132defe
Solo tackles#41 / 2975 · 99th pct
55defe
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Bryce BoettcherOregonAndon ThomasArmy· 92% simJordan PollardSan José State· 91% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 91% sim
Tackles
100
Boettcher
99
Thomas
99
Pollard
98
Fields
Solo tackles
99
Boettcher
100
Thomas
99
Pollard
96
Fields
QB hurries
92
Boettcher
82
Thomas
88
Pollard
95
Fields
Passes defended
91
Boettcher
91
Thomas
86
Pollard
67
Fields
Tackles for loss
83
Boettcher
73
Thomas
77
Pollard
87
Fields
Sacks
63
Boettcher
51
Thomas
85
Pollard
63
Fields
Interceptions
31
Boettcher
31
Pollard
31
Fields

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Wayne Matthews III’s 2023 season.

Wayne Matthews III

79%match

Old Dominion · 2023

All-Sun Belt
#2

Jackson Mitchell

UConn · 2022

78%
#3

Bumper Pool

Arkansas · 2021

78%
#4

Jay Higgins

Iowa · 2024

Consensus All-American
77%
#5

Chase Kline

Eastern Michigan · 2023

All-MAC
77%

Matches Wayne on

Weight
TFL rate
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Matt Salopek's senior season at Miami (OH) (2023).

Matt Salopek

84%match

Miami (OH) · 2023

All-MAC
#2

Chase Kline

Eastern Michigan · 2023

All-MAC
83%
#3

Kendarin Ray

Tulsa · 2023

All-AAC
79%
#4

K.C. Ossai

Louisiana · 2024

All-Sun Belt
73%
#5

Bryce Gallagher

Northwestern · 2023

All-Big Ten
71%

Matches Matt on

Tackle volume
TFL rate
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Lanning

Pass share

44.9%

436 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

64.7

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.8%

250 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon

Played his entire career under Dan Lanning.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEugene, OR
Height6'2"
Weight232 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

4 entries
🥇

ALL-AMERICA

Named All-American (2025)

1 selectors honored him

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

1 All-America selection

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-America (SI) all_america SI LB
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Oregon | Big Ten LB
2024 Burlsworth position_award Oregon | Burlsworth winner | LB
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Oregon | Big Ten LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oregon LB4 #1386 #1555 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Oregon LB4 #4505 #4382 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Oregon LB4 #9800 #9239 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon Big Ten LB 4 No. 28 | 6-2 | 232 lb | Eugene, OR
2024 Oregon Big Ten LB 4 No. 28 | 6-2 | 232 lb | Eugene, OR
2023 Oregon Pac-12 LB 4 No. 28 | 6-2 | 232 lb | Eugene, OR
2022 Oregon Pac-12 LB 4 No. 28 | 6-2 | 232 lb | Eugene, OR