CFB Zeitgeist Score
71
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 71st percentile.
Cade Harris
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
584 REC YDS · 35 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Air Force for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Air Force
Returning around him
- 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (0 in / 4 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129
WR · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Cade Harris
- 4
- #21
- 5-8 | 185 lb
- South Weber, UT
Heisman Heat
#5049
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+1198%
Up 1198% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
Air Force
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2-star | 0.7683 | No. 2698 recruit | HighSchool | Air Force |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (584).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to Air Force
Composite
0.7683
#2698 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Cade Harris
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Cade Harris
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
584Rec yards
35Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
48.7Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
632.7Rec yards
38Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 584): needs 116/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 584): needs 416/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 35): needs 25/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 35): needs 45/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
Why the profile pops beyond receiving
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Cade Harris is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
35 79th
YDS
584 86th
YPR
16.7 85th
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
61 100th
YDS
321 99th
YPC
5.3 60th
TD
4 100th
Returns
KR YDS
152 71st
KR AVG
21.7 67th
PR YDS
8 20th
PR AVG
2.7 14th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 49-13vs Bucknell | 3 | 83 | 27.7 | 1 | 62 | |
| Wk 3 | L 30-49@ Utah State | 2 | 63 | 31.5 | 0 | 36 | |
| Wk 4 | L 37-49vs Boise State | 8 | 177 | 22.1 | 0 | 74 | Season-high 177 yds |
| Wk 5 | L 35-44vs Hawai'i | 3 | 116 | 38.7 | 1 | 73 | |
| Wk 6 | L 31-34@ Navy | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 7 | L 48-51@ UNLV | 4 | 46 | 11.5 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21vs Wyoming | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-20vs Army | 6 | 44 | 7.3 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 11 | W 26-16@ San José State | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 12 | L 16-26@ UConn | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 13 | L 3-20vs New Mexico | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 14 | W 42-21@ Colorado State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 35 | 584 | 16.5 | 2 | 74 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Air Force10-3HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
2023Air Force9-4HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Air Force4-8HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 35 | #230/1110 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 584 | #161/1107 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 16.7 | #167/1106 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 152 | #71/238 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 8 | #181/224 | 20th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 30.2% | #10/1137 | 99th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 321 | #4/397 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 61 | #3/407 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 49 | #13/346 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.3 | #158/393 | 60th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #1/411 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 74 | #69/1105 | 94th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 21.7 | #80/236 | 67th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 7 | #69/243 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 3 | #141/237 | 41st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 2.7 | #191/222 | 14th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 19.7% | #11/1137 | 99th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 15.3% | #10/1137 | 99th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.3% | #17/1137 | 99th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 13.7% | #18/1137 | 99th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.8% | #28/1137 | 98th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.8% | #181/1137 | 84th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 9.5% | #9/1137 | 99th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.12 | #3/8 | 75th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 56 weighted playsvs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 3.7 | 73.8 | 21.5 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 2.2 | 23.5 | 11.6 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 1.2 | 20.8 | 13.8 | 0.2 |
| Losses8g | 3.8 | 62.6 | 17.2 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 3.8 | 82.0 | 22.3 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.0 | 15.3 | 7.8 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
71Solid starter
Elite: rush tds (99th). Strength: rush yards (98th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.12Elite (≥p90) (n=2)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Cade HarrisAir ForceNik McMillanBuffalo· 78% simParker KingstonBYU· 76% simAnthony SmithEast Carolina· 75% sim
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Rec TDs
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Roderick Daniels’s 2024 season.
Roderick Daniels
69%match
#2
Roderic Burns
68%
#3
Dayton Wade
67%
#4
Kamdyn Benjamin
67%
#5
Dalen Cobb
64%
Matches Roderick on
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Height
Differs from Roderick on
Yards / reception (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Christian Dremel's senior season at Rutgers (2023).
Christian Dremel
68%match
#2
Taylor Morin
61%
#3
Damon Bankston
All-Mountain West
59%
#4
Anthony Gould
1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 5
59%
#5
Roderic Burns
59%
Matches Christian on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Yards / reception
Differs from Christian on
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Troy Calhoun
Pass share
20.0%
163 pass / 650 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.6%
151 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
2023
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
2025
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSouth Weber, UT
Height5'8"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey21
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAir Force
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Air Force | WR4 | #5049 | #5655 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Air Force | WR4 | #1416 | #1555 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Air Force | WR4 | #1487 | #1352 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Air Force | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 21 | 5-8 | 185 lb | South Weber, UT |
| 2024 | Air Force | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 21 | 5-8 | 185 lb | South Weber, UT |
| 2023 | Air Force | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 21 | 5-8 | 185 lb | South Weber, UT |
| 2022 | Air Force | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 21 | 5-8 | 185 lb | South Weber, UT |