cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Caleb Medford /Kansas State

Caleb Medford

WR · Kansas State · Sr · #88

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Kansas State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #35

WR · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12

Caleb Medford

  • 4
  • #88
  • 6-0 | 211 lb
  • Henderson, TX

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#5229

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#847 national
CFB
College
New Mexico
2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey88
Measurements6-0 | 211 lb
HometownHenderson, TX
Primary teamKansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 847 recruit
Composite rating 0.8633 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Henderson Henderson, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8633 No. 847 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Kansas State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 9, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 New Mexico -> Kansas State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2023 TCU -> New Mexico 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5229Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5939Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8633

#847 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Caleb Medford

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Caleb Medford

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Caleb Medford's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5229 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 30 2 rec TD | #282/1110 (75th pct)
Receiving yards 551 18.4 per catch | #178/1107 (84th pct)
Scrimmage yards 551 Total offensive yardage | #178/1107 (84th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
30 75th
YDS
551 84th
YPR
18.4 91st
TD
2 75th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023New Mexico4-8HC: Danny Gonzales · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023New Mexico3055118.42--
Career1 loaded season3055118.42--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage -- Role share still loading
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 30 #282/1110 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 551 #178/1107 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 18.4 #102/1106 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 59 #184/1105 83rd pct Metricvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Klieman

Pass share

46.4%

342 pass / 395 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023

1 coach
2023
Chris Klieman
Kansas State

Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHenderson, TX
Height6'0"
Weight211 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey88

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 New Mexico WR4 #5229 #5939 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 New Mexico WR4 #1639 #2334 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 TCU WR4 #2125 #1553 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 TCU WR4 #3591 #3570 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas State Big 12 WR 4 No. 88 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Henderson, TX
2024 New Mexico Mountain West WR 4 No. 88 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Henderson, TX
2023 New Mexico Mountain West WR 4 No. 88 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Henderson, TX
2022 TCU Big 12 WR 4 No. 88 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Henderson, TX
2021 TCU Big 12 WR 4 No. 88 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Henderson, TX