CFB Zeitgeist Score
61
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 73rd percentile.
Caleb Ramseur
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Caleb Ramseur is a cornerstone for Nevada — measured against the line he joined.
683RUSH YDS5RUSH TD139CARRIES
PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP
+31
perception vs production percentile · 2025
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Nevada for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Nevada
Returning around him
- 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -7 net (14 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Nevada · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #119 · 2026 recruiting class #88
RB · NEVADA · MOUNTAIN WEST
Caleb Ramseur
- 4
- #20
- 5-9 | 205 lb
- Elk Grove, CA
Heisman Heat
#1285
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+521%
Up 521% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Nevada
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (683).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Caleb Ramseur
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Caleb Ramseur
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
683Rush yards
139Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
56.9Rush yards
12Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
739.9Rush yards
151Carries
5Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 683): needs 67/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 683): needs 317/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 683): needs 817/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 10/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 15/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Caleb Ramseur's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Nevada, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
139 89th
YDS
683 87th
YPC
4.9 59th
TD
5 85th
Receiving
REC
18 83rd
YDS
191 88th
YPR
10.6 82nd
TD
3 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 11-46@ Penn State | 5 | 10 | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 2 | W 20-17vs Sacramento State | 13 | 70 | 5.4 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 3 | L 13-14vs Middle Tennessee | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 4 | L 16-31@ Western Kentucky | 9 | 66 | 7.3 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 6 | L 17-20@ Fresno State | 16 | 77 | 4.8 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 7 | L 10-44vs San Diego State | 8 | 35 | 4.4 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 8 | L 22-24@ New Mexico | 14 | 39 | 2.8 | 2 | 11 | |
| Wk 9 | L 3-24vs Boise State | 7 | 19 | 2.7 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 11 | L 14-51@ Utah State | 8 | 43 | 5.4 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 12 | W 55-10vs San José State | 20 | 128 | 6.4 | 1 | 32 | Season-high 128 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 13-7@ Wyoming | 19 | 88 | 4.6 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 14 | L 17-42vs UNLV | 15 | 95 | 6.3 | 2 | 20 | |
| Total | 139 | 683 | 4.6 | 5 | 32 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Nevada3-10HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning
2025Nevada3-9HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning, slow tempo
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 683 | #94/735 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.9 | #305/735 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 18 | #96/552 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 191 | #66/548 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.15 | #126/362 | 65th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 126 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 21.7% | #74/738 | 90th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 139 | #84/739 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 32 | #286/733 | 61st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 41 | #66/540 | 88th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.6 | #101/548 | 82nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #5/552 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 67 | #81/200 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.3 | #50/199 | 75th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 3 | #85/206 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 34.3% | #93/738 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 24.4% | #90/738 | 88th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 23.9% | #87/738 | 88th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 20.4% | #24/738 | 97th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 19.9% | #94/738 | 87th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 17.5% | #38/738 | 95th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.9% | #121/738 | 84th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 60.0 | 4.6 | 0.5 |
| Road6g | 53.8 | 4.5 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 95.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Losses9g | 44.1 | 4.3 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 45.2 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 68.7 | 4.7 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
61Solid starter
Elite: rec yards (81st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.15Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Caleb RamseurNevadaKamari MoultonIowa· 86% simRashod DubinionApp State· 84% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 84% sim
Rec yards
Carries
Rush yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Yards / carry
Fumbles lost
Long run
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Nelson Smith’s 2020 season.
Nelson Smith
75%match
#2
Emmanuel Michel
All-Mountain West
76%
#3
Jaylen Warren
78%
#4
CJ Beasley
77%
#5
Marcus Carroll
All-Sun Belt
76%
Matches Nelson on
Yards / carry
Height
Weight
Differs from Nelson on
Rush TD rate (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jaylon Glover’s path through UNLV.
Jaylon Glover
100%match
#2
Andrew Body
98%
#3
Gaej Walker
96%
#4
Chuba Hubbard
All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
95%
#5
Narii Gaither
94%
Matches Jaylon on
Height
Weight
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to CJ Beasley's sophomore season at Coastal Carolina (2022).
CJ Beasley
90%match
#2
Robert Henry
82%
#3
Emmanuel Michel
All-Mountain West
79%
#4
Lexington Joseph
All-Conference USA
76%
#5
AJ Green
75%
Matches CJ on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
EPA / carry (adj)
Yards / carry
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Choate
Pass share
42.6%
306 pass / 413 run
Plays / game
59.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
251 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Jeff Choate
Nevada
2025
Jeff Choate
Nevada
Played his entire career under Jeff Choate.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownElk Grove, CA
Height5'9"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey20
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNevada
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Nevada | RB4 | #1285 | #1791 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.