Heisman / Players / Carter Davis /Miami

Carter Davis

PK · Miami · Sr · #38

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami for 2026As of Jun 22, 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

PK · Miami

Returning around him

12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
9 Miami players drafted to NFL
Transfer portal: -6 net (13 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami · Last season: 13-3 (AP #10) · Talent rank #15 · 2026 recruiting class #13

PK · MIAMI · ACC

Carter Davis

4
#38
6-0 | 210 lb
Fort Lauderdale, FL

CFB Zeitgeist PK Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#16023

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP K AWARD

Lou Groza

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

2 teams

2022–2025

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionPK

Class4

Jersey38

Measurements6-0 | 210 lb

HometownFort Lauderdale, FL

Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive

Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player

Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable

Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable

Class	Profile	Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file

Latest destination -- --

Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context

Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD

Season	Move	Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16

Current nowcast#16023Latest modeled ballot order

Season forecast#16028Where the full season sim points

Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy

Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier

Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot

Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—

FWAA—

AFCA—

WCFF—

SN—

SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What we can say about this player

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Carter Davis's page is mostly roster and pedigree right now — there isn't measurable current-season production on file for Miami yet. As box scores and snaps land, the on-field story fills in here.

Current place #16023 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist

Role load -- Role share still loading

Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level

Scrimmage yards 0 Combined rushing and receiving

Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns

Usage -- Role share still loading

Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 16 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	FGM/FGA	LONG	XP	PTS
Wk 1	W 27-24vs Notre Dame	2/2	47	3/3	9
Wk 2	W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman	0/0	0	3/3	3
Wk 3	W 49-12vs South Florida	0/0	0	6/6	6
Wk 4	W 26-7vs Florida	2/2	53	2/2	8
Wk 6	W 28-22@ Florida State	0/0	0	4/4	4
Wk 8	L 21-24vs Louisville	2/2	41	1/1	7
Wk 9	W 42-7vs Stanford	0/1	0	4/4	4
Wk 10	L 20-26@ SMU	2/2	45	2/2	8
Wk 11	W 38-10vs Syracuse	1/1	36	4/4	7
Wk 12	W 41-7vs NC State	2/3	38	4/4	10
Wk 13	W 34-17@ Virginia Tech	2/2	46	4/4	10
Wk 14	W 38-7@ Pittsburgh	1/1	29	4/4	7
Bowl	W 10-3@ Texas A&M	1/4	21	1/1	4
Bowl	W 24-14@ Ohio State	1/1	49	3/3	6
Bowl	W 31-27@ Ole Miss	1/2	38	4/4	7
Bowl	L 21-27@ Indiana	0/1	0	3/3	3
Total		17/24	53	—	103

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Florida Atlantic5-7HC: Willie Taggart · Run-leaning

2023Florida Atlantic4-8HC: Tom Herman · Balanced

2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced

Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer

Group	Metric	Value	Rank	Pct	Why it matters
Defense	Solo tackles	1	#63/282	78th pct	Volumevs FBS peers
Defense	Total tackles	1	#109/388	72nd pct	Volumevs FBS peers
Defense	Sacks	0.0	#15/390	96th pct	Disruptionvs FBS peers
Defense	TFL	0.0	#20/390	95th pct	Disruptionvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking points	103	#25/221	89th pct	Scoringvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking LONG	53	#32/175	82nd pct	Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking XPA	52	#17/213	92nd pct	Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking XPM	52	#17/213	92nd pct	Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking	Kicking FGA	24	#24/188	88th pct	Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking	FG made	17	#43/175	76th pct	Scoringvs FBS peers
Kicking	FG %	70.8%	#122/175	31st pct	Efficiencyvs FBS peers

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

The Groza award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 16 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home8g	—	—	—	—
Road8g	—	—	—	—

Win vs Loss

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Wins13g	—	—	—	—
Losses3g	—	—	—	—

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-79g	—	—	—	—
Weeks 8+7g	—	—	—	—

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

EPA / dropback—

awaiting

CPOE—

awaiting

Success rate—

awaiting

Explosive rate (20+)—

awaiting

aDOT—

awaiting

Deep-ball accuracy—

awaiting

Pressure-to-sack—

awaiting

3rd-down EPA—

awaiting

Red-zone TD rate—

awaiting

Play-action EPA—

awaiting

Scramble EPA—

awaiting

Turnover-worthy play rate—

awaiting

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach

2022

Mario Cristobal

Miami

2023

Mario Cristobal

Miami

2025

Mario Cristobal

Miami

Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.

HometownFort Lauderdale, FL

Height6'0"

Weight210 lb

Class4

PositionPK

Jersey38

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season	Honor	Scope	Team / Selector	Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season	Team	Role	Latest Model	Forecast	Win	Finalist	Official Finish	Points	Context
2024	Florida Atlantic	PK4	#16023	#16028	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W16 snapshot \| American Athletic
2023	Florida Atlantic	PK4	#15900	#15926	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W19 snapshot \| American Athletic
2022	Florida Atlantic	PK4	#15303	#15323	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W20 snapshot \| Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season	Team	Conference	Pos	Class	Bio
2025	Miami	ACC	PK	4	No. 38 \| 6-0 \| 210 lb \| Fort Lauderdale, FL
2024	Florida Atlantic	American Athletic	PK	4	No. 38 \| 6-0 \| 210 lb \| Fort Lauderdale, FL
2023	Florida Atlantic	American Athletic	PK	4	No. 38 \| 6-0 \| 210 lb \| Fort Lauderdale, FL
2022	Florida Atlantic	Conference USA	PK	4	No. 38 \| 6-0 \| 210 lb \| Fort Lauderdale, FL

Carter Davis

R07 · Impact starter

Identity & Role

Recruiting Pedigree

Transfer Arc

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

The Room on Carter Davis

How rival fanbases talk about Carter Davis

Awaiting candidate metric

What we can say about this player

2025 Season · Final

OTHER season snapshot

What kind of player is this?

Traditional Stats

Advanced Metrics

Player Standing

Percentile Card

Advanced Savant

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Trophy Case · Detail

No formal honors on the ledger yet

Honors Timeline

Heisman By Year

Roster Timeline