Chase Garbers

Junior quarterback for California. 2021: 2,531 passing yards, 16 TD, 8 INT.

QB · California · Jr. · #7

6′2″ · 225 lb · Newport Beach, CA

CFB Index 48 · #71 of 126 QBsHigh confidenceCalifornia 2021 alumnus

The story

3 quarterback for California. 2021: 2,531 passing yards, 16 TD, 8 INT.

The record fills in as he plays.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Four seasons at California, 6,582 passing yards — his college career is complete.

Career arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

California

2018–2021

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2018–2021

1 coach

2018–2021

Justin Wilcox

California

Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.

2021 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

4 seasons under Justin Wilcox — 21-21 over that span.

2018California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning

2019California8-5HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning

2020California1-3HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced

2021California5-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

48Rotational starter #71 of 126?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (93rd percentile). Strength: rush yards (86th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Success rate#66 / 167 · 61st pct

47.9%

Explosive rate#73 / 167 · 57th pct

10.3%

Interception rate#76 / 167 · 55th pct

2.1%

Sack rate#83 / 167 · 51st pct

6.1%

EPA / dropback#107 / 167 · 36th pct

0.22

Box-score rates (8)

Fumbles lost#1 / 159 · 93rd pct

Rush yards#24 / 169 · 86th pct

456

Rush TDs#39 / 169 · 72nd pct

Completion %#55 / 169 · 67th pct

64.1%

Pass yards#65 / 169 · 62nd pct

2531

Pass TDs#69 / 169 · 58th pct

Yards / att#93 / 169 · 43rd pct

7.3

Interceptions#110 / 169 · 31st pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Success rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Explosive rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Sack rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Interception rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

197/311 (63.3%) · 16 TD · 8 INT

311 of 348 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

6.60100 of 204 QBs

Sack rate

4.7%59 of 204 QBs

Rarely sacked (59 of 204 QBs) and still 100 of 204 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

58%of completions

115 comp4.7 yds avg5 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

24%of completions

47 comp13.3 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds

18%of completions

35 comp32.9 yds avg8 TD

Overall 63.3% completion on 311 attempts · 35 deep completions averaging 32.9 yds.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2021 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	214	1.3	7.4	0.5
Road5g	250	1.6	7.6	1.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	249	1.5	7.2	0.8
Weeks 8+5g	208	1.4	7.9	0.6

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Tosh Lupoi

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2021

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

48 · #71 of 126 QBs

Career stats

Season	Team
2021	California	223	348	64.1%	2,531	7.3	16	8	135.7	58	--	--
2020	California	85	136	62.5%	771	5.7	6	3	120.3	20	--	--
2019	California	131	215	60.9%	1,772	8.2	14	3	148.9	--	--	--
2018	California	158	259	61.0%	1,508	5.8	14	10	120.0	--	--	--
Career		597	958	62.3%	6,582	6.9	50	24	132.2	46	--	--

Season	Team
2021	California	104	456	4.4	4	--
2020	California	39	75	1.9	2	--
2019	California	90	223	2.5	3	--
2018	California	98	420	4.3	2	--
Career		331	1,174	3.5	11	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2021

W 42–30

vs Sacramento State

288 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT · QBR 59.8 · 68 rush yds (4 car) · 1 TD

Edged out Sacramento State at home in a shootout.

With N. Remigio — 1 rec · 18 yds · J. Sheahan — 43 AVG · 46 LONG · 2 NO

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 12 · Stanford · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +6.58Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 84 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)
Week 2 · TCU · 3&11 · Q1 · EPA +6.37Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 54 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Week 3 · Sacramento State · 2&9 · Q2 · EPA +4.34Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 45 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)
Week 8 · Colorado · 3&6 · Q1 · EPA +3.94Chase Garbers run for 38 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · TCU · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.88Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 68 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST down
Week 9 · Oregon State · 2&7 · Q3 · EPA +3.52Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 38 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)
Week 4 · Washington · 3&8 · Q4 · EPA +3.35Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 23 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · UCLA · 3&13 · Q2 · EPA +3.24Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 26 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Washington · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.19Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 26 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)
Week 3 · Sacramento State · 3&9 · Q4 · EPA +3.17Chase Garbers run for 17 yds to the SacSt 46 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2021 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 17-22vs Nevada	25/38	177	1	1	4.7	35.5
Wk 2	L 32-34@ TCU	16/27	309	2	0	11.4	88.0	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 3	W 42-30vs Sacramento State	22/34	288	2	1	8.5	59.8
Wk 4	L 24-31@ Washington	30/41	319	2	2	7.8	83.5	Season-high 319 yds
Wk 5	L 6-21vs Washington State	14/30	152	0	1	5.1	11.2
Wk 7	L 17-24@ Oregon	25/44	247	2	0	5.6	65.8
Wk 8	W 26-3vs Colorado	22/29	225	2	0	7.8	94.0
Wk 9	W 39-25vs Oregon State	17/26	262	3	0	10.1	87.9	3 TD passes
Wk 12	W 41-11@ Stanford	18/27	250	2	1	9.3	81.6
Wk 13	L 14-42@ UCLA	16/31	125	0	2	4.0	14.3
Wk 14	W 24-14vs USC	18/21	177	0	0	8.4	56.3
Total		223/348	2531	16	8	7.5	61.6

How he plays

Play style

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

64.9%Completion %

25.0%Conversion/dropback

58.3%Land short of sticks

0INTs

64.9% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 25.0% conversion-per-dropback — 58.3% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design