cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / CJ Johnson II /Tulsa

CJ Johnson II

WR · Tulsa · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

50 REC YDS · 4 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulsa for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Tulsa

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #85 · 2026 recruiting class #109

WR · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

CJ Johnson II

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 180 lb
  • French Camp, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

18

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 45th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1433

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
23.02022
32.02023
1212024
50.02025

+117%

Up 117% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 180 lb
HometownFrench Camp, MS
Primary teamTulsa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1433Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1859Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on CJ Johnson II

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about CJ Johnson II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
50Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
16.7Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
216.7Rec yards
17Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 50): needs 65/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 50): needs 95/game over remaining 10.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 4): needs 5.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 4): needs 7.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.7/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

CJ Johnson II's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulsa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1433 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 4 1 rec TD | #767/1110 (31st pct)
Receiving yards 50 12.5 per catch | #785/1107 (29th pct)
Scrimmage yards 56 Total offensive yardage | #785/1107 (29th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
4 31st
YDS
50 29th
YPR
12.5 55th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
6 39th
YPC
1.5 23rd
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
71 55th
KR AVG
23.7 80th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 35-7vs Abilene Christian199.009
Wk 3L 23-42vs Navy23417.0118Season-high 34 yds
Wk 4W 19-12@ Oklahoma State177.007
Total45011.0118
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Northwestern3-9HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Run-leaning
2022Northwestern1-11HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Balanced
2023Northwestern8-5HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
2024Northwestern4-8HC: David Braun · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa45012.51--
2024Northwestern1112111.00--
2023Northwestern4328.00--
2022Northwestern22311.50--
2021Northwestern----------
Career5 loaded seasons2122610.81--
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa4671----
2024Northwestern----------
2023Northwestern----------
2022Northwestern----------
2021Northwestern1-4------
Career5 loaded seasons5271----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.5% 4.6% pass-game share | #896/1137 (21st pct)
Return yards 71 0 return TD | #107/238 (55th pct)
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 4 #767/1110 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 50 #785/1107 29th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.5 #494/1106 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 71 #107/238 55th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 4.6% #896/1137 21st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 16 #93/346 73rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 6 #245/397 39th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 1.5 #303/393 23rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 18 #804/1105 27th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 23.7 #49/236 80th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 3 #108/243 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.8% #386/1137 66th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.8% #617/1137 46th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.5% #684/1137 40th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #667/1137 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.5% #72/1137 94th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.5% #774/1137 32nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 1.4% #960/1137 16th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.521.513.00.5
Road1g1.07.07.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.08.08.00.0
Losses1g2.034.017.01.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.316.711.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

18Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#305 / 558 · 45th pct
12.5rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#183 / 287 · 35th pct
6rush
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Long catch#543 / 558 · 3rd pct
18rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
50rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
CJ Johnson IITulsaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 53% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 47% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 45% sim
Yards / catch
45
II
9
III
15
Gibson
25
Cobb
Rush TDs
39
II
39
III
39
Gibson
39
Cobb
Rush yards
35
II
6
III
76
Gibson
12
Cobb
Rec TDs
24
II
24
III
7
Gibson
24
Cobb
Long catch
3
II
16
III
56
Gibson
58
Cobb
Rec yards
0
II
70
III
74
Gibson
87
Cobb
Receptions
0
II
92
III
92
Gibson
98
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tre Lamb

Pass share

45.9%

407 pass / 480 run

Plays / game

73.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

357 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2022
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2023
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
era →
2024
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2025
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Philip Montgomery, Kevin Wilson, and Tre Lamb. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFrench Camp, MS
Height5'11"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Northwestern WR4 #1433 #1859 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Northwestern WR4 #2658 #2705 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Northwestern WR4 #3632 #4132 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Northwestern WR4 #3695 #3716 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulsa American Athletic WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 180 lb | French Camp, MS
2024 Northwestern Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 180 lb | French Camp, MS
2023 Northwestern Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 180 lb | French Camp, MS
2022 Northwestern Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 180 lb | French Camp, MS
2021 Northwestern Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 180 lb | French Camp, MS