cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Collin Oliver /Oklahoma State

Collin Oliver

LB · Oklahoma State · Sr · #30

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLGreen Bay — drafted 2025, Rd 5, Pick 23, #159 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Green BayEntering 2nd NFL season

#159Rd 5 · Pick 23
Green BayEntering 2nd NFL season

LB · OKLAHOMA STATE · BIG 12

Collin Oliver

  • 4
  • #30
  • 6-2 | 240 lb
  • Oklahoma City, OK

CFB Zeitgeist LB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#13420

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2021

Oklahoma State · LB

2022

Oklahoma State · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

Oklahoma State · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 5, Pick 23 · #159 overall · Green Bay

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#439 national
CFB
College
Oklahoma State
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #159
Green Bay &middot; 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey30
Measurements6-2 | 240 lb
HometownOklahoma City, OK
Primary teamOklahoma State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 439 recruit
Composite rating 0.8867 HighSchool
Signed with Oklahoma State 2021
Origin Santa Fe Edmond, OK, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8867 No. 439 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13420Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13372Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Oklahoma State

Composite

0.8867

#439 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 5, Pick 23

#159 overall · Green Bay

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Collin Oliver

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Collin Oliver

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Collin Oliver is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Oklahoma State's defense, with 6.0 sacks, 15.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13420 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 2 honors loaded

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 73 45 solo | #227/4942 (95th pct)
TFL 15.5 Backfield disruption | #15/4972 (100th pct)
Sacks 6.0 Pass-rush finish | #74/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
73 95th
SOLO
45 97th
TFL
15.5 100th
SACK
6.0 99th
QBH
9 99th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oklahoma State11-2HC: Mike Gundy · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Oklahoma State7-6HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Oklahoma State10-4HC: Mike Gundy · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023Oklahoma State734515.56.05----
2022Oklahoma State27197.55.01----
2021Oklahoma State292015.511.5------
Career3 loaded seasons1298438.522.56----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 9 Quarterback hurries | #27/1878 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 73 #227/4942 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 15.5 #15/4972 100th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 6.0 #74/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 9 #27/1878 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 45 #128/4584 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Gundy

Pass share

47.5%

365 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

64.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.9%

223 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2022
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2023
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State

Played his entire career under Mike Gundy.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOklahoma City, OK
Height6'2"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey30

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-Big 12 all_conference Oklahoma State | Big 12 LB
2022 All-Big 12 all_conference Big 12 DL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oklahoma State LB4 #13420 #13372 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Oklahoma State LB4 #6491 #7426 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Oklahoma State LB4 #6690 #7463 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Oklahoma State LB4 #1928 #2181 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Oklahoma State Big 12 LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2023 Oklahoma State Big 12 LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2022 Oklahoma State Big 12 LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2021 Oklahoma State Big 12 LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Oklahoma City, OK