CFB Zeitgeist Score
69
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 95th percentile.
Dalton Johnson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
97 TACKLES · 1 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Las Vegas2026 NFL rookie season
#150Rd 5 · Pick 10
Las Vegas2026 NFL rookie season
DB · ARIZONA · BIG 12
Dalton Johnson
- 4
- #43
- 5-11 | 198 lb
- Katy, TX
Heisman Heat
#11342
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Arizona · DB
—
2022
Arizona · DB
—
2023
Arizona · DB
—
2024
Arizona · DB
—
★
2025
Arizona · DB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 5, Pick 10 · #150 overall · Las Vegas
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Arizona
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 · #150
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8444 | No. 1344 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8444
#1344 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 5, Pick 10
#150 overall · Las Vegas
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Dalton Johnson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Dalton Johnson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
97Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
105Tackles
2.2Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 97.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 97): needs 3/game over remaining 1.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Dalton Johnson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Arizona's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and 4 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
97 99th
SOLO
48 98th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.0 82nd
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
7 96th
INT
4 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 40-6vs Hawai'i | 10 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 48-3vs Weber State | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 23-17vs Kansas State | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-39@ Iowa State | 10 | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 41-13vs Oklahoma State | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 7 | L 27-33vs BYU | 10 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 28-31@ Houston | 11 | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 52-17@ Colorado | 7 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 24-20vs Kansas | 9 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 12 | W 30-24@ Cincinnati | 8 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | W 41-17vs Baylor | 18 | 7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 18 tackles |
| Wk 14 | W 23-7@ Arizona State | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Total | 97 | 48 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 7 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Arizona1-11HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2022Arizona5-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Pass-leaning
2023Arizona10-3HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2024Arizona4-8HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2025Arizona9-4HC: Brent Brennan · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 97 | #57/4942 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 2.0 | #1443/4972 | 71st pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 1.0 | #872/4972 | 82nd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 4 | #23/869 | 97th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 7 | #85/2184 | 96th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 48 | #90/4584 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 39 | #159/578 | 73rd pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 9.8 | #374/578 | 35th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 8.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 7.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 7.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
| Losses3g | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 6.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 9.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort
69Solid starter
Elite: tackles (98th). Strength: solo tackles (96th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Dalton JohnsonArizonaDevin LafayetteTroy· 91% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 86% simOwen LongColorado State· 86% sim
Tackles
Solo tackles
Passes defended
Interceptions
Sacks
Forced fumbles
Tackles for loss
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Box Safety
Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Nick Andersen’s 2025 season.
Nick Andersen
81%match
All-ACC
#2
Ike Larsen
All-Mountain West
81%
#3
Myles Heard
76%
#4
Christian Izien
75%
#5
Jordan Lee
71%
Matches Nick on
Class year
Height
PD rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Nick Andersen's graduate season at Wake Forest (2025).
Nick Andersen
84%match
All-ACC
#2
J.J. Roberts
63%
#3
Jadon Pearson
All-Mountain West
62%
#4
Tyrone Lewis
All-Sun Belt
60%
#5
Tahj Ra-El
55%
Matches Nick on
Class year
Height
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Brennan
Pass share
49.7%
447 pass / 452 run
Plays / game
69.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.9%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Jedd Fisch
Arizona
2022
Jedd Fisch
Arizona
2023
Jedd Fisch
Arizona
2024era →
Brent Brennan
Arizona
2025
Brent Brennan
Arizona
Coaching transition mid-career: Jedd Fisch → Brent Brennan. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownKaty, TX
Height5'11"
Weight198 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey43
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArizona
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Big 12
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Arizona | Big 12 | DB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arizona | DB4 | #11342 | #11494 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Arizona | DB4 | #7124 | #7259 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | Arizona | DB4 | #13738 | #13769 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2021 | Arizona | DB4 | #12920 | #13012 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona | Big 12 | DB | 4 | No. 43 | 5-11 | 198 lb | Katy, TX |
| 2024 | Arizona | Big 12 | DB | 4 | No. 43 | 5-11 | 198 lb | Katy, TX |
| 2023 | Arizona | Pac-12 | DB | 4 | No. 43 | 5-11 | 198 lb | Katy, TX |
| 2022 | Arizona | Pac-12 | DB | 4 | No. 43 | 5-11 | 198 lb | Katy, TX |
| 2021 | Arizona | Pac-12 | DB | 4 | No. 43 | 5-11 | 198 lb | Katy, TX |