CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.
Caleb Weaver
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
89 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Duke for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Safety · Duke
Returning around him
- 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 3 Duke players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +2 net (19 in / 17 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Duke · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #58 · 2026 recruiting class #30
S · DUKE · ACC
Caleb Weaver
- 4
- #3
- 5-11 | 190 lb
- Houston, TX
Heisman Heat
#10838
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston -> Duke | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Caleb Weaver
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Caleb Weaver
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 14g
89Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
89Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 89.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Caleb Weaver is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Duke's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
89 98th
SOLO
42 96th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
1.5 85th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
1 43rd
INT
2 87th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-17vs Elon | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 19-45vs Illinois | 9 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | L 27-34@ Tulane | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-33vs NC State | 11 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 11 tackles |
| Wk 5 | W 38-3@ Syracuse | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-21@ California | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 18-27vs Georgia Tech | 10 | 5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 46-45@ Clemson | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 34-37@ UConn | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 17-34vs Virginia | 9 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 32-25@ North Carolina | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-32vs Wake Forest | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 15 | W 27-20@ Virginia | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bowl | W 42-39vs Arizona State | 8 | 7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 89 | 42 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Sam Houston3-9HC: K.C. Keeler · Balanced
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Duke | 89 | 42 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Sam Houston | 42 | 26 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 131 | 68 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 4 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 89 | #91/4942 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 5.5 | #477/4972 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 1.5 | #724/4972 | 85th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 2 | #114/869 | 87th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 42 | #165/4584 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 40 | #153/578 | 74th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 20.0 | #205/578 | 65th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Road7g | 4.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses5g | 7.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 6.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 6.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort
67Solid starter
Elite: tackles (96th). Strength: solo tackles (94th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · S · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Caleb WeaverDukeJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 96% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 90% simJohnny Chaney Jr.Florida International· 86% sim
Tackles
Solo tackles
Tackles for loss
Interceptions
Sacks
Passes defended
Forced fumbles
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Box Safety
Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tywan Francis’s 2021 season.
Tywan Francis
83%match
#2
Gunner Maldonado
82%
#3
Dalton Johnson
NFL Rd 5
80%
#4
Trevian Thomas
81%
#5
Myles Heard
74%
Matches Tywan on
Tackle volume
Height
Weight
Differs from Tywan on
Class year (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Khoury Bethley's junior season at Arizona State (2022).
Khoury Bethley
89%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Shawn Holton
86%
#3
Melique Straker
83%
#4
Jourdon Quibodeaux
78%
#5
Kenny Logan Jr.
All-Big 12
80%
Matches Khoury on
Class year
Height
Tackle volume
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Manny Diaz
Pass share
53.3%
506 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
67.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Trooper Taylor
Duke
2025era →
Manny Diaz
Duke
Coaching transition mid-career: Trooper Taylor → Manny Diaz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHouston, TX
Height5'11"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamDuke
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Sam Houston | Conference USA | DB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Sam Houston | S4 | #10838 | #10697 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Sam Houston | S4 | #11369 | #11796 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Duke | ACC | S | 4 | No. 3 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2024 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | S | 4 | No. 3 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2023 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | S | 4 | No. 3 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Houston, TX |