cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Darius Lorfils /Bowling Green

Darius Lorfils

S · Bowling Green · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Bowling Green for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Bowling Green for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Bowling Green

Returning around him

  • 8% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -12 net (15 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Bowling Green · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #107 · 2026 recruiting class #94

S · BOWLING GREEN · MID-AMERICAN

Darius Lorfils

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-2 | 190 lb
  • Germantown, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

43

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 55th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12498

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1983 national
CFB
College
Bowling Green
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-2 | 190 lb
HometownGermantown, MD
Primary teamBowling Green

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1983 recruit
Composite rating 0.8119 HighSchool
Signed with Bowling Green 2022
Origin Northwest Germantown, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8119 No. 1983 recruit | HighSchool | Bowling Green

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12498Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12548Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Bowling Green

Composite

0.8119

#1983 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Darius Lorfils

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Darius Lorfils

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
34Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
44Tackles
1.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 34): needs 15.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 34): needs 22/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Darius Lorfils is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Bowling Green's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12498 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 34 19 solo | #1138/4942 (77th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
34 77th
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 26-7vs Lafayette420.00.00
Wk 2L 20-34@ Cincinnati551.00.00
Wk 3W 23-13vs Liberty540.00.00
Wk 4L 17-40@ Louisville400.00.01
Wk 5L 20-35@ Ohio100.00.00
Wk 7W 28-23vs Toledo310.00.00
Wk 8L 6-27vs Central Michigan100.00.00
Wk 11L 21-27@ Eastern Michigan960.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 13L 16-19vs Akron100.00.00
Wk 14W 45-14@ Massachusetts110.00.00
Total34191.00.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Bowling Green6-7HC: Scot Loeffler · Balanced
2023Bowling Green7-6HC: Scot Loeffler · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Bowling Green4-8HC: Eddie George · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Bowling Green34191.00.01----
2023Bowling Green46300.00.032--
2022Bowling Green420.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons84511.00.042--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 34 #1138/4942 77th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 19 #1095/4584 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.80.00.00.0
Road5g4.00.20.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g3.20.00.00.0
Losses6g3.50.20.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.70.20.00.2
Weeks 8+4g3.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

43Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: sacks (23rd).

Solo tackles#1095 / 2975 · 62nd pct
19defe
Tackles#1138 / 2975 · 61st pct
34defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Darius LorfilsBowling GreenBlake FletcherAir Force· 74% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 72% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 67% sim
Solo tackles
62
Lorfils
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
Tackles
61
Lorfils
99
Fletcher
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
QB hurries
55
Lorfils
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
Passes defended
48
Lorfils
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
28
Lorfils
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Lorfils
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
24
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Glendon Miller’s 2024 season.

Glendon Miller

84%match

Maryland · 2024

#2

Jaylon King

Georgia Tech · 2022

83%
#3

Jamal Potts

Florida International · 2021

82%
#4

Jaylon King

Georgia Tech · 2021

82%
#5

La'Kendrick Van Zandt

TCU · 2021

82%

Matches Glendon on

Height
Weight
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brian George's senior season at Houston (2023).

Brian George

92%match

Houston · 2023

#2

Domani Jackson

Alabama · 2025

All-SECNFL Rd 6
86%
#3

Nate Thompson

Akron · 2023

86%
#4

Christopher Townsel

South Florida · 2023

85%
#5

Glendon Miller

Maryland · 2024

85%

Matches Brian on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eddie George

Pass share

37.7%

281 pass / 465 run

Plays / game

62.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.9%

265 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Scot Loeffler
Bowling Green
2023
Scot Loeffler
Bowling Green
2025
Eddie George
Bowling Green
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Scot Loeffler → Eddie George. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGermantown, MD
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Bowling Green S4 #12498 #12548 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Bowling Green S4 #9628 #9874 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Bowling Green S4 #13881 #13865 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Bowling Green Mid-American S 4 No. 9 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Germantown, MD
2024 Bowling Green Mid-American S 4 No. 9 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Germantown, MD
2023 Bowling Green Mid-American S 4 No. 9 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Germantown, MD
2022 Bowling Green Mid-American S 4 No. 9 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Germantown, MD