cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Braden Awls /Toledo

Braden Awls

S · Toledo · Jr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

48 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Toledo → Iowa State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Iowa State

2025Toledo
2026Iowa State

S · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN

Braden Awls

  • 3
  • #6
  • 6-0 | 196 lb
  • Sylvania, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

72

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4947

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Toledo · S

2024

Toledo · S

2025

Toledo · S

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1866 national
CFB
College
Toledo
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey6
Measurements6-0 | 196 lb
HometownSylvania, OH
Primary teamToledo

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1866 recruit
Composite rating 0.8304 HighSchool
Signed with Toledo 2023
Origin Central Catholic Toledo, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8304 No. 1866 recruit | HighSchool | Toledo

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Iowa State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Toledo -> Iowa State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4947Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6106Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Toledo

Composite

0.8304

#1866 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Braden Awls

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Braden Awls

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
48Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
57Tackles
7.7Tackles for loss
0.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 48): needs 16/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 48): needs 26/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 2.8/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 4.8/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Braden Awls is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Toledo's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 6.5 tackles for loss, and 5 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4947 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 48 29 solo | #649/4942 (87th pct)
TFL 6.5 Backfield disruption | #340/4972 (93rd pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
48 87th
SOLO
29 88th
TFL
6.5 93rd
SACK
0.5 70th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
5 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 16-24@ Kentucky520.00.01
Wk 2W 45-21vs Western Kentucky551.00.00
Wk 3W 60-0vs Morgan State310.00.00
Wk 4L 13-14@ Western Michigan221.00.00
Wk 5W 45-3vs Akron410.50.50
Wk 7L 23-28@ Bowling Green441.00.010
Wk 8W 45-10vs Kent State410.50.010
Wk 9L 7-28@ Washington State1050.00.020Season-high 10 tackles
Wk 12W 24-3@ Miami (OH)200.50.011
Wk 13W 38-9vs Ball State431.00.00
Wk 14W 21-3@ Central Michigan551.00.02
Total48296.50.554
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Toledo11-3HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2024Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Balanced
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Toledo48296.50.545--
2024Toledo72422.50.564--
2023Toledo740.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons127759.01.0109--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 5 0 pick-six TD | #6/869 (99th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 48 #649/4942 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.5 #340/4972 93rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 5 #6/869 99th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 29 #559/4584 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 21 #301/578 48th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 4.2 #462/578 20th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.00.60.10.0
Road6g4.70.60.00.7

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g3.90.60.10.4
Losses4g5.20.50.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.80.60.10.2
Weeks 8+5g5.00.60.00.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

72Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (98th). Strength: tackles for loss (87th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#6 / 817 · 98th pct
5inte
Tackles for loss#340 / 2975 · 87th pct
6.5defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Solo tackles#559 / 2975 · 80th pct
29defe
Tackles#649 / 2975 · 78th pct
48defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Braden AwlsToledoAhmaad MosesSMU· 88% simNick AndersenWake Forest· 85% simOwen LongColorado State· 83% sim
Interceptions
98
Awls
98
Moses
Tackles for loss
87
Awls
83
Moses
90
Andersen
80
Long
Passes defended
86
Awls
78
Moses
96
Andersen
91
Long
Solo tackles
80
Awls
98
Moses
96
Andersen
99
Long
Tackles
78
Awls
99
Moses
99
Andersen
100
Long
Sacks
51
Awls
63
Moses
74
Andersen
80
Long
QB hurries
22
Awls
22
Moses
22
Andersen
22
Long

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brice Pollock’s 2025 season.

Brice Pollock

89%match

Texas Tech · 2025

#2

Teagan Wilk

East Carolina · 2022

86%
#3

Joseph Charleston

Missouri · 2024

86%
#4

Justin Parks

Arkansas State · 2023

86%
#5

Jett Elad

UNLV · 2023

86%

Matches Brice on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kamren Kinchens's junior season at Miami (2023).

Kamren Kinchens

90%match

Miami · 2023

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 3 · Pk 36
#2

Brice Pollock

Texas Tech · 2025

89%
#3

Saveon Brown

Buffalo · 2025

84%
#4

Audavion Collins

Penn State · 2025

82%
#5

Jayden Sweeney

Florida Atlantic · 2025

81%

Matches Kamren on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jason Candle

Pass share

45.9%

397 pass / 467 run

Plays / game

66.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Jason Candle
Toledo
2024
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo

Played his entire career under Jason Candle.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSylvania, OH
Height6'0"
Weight196 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-MAC all_conference Toledo | MAC DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Toledo S3 #4947 #6106 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Toledo S3 #9623 #9176 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Toledo Mid-American S 3 No. 6 | 6-0 | 196 lb | Sylvania, OH
2024 Toledo Mid-American S 3 No. 6 | 6-0 | 196 lb | Sylvania, OH
2023 Toledo Mid-American S 3 No. 6 | 6-0 | 196 lb | Sylvania, OH