Derrius Guice: RB · LSU · #5.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Derrius Guice
Does a little of everything without one standout trait. The three seasons at LSU span two head coaches: Les Miles and Ed Orgeron. All-SEC in 2017 made it two straight seasons on the honors list. One game to point at: 276 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards against Ole Miss — Week 8, 2017.
Play style
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
Boom vs consistent · carry-yardage shape
Steady, not spectacular
Just 16.3% of his season rushing yards came on his 5 best carries — remarkably even — and he's stuffed on 13.1% of his carries. 8 carries for 14 yds vs Syracuse; 22 for 276 vs Ole Miss.
Counted from the play-by-play, so a carry or two can differ from the box score.
Closer · Q4-with-lead carry share
Not actually a closer
44.9% of carries overall (236/526) → 28.7% of Q4-with-lead carries (33/115) — 54.5% of those in competitive (≤16-pt) games.
Counted from the play-by-play, so a carry or two can differ from the box score.
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
8 of 11 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (72.7%). 15 of the team's 30 inside-the-5 carries (50.0%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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Game log · Week-by-week
2017 season · 12 games
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| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-0vs BYU | 27 | 122 | 4.5 | 2 | 13 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-10vs Chattanooga | 15 | 102 | 6.8 | 2 | 25 | |
| Wk 3 | L 7-37@ Mississippi State | 15 | 76 | 5.1 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-26vs Syracuse | 8 | 14 | 1.8 | 1 | 11 | |
| Wk 6 | W 17-16@ No. 21 Florida | 17 | 50 | 2.9 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 7 | W 27-23vs No. 10 Auburn | 20 | 71 | 3.5 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 8 | W 40-24@ Ole Miss | 22 | 276 | 12.5 | 1 | 59 | Season-high 276 yds |
| Wk 10 | L 10-24@ No. 1 Alabama | 19 | 71 | 3.7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 11 | W 33-10vs Arkansas | 21 | 147 | 7.0 | 3 | 33 | 3 rushing TDs |
| Wk 12 | W 30-10@ Tennessee | 24 | 97 | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 13 | W 45-21vs Texas A&M | 28 | 127 | 4.5 | 1 | 23 | |
 Bowl | L 17-21vs No. 14 Notre Dame | 21 | 98 | 4.7 | 0 | 31 | |
| Total | 237 | 1251 | 5.3 | 11 | 59 |
Week 8 · 2017
W 40-24
at Ole Miss
276 rush yds (22 car) · 1 TD
With D. Williams — 4 rec · 105 yds · 103 rush yds (22 car) · D. Etling — 200 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 73.2
The plays that mattered most
Rush profile · Shape, efficiency, and ball security
How he gets his yards, and how often it works
Success rate
50%215 carriesFumble rate
0.4%1 of 237 carriesStuffed
0 or fewer ydsGrind
1–3 ydsChunk
4–9 ydsExplosive
10+ yds5.3 yds/carry on 237 carries · 11% explosive (10+ yds) · 50% success rate.
Situational · Carry shape (PBP, full season)
Yardage DNA
Stuffed (≤0)
Grind (1–3)
Chunk (4–9)
Explosive (10+)
Splits · Per-game
2017 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 92.2 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| Road5g | 114 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 76.1 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 144 | 6.3 | 1.2 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ed Orgeron
Pass share
35.2%
300 pass / 552 run
Plays / game
65.5
13 games
Team sack rate
8.8%
339 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2017
Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.
How it ended
Three seasons at LSU, 3,074 rushing yards, a first-team All-Conference season (2016) — drafted at #59 overall by the Washington Redskins.
A blue-chip recruit with honors.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-SEC · 2ND TEAM
All-SEC 2nd team (2017)
Coaching lineage · 2015–2017
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Les Miles → Ed Orgeron. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Next stop · NFL
Washington RedskinsEntering 9th NFL season
Washington RedskinsEntering 9th NFL season
