cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dontae Smith /Georgia Tech

Dontae Smith

RB · Georgia Tech · Sr · #4

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSGeorgia Tech 2023 alumnus

RB · GEORGIA TECH · ACC

Dontae Smith

  • 4
  • #4
  • 5-11 | 198 lb
  • Spring Hill, TN

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#338

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2023
3782021
4192022
5042023

+33%

Up 33% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#791 national
CFB
College
Georgia Tech
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements5-11 | 198 lb
HometownSpring Hill, TN
Primary teamGeorgia Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 791 recruit
Composite rating 0.8614 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia Tech 2018
Origin Spring Hill Columbia, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8614 No. 791 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#338Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#447Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Georgia Tech

Composite

0.8614

#791 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dontae Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dontae Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dontae Smith's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #338 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 596 504 rush | 92 rec | #161/735 (78th pct)
Rush TD 4 100 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 5.0 Per-rush efficiency | #280/735 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
100 78th
YDS
504 78th
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
10 61st
YDS
92 67th
YPR
9.2 72nd
TD
1 89th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Georgia Tech3-9HC: Geoff Collins · Run-leaning
2022Georgia Tech5-7HC: Brent Key · Balanced
2023Georgia Tech7-6HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023Georgia Tech1005045.04--
2022Georgia Tech874194.85--
2021Georgia Tech683785.64--
Career3 loaded seasons2551,3015.113--
SeasonTeam
2023Georgia Tech10929.21--
2022Georgia Tech191256.60--
2021Georgia Tech7334.70--
Career3 loaded seasons362506.91--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 10 92 rec yds | #217/552 (61st pct)
Usage 9.6% 16.3% rush share | #331/738 (55th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.35 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #3/362 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 504 #161/735 78th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.0 #280/735 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 10 #217/552 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 92 #184/548 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.35 #3/362 99th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 71 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 9.6% #331/738 55th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 100 #163/739 78th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 70 #62/733 92nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #114/540 79th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.2 #156/548 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 16.3% #322/738 57th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.5% #251/738 66th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.4% #342/738 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 8.8% #387/738 48th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.9% #300/738 59th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.2% #389/738 47th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.2% #386/738 48th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Key

Pass share

46.1%

391 pass / 457 run

Plays / game

65.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

221 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

2 coaches
2021
Geoff Collins
Georgia Tech
2022
Brent Key
Georgia Tech
era →
2023
Brent Key
Georgia Tech

Coaching transition mid-career: Geoff Collins → Brent Key. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSpring Hill, TN
Height5'11"
Weight198 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Georgia Tech RB4 #338 #447 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Georgia Tech RB4 #623 #864 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Georgia Tech RB4 #349 #405 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 Georgia Tech ACC RB 4 No. 4 | 5-11 | 198 lb | Spring Hill, TN
2022 Georgia Tech ACC RB 4 No. 4 | 5-11 | 198 lb | Spring Hill, TN
2021 Georgia Tech ACC RB 4 No. 4 | 5-11 | 198 lb | Spring Hill, TN