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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Demond Claiborne /Wake Forest

Demond Claiborne

RB · Wake Forest · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

905 RUSH YDS · 10 RUSH TD · 179 CARRIES

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Minnesota — Rd 6, Pick 17, #198 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Minnesota2026 NFL rookie season

#198Rd 6 · Pick 17
Minnesota2026 NFL rookie season

RB · WAKE FOREST · ACC

Demond Claiborne

  • 4
  • #1
  • 5-10 | 195 lb
  • Aylett, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

77

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2873

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Wake Forest · RB

2023

Wake Forest · RB

2025

Wake Forest · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 6, Pick 17 · #198 overall · Minnesota

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
57.02022
5862023
9052025

+1488%

Up 1488% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#329 national
CFB
College
Wake Forest
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 &middot; #198
Minnesota &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements5-10 | 195 lb
HometownAylett, VA
Primary teamWake Forest

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 329 recruit
Composite rating 0.8994 HighSchool
Signed with Wake Forest 2022
Origin King William King William, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.8994 No. 329 recruit | HighSchool | Wake Forest

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2873Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3240Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (905).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Wake Forest

Composite

0.8994

#329 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 6, Pick 17

#198 overall · Minnesota

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Demond Claiborne

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Claiborne Selected in Sixth Round by the Minnesota Vikings &nbsp;&nbsp; Wake For"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Longest active streaks of games w/a TD (P4 non-QBs): Antwan Raymond, Rut - 8 Jor"National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Demond Claiborne

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per carry

5.1

yds

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #30 of 69
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 57th

Why it matters

#30 of 69 P4 + Notre Dame RBs at 5.1 yards per carry (179 carries).

Vs cohort

This player 5.1 (57th)

HIGH · n=179 cohort 69

  • Also strong
  • Rushing yards (total)#21 / 69
  • Rushing WEPA per carry#51 / 66

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs Western Carolina — 193 ypc

Result W 42-10

The week the volume broke through — put up 193 yds vs Western Carolina.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
905Rush yards
179Carries
10Rush TDs
Per game
75.4Rush yards
15Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
980.4Rush yards
194Carries
11Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 905.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 905): needs 95/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 905): needs 595/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 10.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 10): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 10): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Demond Claiborne is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 905 rushing yards, 28 catches, and 18 return yards for Wake Forest. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #2873 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 25.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 329 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,045 905 rush | 140 rec | #51/735 (93rd pct)
Rush TD 10 179 carries | #33/739 (96th pct)
Yards/carry 5.1 Per-rush efficiency | #257/735 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
179 95th
YDS
905 93rd
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
10 96th

Receiving

REC
28 93rd
YDS
140 82nd
YPR
5.0 26th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 10-9vs Kennesaw State3196.3013
Wk 2W 42-10vs Western Carolina1019319.3385Season-high 193 yds
Wk 3L 24-34vs NC State12352.918
Wk 5L 29-30vs Georgia Tech211195.7227
Wk 6W 30-23@ Virginia Tech7294.1111
Wk 7W 39-14@ Oregon State161449.0166
Wk 9W 13-12vs SMU23733.2017
Wk 10L 7-42@ Florida State14271.909
Wk 11W 16-9@ Virginia25753.0012
Wk 12W 28-12vs North Carolina23984.3120
Wk 13W 52-14vs Delaware12373.1113
Wk 14L 32-49@ Duke13564.3014
Total1799055.61085
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Wake Forest8-5HC: Dave Clawson · Balanced
2023Wake Forest4-8HC: Dave Clawson · Run-leaning
2025Wake Forest9-4HC: Jake Dickert · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wake Forest1799055.110--
2023Wake Forest1375864.35--
2022Wake Forest14574.10--
Career3 loaded seasons3301,5484.715--
SeasonTeam
2025Wake Forest281405.00--
2023Wake Forest33511.70--
2022Wake Forest1-5-5.00--
Career3 loaded seasons321705.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 28 140 rec yds | #39/552 (93rd pct)
Usage 25.7% 40.1% rush share | #42/738 (94th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.08 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #247/362 (32nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 905 #51/735 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 10 #33/739 96th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #257/735 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 28 #39/552 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 140 #100/548 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.08 #247/362 32nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 167 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 25.7% #42/738 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 179 #40/739 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 85 #14/733 98th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 21 #218/540 60th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.0 #406/548 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 18.0 #104/199 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 18 #156/200 22nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 40.1% #63/738 92nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 30.6% #36/738 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 29.6% #40/738 95th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 23.7% #57/738 92nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 18.8% #35/738 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 17.6% #34/738 96th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 10.6% #22/738 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #254/256 1st pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g82.06.41.1
Road5g66.24.50.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins8g83.56.50.9
Losses4g59.23.70.8

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g89.87.91.3
Weeks 8+6g61.03.30.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

77All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long run (96th). Strength: rush tds (89th). Concern: fumbles lost (0th).

Long run#13 / 349 · 96th pct
85rush
Rush TDs#33 / 349 · 89th pct
10rush
Carries#40 / 349 · 88th pct
179rush
Receptions#39 / 338 · 88th pct
28rece
Rush yards#51 / 349 · 86th pct
905rush
Rec yards#91 / 338 · 73rd pct
140rece
Yards / carry#139 / 349 · 58th pct
5.1rush
Fumbles lost#199 / 201 · 1st pct
4fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.08Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Demond ClaiborneWake ForestCameron DickeyTexas Tech· 91% simCamryn EdwardsUConn· 87% simLincoln PareTexas State· 86% sim
Long run
96
Claiborne
85
Dickey
88
Edwards
75
Pare
Rush TDs
89
Claiborne
96
Dickey
97
Edwards
94
Pare
Carries
88
Claiborne
94
Dickey
93
Edwards
94
Pare
Receptions
88
Claiborne
83
Dickey
75
Edwards
97
Pare
Rush yards
86
Claiborne
95
Dickey
96
Edwards
94
Pare
Rec yards
73
Claiborne
88
Dickey
81
Edwards
96
Pare
Yards / carry
58
Claiborne
68
Dickey
84
Edwards
68
Pare
Fumbles lost
1
Claiborne
1
Dickey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ulysses Bentley IV’s 2020 season.

Ulysses Bentley IV

76%match

SMU · 2020

All-AAC
#2

Omiri Wiggins

Louisiana Tech · 2025

77%
#3

Rodney Hammond Jr.

Pittsburgh · 2021

76%
#4

Kaegun Williams

San Diego State · 2021

75%
#5

Andrew Henry

UL Monroe · 2022

75%

Matches Ulysses on

Yards / carry
Receiving share
Class year

Differs from Ulysses on

Yards / reception (lower)
Height (lower)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Clay Thevenin’s path through Louisiana Tech.

Clay Thevenin

96%match

Louisiana Tech · 2025

#2

Andrew Body

Alabama State · 2025

93%
#3

Chuba Hubbard

Oklahoma State · 2020

All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
92%
#4

Austin Jones

USC · 2023

91%
#5

Herschel Turner

Nevada · 2025

91%

Matches Clay on

Height
Weight
Yards per carry

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to J'mari Taylor's senior season at Virginia (2025).

J'mari Taylor

71%match

Virginia · 2025

#2

Nate Noel

App State · 2023

All-Sun Belt
71%
#3

Aidan Laughery

Illinois · 2025

All-Big Ten
70%
#4

Larry McCammon III

Florida Atlantic · 2023

All-Conference USA
69%
#5

Ron Cook Jr.

Buffalo · 2023

69%

Matches J'mari on

Receiving share
Height
EPA / carry (adj)

Differs from J'mari on

Total rush EPA (college ability) (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jake Dickert

Pass share

48.0%

405 pass / 439 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Dave Clawson
Wake Forest
2023
Dave Clawson
Wake Forest
2025
Jake Dickert
Wake Forest
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Dave Clawson → Jake Dickert. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAylett, VA
Height5'10"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-ACC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-ACC all_conference Wake Forest | ACC RB
2024 All-ACC all_conference Wake Forest | ACC ALL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wake Forest RB4 #2873 #3240 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Wake Forest RB4 #713 #983 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Wake Forest RB4 #1658 #1559 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wake Forest ACC RB 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Aylett, VA
2024 Wake Forest ACC RB 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Aylett, VA
2023 Wake Forest ACC RB 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Aylett, VA
2022 Wake Forest ACC RB 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Aylett, VA