cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ty Clark III /Wake Forest

Ty Clark III

RB · Wake Forest · So · #23

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

323 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 75 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Wake Forest for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Wake Forest for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Wake Forest

Returning around him

  • 26% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Wake Forest players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (24 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Wake Forest · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #74 · 2026 recruiting class #63

RB · WAKE FOREST · ACC

Ty Clark III

  • 2
  • #23
  • 6-0 | 207 lb
  • Nashville, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

36

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3278

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1255 national
CFB
College
Wake Forest
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey23
Measurements6-0 | 207 lb
HometownNashville, TN
Primary teamWake Forest

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1255 recruit
Composite rating 0.8589 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2024
Origin Franklin Road Academy Nashville, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8589 No. 1255 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3278Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3540Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8589

#1255 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ty Clark III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ty Clark III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
323Rush yards
75Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
26.9Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
349.9Rush yards
81Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 323): needs 427/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 323): needs 677/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 323): needs 1,177/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 12/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 17/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ty Clark III's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wake Forest, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3278 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 532 323 rush | 209 rec | #251/735 (66th pct)
Rush TD 3 75 carries | #204/739 (73rd pct)
Yards/carry 4.3 Per-rush efficiency | #435/735 (41st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
75 70th
YDS
323 66th
YPC
4.3 41st
TD
3 73rd

Receiving

REC
17 80th
YDS
209 91st
YPR
12.3 89th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 10-9vs Kennesaw State11373.406Season-high 91 yds
Wk 2W 42-10vs Western Carolina7192.707
Wk 5L 29-30vs Georgia Tech5122.404
Wk 6W 30-23@ Virginia Tech4225.5113
Wk 7W 39-14@ Oregon State210.501
Wk 9W 13-12vs SMU4123.007
Wk 10L 7-42@ Florida State7223.1013
Wk 11W 16-9@ Virginia362.004
Wk 12W 28-12vs North Carolina6223.7010
Wk 13W 52-14vs Delaware7669.4115
Wk 14L 32-49@ Duke2136.5112
BowlW 43-29@ Mississippi State17915.4012
Total753234.0315
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Wake Forest9-4HC: Jake Dickert · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wake Forest753234.33--
Career1 loaded season753234.33--
SeasonTeam
2025Wake Forest1720912.31--
Career1 loaded season1720912.31--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 17 209 rec yds | #111/552 (80th pct)
Usage 8.7% 12.6% rush share | #364/738 (51st pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 323 #251/735 66th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 3 #204/739 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.3 #435/735 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 17 #111/552 80th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 209 #51/548 91st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 8.7% #364/738 51st pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 75 #223/739 70th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #465/733 37th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 62 #27/540 95th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 12.3 #61/548 89th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 12.6% #407/738 45th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.5% #157/738 79th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.3% #331/738 55th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.9% #384/738 48th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 8.1% #288/738 61st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.6% #524/738 29th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.8% #172/738 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g28.04.10.2
Road6g25.83.80.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g30.74.00.2
Losses3g15.74.00.3

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g30.33.30.2
Weeks 8+6g23.54.60.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

36Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (85th). Concern: long run (4th).

Rec yards#48 / 338 · 86th pct
209rece
Receptions#103 / 338 · 67th pct
17rece
Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct
3rush
Carries#223 / 349 · 35th pct
75rush
Rush yards#251 / 349 · 28th pct
323rush
Yards / carry#257 / 349 · 24th pct
4.3rush
Long run#332 / 349 · 4th pct
15rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Ty Clark IIIWake ForestSeth McGowanKentucky· 65% simRashod DubinionApp State· 65% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 65% sim
Rec yards
86
III
67
McGowan
77
Dubinion
79
Henderson
Receptions
67
III
75
McGowan
86
Dubinion
85
Henderson
Rush TDs
38
III
94
McGowan
50
Dubinion
72
Henderson
Carries
35
III
85
McGowan
87
Dubinion
90
Henderson
Rush yards
28
III
76
McGowan
84
Dubinion
79
Henderson
Yards / carry
24
III
29
McGowan
53
Dubinion
18
Henderson
Long run
4
III
11
McGowan
39
Dubinion
43
Henderson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Satellite Back

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ronald Awatt’s 2020 season.

Ronald Awatt

68%match

UTEP · 2020

#2

Dylan Carson

Air Force · 2025

68%
#3

Dominic Richardson

Oklahoma State · 2022

70%
#4

Casey Filkins

Stanford · 2022

70%
#5

Lorenzo Lingard

Akron · 2023

69%

Matches Ronald on

Yards / carry
Weight

Differs from Ronald on

Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Darius Wilson’s path through William & Mary.

Darius Wilson

98%match

William & Mary · 2024

#2

Deon Jackson

Duke · 2020

92%
#3

Maurki James

Old Dominion · 2025

92%
#4

Keyon Brooks

Louisiana Tech · 2021

91%
#5

Isaih Pacheco

Rutgers · 2021

NFL Rd 7
89%

Matches Darius on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Lynch's sophomore season at Northern Illinois (2022).

Justin Lynch

71%match

Northern Illinois · 2022

#2

Quinn Henicle

Old Dominion · 2025

68%
#3

Lloyd Avant

Colorado State · 2025

70%
#4

Shadrick Byrd

Charlotte · 2021

68%
#5

Bryce Carpenter

Coastal Carolina · 2021

65%

Matches Justin on

Rush TD rate
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Justin on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jake Dickert

Pass share

48.0%

405 pass / 439 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jake Dickert
Wake Forest

Played his entire career under Jake Dickert.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNashville, TN
Height6'0"
Weight207 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wake Forest RB2 #3278 #3540 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wake Forest ACC RB 2 No. 23 | 6-0 | 207 lb | Nashville, TN
2024 Wake Forest ACC RB 2 No. 23 | 6-0 | 207 lb | Nashville, TN