CFB Zeitgeist Score
60
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 84th percentile.
Elijah Tau-Tolliver
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
428 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 72 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Michigan State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Michigan State
Returning around him
- 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Michigan State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -18 net (28 in / 46 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Michigan State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #38 · 2026 recruiting class #57
RB · MICHIGAN STATE · BIG TEN
Elijah Tau-Tolliver
- 4
- #4
- 6-1 | 211 lb
- Sparks, NV
Heisman Heat
Awaiting
Not on the live Heisman board this week.
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
—
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Michigan State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sacramento State -> Michigan State | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens
Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.
Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Elijah Tau-Tolliver
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Elijah Tau-Tolliver
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
428Rush yards
72Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
38.9Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
505.8Rush yards
85Carries
2Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 428): needs 161/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 428): needs 286/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 428): needs 536/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 9/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Elijah Tau-Tolliver's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Michigan State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
72 68th
YDS
428 74th
YPC
5.9 83rd
TD
2 67th
Receiving
REC
18 83rd
YDS
139 82nd
YPR
7.7 59th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 23-6vs Western Michigan | 8 | 17 | 2.1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 2 | W 42-40vs Boston College | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-24vs Youngstown State | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | 1 | 22 | |
| Wk 4 | L 31-45@ USC | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 7 | L 13-38vs UCLA | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 8 | L 13-38@ Indiana | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | L 20-31vs Michigan | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-23@ Minnesota | 11 | 127 | 11.5 | 0 | 85 | Season-high 127 yds |
| Wk 12 | L 10-28vs Penn State | 6 | 79 | 13.2 | 1 | 57 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-20@ Iowa | 16 | 35 | 2.2 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 14 | W 38-28vs Maryland | 13 | 95 | 7.3 | 0 | 38 | |
| Total | 72 | 428 | 5.2 | 2 | 85 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Michigan State4-8HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Michigan State | 72 | 428 | 5.9 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 72 | 428 | 5.9 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Michigan State | 18 | 139 | 7.7 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 18 | 139 | 7.7 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 428 | #195/735 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.9 | #126/735 | 83rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 18 | #96/552 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 139 | #102/548 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.06 | #279/362 | 23rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 66 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 14.5% | #191/738 | 74th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 85 | #14/733 | 98th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 72 | #235/739 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 32 | #114/540 | 79th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.7 | #224/548 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 79 | #73/200 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 13.2 | #156/199 | 22nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 6 | #49/206 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 25.1% | #179/738 | 76th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 18.0% | #177/738 | 76th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 17.3% | #180/738 | 76th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.8% | #185/738 | 75th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.8% | #297/738 | 60th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.4% | #328/738 | 56th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.9% | #121/738 | 84th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 35.6 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Road4g | 44.8 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 37.5 | 4.9 | 0.2 |
| Losses7g | 39.7 | 5.3 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 12.2 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 61.2 | 6.7 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
60Solid starter
Elite: long run (96th). Strength: yards / carry (84th). Concern: rush tds (25th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2025
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Elijah Tau-TolliverMichigan StateJevon JacksonUAB· 69% simRaleek BrownArizona State· 68% simDaylan SmothersNC State· 67% sim
Long run
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush yards
Carries
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete Back
Threatens defenses in every dimension — rushing, receiving, third-down.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Elijah Green’s 2025 season.
Elijah Green
69%match
#2
Micah Bernard
67%
#3
Jeffery Pittman
67%
#4
C'Bo Flemister
63%
#5
Zaquandre White
60%
Matches Elijah on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from Elijah on
Height (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Elijah Mitchell’s path through Louisiana.
Elijah Mitchell
93%match
All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 6
#2
Jamal Roberts
92%
#3
Durell Robinson
90%
#4
D'Vonte Price
90%
#5
Byron Cardwell
89%
Matches Elijah on
Yards per carry
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Ashaad Clayton's senior season at Tulane (2023).
Ashaad Clayton
64%match
#2
Ryan Montgomery
63%
#3
Darvon Hubbard
62%
#4
Dean Connors
60%
#5
Coleman Bennett
All-Conference USA
58%
Matches Ashaad on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from Ashaad on
Rush TD rate (higher)
Yards / carry (higher)
EPA / carry (adj) (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jonathan Smith
Pass share
49.7%
378 pass / 382 run
Plays / game
63.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.2%
303 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jonathan Smith
Michigan State
Played his entire career under Jonathan Smith.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSparks, NV
Height6'1"
Weight211 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMichigan State
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc1 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model. | |||||||||
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Michigan State | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-1 | 211 lb | Sparks, NV |