CFB Zeitgeist Score
75
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 83rd percentile.
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
77 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Cleveland2026 NFL rookie season
#58Rd 2 · Pick 26
Cleveland2026 NFL rookie season
S · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren
- 4
- #7
- 6-2 | 202 lb
- Saint Petersburg, FL
Heisman Heat
#7594
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Toledo · S
—
2023
Toledo · S
—
2024
Toledo · S
—
★
2025
Toledo · S
R11 · National watch / fringe AA
Recognized
NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 2, Pick 26 · #58 overall · Cleveland
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Toledo
NFL
NFL Draft
R2 · #58
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8467 | No. 1357 recruit | HighSchool | Toledo |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Honors Badge 0.7% Honors Badge Recognized on a major honors list (Heisman, All-American, Davey O'Brien, Maxwell, Walter Camp, Nagurski, Biletnikoff). Held by 0.7% of the 2025 pool. Recognized on: All-America (PFF).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Toledo
Composite
0.8467
#1357 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 2, Pick 26
#58 overall · Cleveland
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 13g
77Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
77Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Toledo's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
77 96th
SOLO
36 93rd
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
3 75th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
6 93rd
INT
2 87th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 16-24@ Kentucky | 11 | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-21vs Western Kentucky | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | W 60-0vs Morgan State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-14@ Western Michigan | 8 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 45-3vs Akron | 5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 23-28@ Bowling Green | 5 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-10vs Kent State | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-28@ Washington State | 13 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 13 tackles |
| Wk 11 | W 42-3vs Northern Illinois | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-3@ Miami (OH) | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-9vs Ball State | 8 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 21-3@ Central Michigan | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bowl | L 22-27@ Louisville | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Total | 77 | 36 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 6 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Toledo9-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2023Toledo11-3HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2024Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Balanced
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 77 | #179/4942 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 5.5 | #477/4972 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.5 | #1501/4972 | 70th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 2 | #114/869 | 87th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 6 | #144/2184 | 93rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 3 | #462/1878 | 75th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 37 | #167/578 | 71st pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 36 | #322/4584 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 18.5 | #227/578 | 61st pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 2 | #13/736 | 98th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Defensive TD | 1 | #23/200 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pick-six TD | 1 | #13/119 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
NATIONAL WATCH
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
NATIONAL WATCH · Rung 11 of 16
Why he’s here
National watch / fringe All-American — on the edge of a 1st-team nod.
What moves him up
Convert a fringe mention into a 1st-team NCAA-selector All-American spot.
What moves him down
A quiet close drops this back to the conference honors.
Accolade streams
1st-team selections1×1ST
First-team selections from 1 selectors.
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Road7g | 7.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Losses5g | 8.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 5.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 6.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort
75Solid starter
Elite: passes defended (93rd). Strength: tackles (93rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · S · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Emmanuel Mcneil-WarrenToledoAndon ThomasArmy· 93% simEli BlakeyMiami (OH)· 93% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 89% sim
Passes defended
Tackles
Solo tackles
Tackles for loss
QB hurries
Interceptions
Sacks
Forced fumbles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Box Safety
Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Paul Lewis III’s 2024 season.
Paul Lewis III
92%match
All-MAC
#2
Trikweze Bridges
NFL Rd 7
85%
#3
Jakobe Thomas
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 34
83%
#4
Isaiah Nwokobia
All-ACC
84%
#5
Tavian Combs
81%
Matches Paul on
Height
PD rate
Weight
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Hunter Wohler's senior season at Wisconsin (2024).
Hunter Wohler
86%match
All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
#2
Dustin Johnson
81%
#3
Kitan Oladapo
NFL Rd 5
83%
#4
Barrett Carter
All-ACCNFL Rd 4
80%
#5
DeShon Singleton
81%
Matches Hunter on
Class year
Height
PD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jason Candle
Pass share
45.9%
397 pass / 467 run
Plays / game
66.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Jason Candle
Toledo
2023
Jason Candle
Toledo
2024
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo
Played his entire career under Jason Candle.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSaint Petersburg, FL
Height6'2"
Weight202 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamToledo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🥇
ALL-AMERICA
Named All-American (2025)
1 selectors honored him
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-MAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 All-America selection
National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Toledo | MAC | DB |
| 2025 | All-America (PFF) | all_america | PFF | DB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo | Mid-American | S | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 202 lb | Saint Petersburg, FL |
| 2024 | Toledo | Mid-American | S | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 202 lb | Saint Petersburg, FL |
| 2023 | Toledo | Mid-American | S | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 202 lb | Saint Petersburg, FL |
| 2022 | Toledo | Mid-American | S | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 202 lb | Saint Petersburg, FL |