CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Ethan Garbers
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · UCLA · BIG TEN
Ethan Garbers
- 4
- #4
- 6-3 | 210 lb
- Newport Beach, CA
Heisman Heat
#113
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR02 · Deep reserve
Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2021
UCLA · QB
—
2022
UCLA · QB
—
2023
UCLA · QB
—
★
2024
UCLA · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2024+794%
Up 794% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
UCLA
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4-star | 0.9474 | No. 121 recruit | HighSchool | Washington |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Washington
Composite
0.9474
#121 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ethan Garbers
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ethan Garbers
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Ethan Garbers already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2024 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2024 season snapshot | final
2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2024 Season · Final
2024 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
235 89th
ATT
363 89th
CMP%
64.7% 65th
Y/A
7.5 68th
Passing Production
YDS
2,727 87th
TD
16 85th
INT
11 5th
Rushing
CAR
83 82nd
YDS
137 73rd
YPC
1.7 35th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021UCLA8-4HC: Chip Kelly · Run-heavy
2022UCLA9-4HC: Chip Kelly · Run-leaning
2023UCLA8-5HC: Chip Kelly · Run-leaning
2024UCLA5-7HC: Deshaun Foster · Balanced, slow tempo
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,727 | #52/382 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 16 | #63/407 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 235 | #45/383 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 64.7% | #134/383 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.5 | #125/382 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 137 | #112/408 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.43 | #19/200 | 91st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 410 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 66.0% | #5/428 | 99th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 363 | #47/407 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 11 | #386/407 | 5th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 83 | #75/408 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 57 | #35/391 | 91st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.7 | #266/407 | 35th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 98.7% | #3/428 | 100th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 88.7% | #1/428 | 100th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 80.2% | #5/428 | 99th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 66.1% | #9/428 | 98th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 57.8% | #5/428 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 54.4% | #13/428 | 97th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 19.4% | #68/428 | 84th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.27 | #58/140 | 59th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 59 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 5 | #252/258 | 3rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Deshaun Foster
Pass share
48.9%
358 pass / 374 run
Plays / game
61.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.3%
280 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024
2 coaches2021
Chip Kelly
UCLA
2022
Chip Kelly
UCLA
2023
Chip Kelly
UCLA
2024era →
Deshaun Foster
UCLA
Coaching transition mid-career: Chip Kelly → Deshaun Foster. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNewport Beach, CA
Height6'3"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUCLA
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Big Ten
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Big Ten | -- |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UCLA | QB4 | #113 | #208 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | UCLA | QB4 | #125 | #134 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | UCLA | QB4 | #259 | #225 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2021 | UCLA | QB4 | #466 | #389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.