cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jacob Rodriguez /Texas Tech

Jacob Rodriguez

LB · Texas Tech · Sr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

122 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Miami — Rd 2, Pick 11, #43 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Miami2026 NFL rookie season

#43Rd 2 · Pick 11
Miami2026 NFL rookie season

LB · TEXAS TECH · BIG 12

Jacob Rodriguez

  • 4
  • #10
  • 6-1 | 230 lb
  • Wichita Falls, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

80

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12292

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R14 Unanimous All-American · 2025

2021

Virginia · LB

2022

Texas Tech · LB

2023

Texas Tech · LB

2025

Texas Tech · LB

R14 · Unanimous All-American

Elite

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 2, Pick 11 · #43 overall · Miami

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#412 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R2 &middot; #43
Miami &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey10
Measurements6-1 | 230 lb
HometownWichita Falls, TX
Primary teamTexas Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 412 recruit
Composite rating 0.8890 HighSchool
Signed with Virginia 2021
Origin Rider Wichita Falls, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8890 No. 412 recruit | HighSchool | Virginia

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12292Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12224Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Honors Badge 0.7% Honors Badge Recognized on a major honors list (Heisman, All-American, Davey O'Brien, Maxwell, Walter Camp, Nagurski, Biletnikoff). Held by 0.7% of the 2025 pool. Recognized on: All-America (AFCA).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Named Consensus All-American — recognized on 3+ of the 5 NCAA-recognized selector lists.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Virginia

Composite

0.8890

#412 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 2, Pick 11

#43 overall · Miami

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jacob Rodriguez

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jacob Rodriguez

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
122Tackles
10Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
9Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
122Tackles
10Tackles for loss
1Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 122.

✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 122.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jacob Rodriguez is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas Tech's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and 4 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12292 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 122 62 solo | #14/4942 (100th pct)
TFL 10.0 Backfield disruption | #103/4972 (98th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
122 100th
SOLO
62 100th
TFL
10.0 98th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
6 93rd
INT
4 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 67-7vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff330.00.01
Wk 2W 62-14vs Kent State410.00.00
Wk 3W 45-14vs Oregon State720.50.00
Wk 4W 34-10@ Utah1150.50.010
Wk 6W 35-11@ Houston542.00.012
Wk 7W 42-17vs Kansas1461.51.00Season-high 14 tackles
Wk 8L 22-26@ Arizona State1271.00.01
Wk 9W 42-0vs Oklahoma State1061.00.00
Wk 10W 43-20@ Kansas State551.00.01
Wk 11W 29-7vs BYU1491.00.010
Wk 12W 48-9vs UCF960.00.011
Wk 14W 49-0@ West Virginia420.50.00
Wk 15W 34-7vs BYU1341.00.00
BowlL 0-23vs Oregon1120.00.00
Total1226210.01.046
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Virginia6-6HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Pass-heavy
2022Texas Tech8-5HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Texas Tech7-6HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
2025Texas Tech12-2HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech1226210.01.064--
2023Texas Tech30221.00.021--
2022Texas Tech26152.00.0------
2021Virginia110.00.0----1
Career4 loaded seasons17910013.01.0851
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 4 0 pick-six TD | #23/869 (97th pct)
Pass breakups 6 Coverage disruption | #144/2184 (93rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 122 #14/4942 100th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 10.0 #103/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 4 #23/869 97th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 6 #144/2184 93rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 62 #14/4584 100th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 41 #146/578 75th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 10.3 #359/578 38th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

UNANIMOUS AA

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

UNANIMOUS AA · Rung 14 of 16

Why he’s here

Unanimous All-American — 1st team on all five NCAA-recognized selectors.

What moves him up

The only step up is a Player-of-the-Year invite.

What moves him down

Losing a selector drops this to Consensus.

Accolade streams

Status

Recognized on the Butkus list (1).

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home9g9.40.60.10.2
Road5g7.41.00.00.8

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins12g8.20.80.10.4
Losses2g11.50.50.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g7.90.60.10.4
Weeks 8+7g9.60.80.00.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

80All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (99th). Strength: solo tackles (99th).

Tackles#14 / 2975 · 100th pct
122defe
Solo tackles#14 / 2975 · 99th pct
62defe
Tackles for loss#103 / 2975 · 96th pct
10.0defe
Interceptions#23 / 817 · 95th pct
4inte
Passes defended#144 / 2975 · 94th pct
6defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jacob RodriguezTexas TechJordan StringerTroy· 90% simColton PharesApp State· 89% simGavin MoulDelaware· 89% sim
Tackles
100
Rodriguez
100
Stringer
98
Phares
99
Moul
Solo tackles
99
Rodriguez
96
Stringer
95
Phares
98
Moul
Tackles for loss
96
Rodriguez
98
Stringer
96
Phares
90
Moul
Interceptions
95
Rodriguez
90
Phares
Passes defended
94
Rodriguez
86
Stringer
78
Phares
78
Moul
Sacks
63
Rodriguez
85
Stringer
80
Phares
80
Moul
QB hurries
55
Rodriguez
55
Stringer
72
Phares
72
Moul
Forced fumbles
47
Rodriguez
47
Phares
47
Moul

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Matt Salopek’s 2021 season.

Matt Salopek

78%match

Miami (OH) · 2021

#2

Jordan Stringer

Troy · 2025

77%
#3

Keyshaun Elliott

New Mexico State · 2023

All-Conference USANFL Rd 5
76%
#4

Debo Williams

South Carolina · 2023

75%
#5

Shaun Dolac

Buffalo · 2022

All-MAC
74%

Matches Matt on

Weight
PD rate
TFL rate

Differs from Matt on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Stringer's graduate season at Troy (2025).

Jordan Stringer

86%match

Troy · 2025

#2

Jayden McDonald

UConn · 2024

84%
#3

Quinton Urwiler

Northern Illinois · 2025

All-MAC
79%
#4

John Miller

Utah State · 2025

77%
#5

Eli Blakey

Miami (OH) · 2025

All-MAC
76%

Matches Jordan on

Weight
TFL rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Joey McGuire

Pass share

47.6%

484 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

72.6

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

336 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Matt Wells
Texas Tech
2022
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
era →
2023
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
2025
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech

Coaching transition mid-career: Matt Wells → Joey McGuire. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWichita Falls, TX
Height6'1"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

17 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2025)

11 first-team selectors

🏅

POSITION AWARDS

Butkus, Nagurski, Bednarik

2025 season

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

12 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 Lombardi position_award Texas Tech | Lombardi winner | LB
2025 Butkus position_award Texas Tech | Butkus winner | LB
2025 Bednarik position_award Texas Tech | Bednarik winner | LB
2025 Nagurski position_award Texas Tech | Nagurski winner | LB
2025 All-Big 12 all_conference Texas Tech | Big 12 LB
2025 All-America (USA Today) all_america USA Today LB
2025 All-America (SI) all_america SI LB
2025 All-America (PFF) all_america PFF LB
2025 All-America (ESPN) all_america ESPN LB
2025 All-America (CBS) all_america CBS LB
2025 All-America (The Athletic) all_america The Athletic LB
2025 All-America (WCFF) all_america WCFF LB
2025 All-America (SN) all_america SN LB
2025 All-America (FWAA) all_america FWAA LB
2025 All-America (AP) all_america AP LB
2025 All-America (AFCA) all_america AFCA LB
2025 All-America (Consensus) all_america Texas Tech | Consensus --

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech LB4 #12292 #12224 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Texas Tech LB4 #11219 #11167 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas Tech LB4 #9409 #9603 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Virginia LB4 #13332 #13262 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas Tech Big 12 LB 4 No. 10 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Wichita Falls, TX
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 LB 4 No. 10 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Wichita Falls, TX
2023 Texas Tech Big 12 LB 4 No. 10 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Wichita Falls, TX
2022 Texas Tech Big 12 LB 4 No. 10 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Wichita Falls, TX
2021 Virginia ACC LB 4 No. 10 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Wichita Falls, TX