Jameis Winston: QB · Florida State · #5.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Jameis Winston
Throws it deep and dares you to make a play. On tape: 401 passing yards and 3 passing TD against Louisville, Week 10, 2014.
Play style
Go-for-it mentality with the arm to back it up — and the turnovers to live with.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
40.8% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 28.6% conversion-per-dropback — 30.0% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
4 of the team's 26 inside-the-5 carries (15.4%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
The New York Times Nov 1
Saturday Down South Oct 28Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Florida State | 305 | 467 | 65.3% | 3,907 | 8.4 | 25 | 18 | 145.5 | 85 |
| Career | 305 | 467 | 65.3% | 3,907 | 8.4 | 25 | 18 | 145.5 | 85 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Florida State | 57 | 65 | 1.1 | 3 | 28 |
| Career | 57 | 65 | 1.1 | 3 | 28 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2014 season · 13 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 37-31vs Oklahoma State | 25/40 | 370 | 1 | 2 | 9.3 | 74.6 | |
| Wk 2 | W 37-12vs The Citadel | 22/27 | 256 | 2 | 0 | 9.5 | 89.3 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 5 | W 56-41@ NC State | 26/38 | 365 | 4 | 2 | 9.6 | 84.1 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 6 | W 43-3vs Wake Forest | 23/39 | 297 | 1 | 1 | 7.6 | 58.9 | |
| Wk 7 | W 38-20@ Syracuse | 30/36 | 317 | 3 | 0 | 8.8 | 91.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 31-27vs No. 5 Notre Dame | 23/31 | 273 | 2 | 1 | 8.8 | 73.8 | |
| Wk 10 | W 42-31@ Louisville | 25/48 | 401 | 3 | 3 | 8.4 | 50.2 | Season-high 401 yds · 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 11 | W 34-20vs Virginia | 22/35 | 261 | 1 | 2 | 7.5 | 53.8 | |
| Wk 12 | W 30-26@ Miami | 25/42 | 304 | 1 | 1 | 7.2 | 54.7 | |
| Wk 13 | W 20-17vs Boston College | 22/32 | 281 | 1 | 1 | 8.8 | 46.6 | |
| Wk 14 | W 24-19vs Florida | 12/24 | 125 | 2 | 4 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 4 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 15 | W 37-35vs No. 12 Georgia Tech | 21/30 | 309 | 3 | 0 | 10.3 | 95.3 | 3 TD passes |
 Bowl | L 20-59vs No. 3 Oregon | 29/45 | 348 | 1 | 1 | 7.7 | 45.2 | |
| Total | 305/467 | 3907 | 25 | 18 | 8.4 | — |
Week 15 · 2014
W 37-35
vs Georgia Tech · neutral site
309 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 95.3
Edged out Georgia Tech at a neutral site in a shootout.
With D. Cook — 177 rush yds (31 car) · 1 TD · 5 rec · 43 yds · R. Greene Sr. — 7 rec · 123 yds · 2 TD
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 456 passing plays (294 completions) against the box score's 467 attempts (305 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
7.2147 of 181 QBsSack rate
3.5%35 of 181 QBsRarely sacked (35 of 181 QBs) and still 47 of 181 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 65.3% completion on 467 attempts · 43 deep completions averaging 29.4 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2014 baseline
No situation moves him more than 25 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2014 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 249 | 1.5 | 7.9 | 1.5 |
| Road4g | 347 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 1.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 326 | 2.0 | 8.8 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 279 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 1.7 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jimbo Fisher
Pass share
54.2%
516 pass / 436 run
Plays / game
68.0
14 games
Scheme: Balanced.
Player standing · 2014
Our Heisman model had this player inside its top 25 in 2014.
Career, closed
Gone at No. 1 overall.
How it ended
One season at Florida State, 3,907 passing yards — drafted at No. 1 overall by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Coaching lineage · 2012–2014
1 coachPlayed every college season under Jimbo Fisher.
Next stop · NFL
Tampa Bay BuccaneersEntering 12th NFL season
Tampa Bay BuccaneersEntering 12th NFL season
