cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Johncarlos Miller II /Texas Tech

Johncarlos Miller II

TE · Texas Tech · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

77 REC YDS · 9 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Texas Tech

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 9 Texas Tech players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (21 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas Tech · Last season: 12-2 (AP #4) · Talent rank #29 · 2026 recruiting class #48

TE · TEXAS TECH · BIG 12

Johncarlos Miller II

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-5 | 245 lb
  • Greensboro, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

6

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 17th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2739

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Texas Tech
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-5 | 245 lb
HometownGreensboro, NC
Primary teamTexas Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2739Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2629Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Johncarlos Miller II

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "The Texas Longhorns are in DESPERATE need of some good news from the transfer po"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Johncarlos Miller II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
77Rec yards
9Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
15.4Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
200.2Rec yards
23Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 77): needs 77.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 77): needs 115.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 9): needs 6.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 9): needs 8.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Johncarlos Miller II's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2739 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 9 0 rec TD | #199/475 (58th pct)
Receiving yards 77 8.6 per catch | #219/475 (54th pct)
Scrimmage yards 77 Total offensive yardage | #219/475 (54th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
9 58th
YDS
77 54th
YPR
8.6 36th
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 67-7vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff22412.0017Season-high 24 yds
Wk 2W 62-14vs Kent State2126.006
Wk 3W 45-14vs Oregon State11717.0017
Wk 6W 35-11@ Houston144.004
Wk 8L 22-26@ Arizona State3206.7011
Total9779.1017
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Texas Tech12-2HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech9778.60--
Career1 loaded season9778.60--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.6% 7.1% pass-game share | #172/468 (63rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 9 #199/475 58th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 77 #219/475 54th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 8.6 #303/475 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 7.1% #172/468 63rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 17 #296/475 38th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 5.0% #147/468 69th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.3% #163/468 65th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.6% #159/468 66th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 3.5% #170/468 64th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 3.0% #213/468 55th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.9% #241/468 49th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g1.717.711.70.0
Road2g2.012.05.30.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.514.29.80.0
Losses1g3.020.06.70.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.514.29.80.0
Weeks 8+1g3.020.06.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

6Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#145 / 175 · 17th pct
8.6rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#169 / 175 · 4th pct
17rece
Rec yards#173 / 175 · 2nd pct
77rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
9rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Johncarlos Miller IITexas TechBryce CaufieldOregon State· 61% simHayden HansenFlorida· 56% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 53% sim
Yards / catch
17
II
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry
Rec TDs
7
II
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Long catch
4
II
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry
Rec yards
2
II
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Receptions
0
II
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Levi Gazarek’s 2021 season.

Levi Gazarek

86%match

Bowling Green · 2021

#2

Dante Zanders

Florida · 2022

85%
#3

Mike O'Laughlin

West Virginia · 2021

83%
#4

Trey Miller

Louisiana · 2025

74%
#5

Tre Watson

Fresno State · 2021

80%

Matches Levi on

Height
Weight
Reception volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Drew Biber's senior season at Minnesota (2025).

Drew Biber

82%match

Minnesota · 2025

#2

Colin Weber

Rutgers · 2025

78%
#3

Josiah Johnson

Oklahoma State · 2023

78%
#4

TJ Banks

Akron · 2023

78%
#5

Johnmichael Gyllenborg

Wyoming · 2025

75%

Matches Drew on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Height

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Joey McGuire

Pass share

47.6%

484 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

72.6

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

336 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech

Played his entire career under Joey McGuire.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGreensboro, NC
Height6'5"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech TE4 #2739 #2629 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas Tech Big 12 TE 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 245 lb | Greensboro, NC
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 TE 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 245 lb | Greensboro, NC