cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kavir Bains /Pittsburgh

Kavir Bains

DB · Pittsburgh · Sr · #20

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

58 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Pittsburgh for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Pittsburgh for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Pittsburgh

Returning around him

  • 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Pittsburgh player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -5 net (16 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Pittsburgh · Last season: 8-5 (AP #24) · Talent rank #56 · 2026 recruiting class #51

DB · PITTSBURGH · ACC

Kavir Bains

  • 4
  • #20
  • 5-10 | 175 lb
  • San Jose, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#3377 national
CFB
College
Pittsburgh
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey20
Measurements5-10 | 175 lb
HometownSan Jose, CA
Primary teamPittsburgh

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 3377 recruit
Composite rating 0.7833 HighSchool
Signed with UC Davis 2020
Origin Valley Christian San Jose, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 2-star | 0.7833 No. 3377 recruit | HighSchool | UC Davis

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to UC Davis

Composite

0.7833

#3377 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kavir Bains

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kavir Bains

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
58Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
63Tackles
1.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 58): needs 22/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 58): needs 42/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kavir Bains is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Pittsburgh's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 3 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 58 37 solo | #433/4942 (91st pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
58 91st
SOLO
37 93rd
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
3 94th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 61-9vs Duquesne330.00.00
Wk 3L 24-31@ West Virginia330.00.00
Wk 5L 27-34vs Louisville740.00.01
Wk 6W 48-7vs Boston College100.00.00
Wk 7W 34-31@ Florida State1350.00.00Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 8W 30-13@ Syracuse550.00.010
Wk 9W 53-34vs NC State431.00.01
Wk 10W 35-20@ Stanford320.00.01
Wk 12L 15-37vs Notre Dame850.00.010
Wk 13W 42-28@ Georgia Tech640.00.010
Wk 14L 7-38vs Miami430.00.00
BowlL 17-23@ East Carolina100.00.01
Total58371.00.034
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Pittsburgh8-5HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Pittsburgh58371.00.043--
Career1 loaded season58371.00.043--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 3 0 pick-six TD | #56/869 (94th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 58 #433/4942 91st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 3 #56/869 94th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 116 #9/578 99th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 38.7 #57/578 90th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 37 #303/4584 93rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.50.20.00.3
Road6g5.20.00.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g5.00.10.00.3
Losses5g4.60.00.00.4

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.70.00.00.3
Weeks 8+6g5.00.20.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

57Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (89th). Strength: solo tackles (89th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#56 / 817 · 90th pct
3inte
Solo tackles#303 / 2975 · 90th pct
37defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles#433 / 2975 · 85th pct
58defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Kavir BainsPittsburghTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 87% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 82% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 80% sim
Interceptions
90
Bains
95
Johnson
75
Lafayette
Solo tackles
90
Bains
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
Passes defended
86
Bains
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
Tackles
85
Bains
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
28
Bains
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
Sacks
24
Bains
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Bains
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brandon Johnson’s 2023 season.

Brandon Johnson

81%match

Duke · 2023

#2

TJ Smith

Georgia Southern · 2023

81%
#3

Andrew Powdrell

UNLV · 2025

78%
#4

Tyan Milton

UTSA · 2025

79%
#5

Jordan Wright

UConn · 2024

73%

Matches Brandon on

Height
PD rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jalen Mcmurray's graduate season at Tennessee (2025).

Jalen Mcmurray

72%match

Tennessee · 2025

#2

Jeremy Smith

Marshall · 2025

74%
#3

Nicolas Sessions

New Mexico State · 2025

71%
#4

Jonathan McGill

SMU · 2024

All-AAC
71%
#5

Avante Dickerson

Arkansas State · 2025

70%

Matches Jalen on

Class year
Tackle volume
Weight

Differs from Jalen on

Height (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Pat Narduzzi

Pass share

52.3%

464 pass / 424 run

Plays / game

68.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.3%

365 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Pat Narduzzi
Pittsburgh

Played his entire career under Pat Narduzzi.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSan Jose, CA
Height5'10"
Weight175 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey20

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Pittsburgh ACC DB 4 No. 20 | 5-10 | 175 lb | San Jose, CA