Heisman / Players / Kelvin Dean Jr. /Florida Atlantic

Kelvin Dean Jr.

RB · Florida Atlantic · So · #21

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSFlorida Atlantic 2022 alumnusAs of Jun 22, 2026

RB · FLORIDA ATLANTIC · CONFERENCE USA

Kelvin Dean Jr.

2
#21
6-0 | 200 lb
Chipley, FL

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3783

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2022

1312021

7.02022

-95%

Sharp dropoff (-95%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

Florida Atlantic

2021–2022

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB

Class2

Jersey21

Measurements6-0 | 200 lb

HometownChipley, FL

Primary teamFlorida Atlantic

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive

Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player

Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable

Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable

Class	Profile	Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file

Latest destination -- --

Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context

Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD

Season	Move	Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20

Current nowcast#3783Latest modeled ballot order

Season forecast#3921Where the full season sim points

Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy

Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier

Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot

Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—

FWAA—

AFCA—

WCFF—

SN—

SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kelvin Dean Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Florida Atlantic, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3783 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist

Role load 5.4% Overall usage share

Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level

Scrimmage yards 29 7 rush | 22 rec | #677/735 (8th pct)

Rush TD 0 4 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)

Yards/carry 1.8 Per-rush efficiency | #701/735 (5th pct)

Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

Rushing

CAR

4 16th

YDS

7 8th

YPC

1.8 5th

0 40th

Receiving

REC

2 25th

YDS

22 32nd

YPR

11.0 84th

0 70th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Florida Atlantic5-7HC: Willie Taggart · Balanced, slow tempo

2022Florida Atlantic5-7HC: Willie Taggart · Run-leaning

Season	Team
2022	Florida Atlantic	4	7	1.8	0	--
2021	Florida Atlantic	21	131	6.2	2	--
Career	2 loaded seasons	25	138	5.5	2	--

Season	Team
2022	Florida Atlantic	2	22	11.0	--
2021	Florida Atlantic	1	11	11.0	--
Career	2 loaded seasons	3	33	11.0	--

Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context

Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 22 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)

Usage 5.4% 10.2% rush share | #516/738 (30th pct)

Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading

Open full stat explorer

Group	Metric	Value	Rank	Pct	Why it matters
Rushing	Rushing yards	7	#677/735	8th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rush TD	0	#447/739	40th pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing	Yards / carry	1.8	#701/735	5th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receptions	2	#414/552	25th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving yards	22	#373/548	32nd pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Usage	Role share	5.4%	#516/738	30th pct	Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rushing LONG	5	#661/733	10th pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing	Carries	4	#620/739	16th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving LONG	14	#323/540	40th pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving	Yards / catch	11.0	#89/548	84th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving TD	0	#169/552	70th pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage	Rush share	10.2%	#487/738	34th pct	Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage	1st-down usage	7.3%	#449/738	39th pct	Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Standard-down usage	6.3%	#506/738	32nd pct	Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage	2nd-down usage	5.4%	#541/738	27th pct	Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Passing-down usage	3.4%	#554/738	25th pct	Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage	3rd-down usage	1.9%	#603/738	18th pct	Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Pass share	0.7%	#536/738	28th pct	Air-game usagevs FBS RB

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

EPA / dropback—

awaiting

CPOE—

awaiting

Success rate—

awaiting

Explosive rate (20+)—

awaiting

aDOT—

awaiting

Deep-ball accuracy—

awaiting

Pressure-to-sack—

awaiting

3rd-down EPA—

awaiting

Red-zone TD rate—

awaiting

Play-action EPA—

awaiting

Scramble EPA—

awaiting

Turnover-worthy play rate—

awaiting

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Zach Kittley

Pass share

62.3%

580 pass / 351 run

Plays / game

77.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.2%

423 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-heavy, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

1 coach

2021

Willie Taggart

Florida Atlantic

2022

Willie Taggart

Florida Atlantic

Played his entire career under Willie Taggart.

HometownChipley, FL

Height6'0"

Weight200 lb

Class2

PositionRB

Jersey21

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season	Honor	Scope	Team / Selector	Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season	Team	Role	Latest Model	Forecast	Win	Finalist	Official Finish	Points	Context
2022	Florida Atlantic	RB2	#3783	#3921	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W20 snapshot \| Conference USA
2021	Florida Atlantic	RB2	#1844	#2226	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W20 snapshot \| Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season	Team	Conference	Pos	Class	Bio
2022	Florida Atlantic	Conference USA	RB	2	No. 21 \| 6-0 \| 200 lb \| Chipley, FL
2021	Florida Atlantic	Conference USA	RB	2	No. 21 \| 6-0 \| 200 lb \| Chipley, FL

Kelvin Dean Jr.

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

-95%

Identity & Role

Recruiting Pedigree

Transfer Arc

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

The Room on Kelvin Dean Jr.

How rival fanbases talk about Kelvin Dean Jr.

Awaiting candidate metric

What made this player interesting

2022 Season · Final

RB season snapshot

What kind of player is this?

2022 Season · Final

Traditional Stats

Advanced Metrics

Player Standing

Percentile Card

Advanced Savant

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Trophy Case · Detail

No formal honors on the ledger yet

Honors Timeline

Heisman By Year

Roster Timeline