Manny Wilkins: QB · Arizona State · #5.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Manny Wilkins
Extends plays on the move until something opens up. Played for two head coaches at Arizona State: Todd Graham and Herm Edwards. On tape: 380 passing yards and 25 rushing yards against Michigan State, Week 2, 2018.
Play style
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
55.1% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 22.2% conversion-per-dropback — 55.6% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
8 of 12 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (66.7%). 7 of the team's 23 inside-the-5 carries (30.4%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Arizona State | 246 | 391 | 62.9% | 3,023 | 7.7 | 20 | 6 | 141.7 | 66 |
| 2017 | Arizona State | 260 | 410 | 63.4% | 3,270 | 8.0 | 20 | 8 | 142.6 | 57 |
| 2016 | Arizona State | 197 | 311 | 63.3% | 2,329 | 7.5 | 12 | 9 | 133.2 | 45 |
| 2015 | Arizona State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 703 | 1,112 | 63.2% | 8,622 | 7.8 | 52 | 23 | 139.6 | 57 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Arizona State | 112 | 452 | 4.0 | 8 | 45 |
| 2017 | Arizona State | 138 | 282 | 2.0 | 7 | 32 |
| 2016 | Arizona State | 128 | 246 | 1.9 | 5 | 28 |
| 2015 | Arizona State | 7 | 55 | 7.9 | 0 | 26 |
| Career | 385 | 1,035 | 2.7 | 20 | 45 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2018 season · 13 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 49-7vs UTSA | 16/24 | 237 | 4 | 0 | 9.9 | — | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 16-13vs No. 15 Michigan State | 30/48 | 380 | 1 | 1 | 7.9 | — | Season-high 380 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 21-28@ San Diego State | 31/45 | 341 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 | — | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 4 | L 20-27@ No. 10 Washington | 17/27 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | — | |
| Wk 5 | W 52-24vs Oregon State | 14/25 | 162 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 6 | L 21-28@ No. 21 Colorado | 12/18 | 222 | 1 | 0 | 12.3 | — | |
| Wk 8 | L 13-20vs Stanford | 25/42 | 351 | 0 | 1 | 8.4 | — | |
| Wk 9 | W 38-35@ USC | 14/22 | 166 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 | — | |
| Wk 10 | W 38-20vs No. 16 Utah | 19/24 | 285 | 3 | 1 | 11.9 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 31-28vs UCLA | 16/22 | 199 | 1 | 1 | 9.0 | — | |
| Wk 12 | L 29-31@ Oregon | 15/32 | 182 | 2 | 0 | 5.7 | — | |
| Wk 13 | W 41-40@ Arizona | 18/31 | 265 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 | — | |
 Bowl | L 20-31vs No. 19 Fresno State | 19/31 | 129 | 1 | 2 | 4.2 | — | |
| Total | 246/391 | 3023 | 20 | 6 | 7.7 | — |
Week 3 · 2018
L 21-28
341 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · 16 rush yds (7 car) · 1 TD
With M. Sleep-Dalton — 44 yards per punt · 6 punts · 2 inside the 20 · F. Darby — 5 rec · 127 yds
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 389 passing plays (245 completions) against the box score's 391 attempts (246 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
7.6444 of 207 QBsSack rate
3.9%40 of 207 QBsRarely sacked (40 of 207 QBs) and still 44 of 207 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 62.9% completion on 391 attempts · 44 deep completions averaging 32.7 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2018 baseline
No situation moves him more than 49 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2018 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 269 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 0.7 |
| Road6g | 213 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 225 | 1.7 | 7.5 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 241 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 0.5 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Herm Edwards
Pass share
44.9%
394 pass / 484 run
Plays / game
67.5
13 games
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Player standing · 2018
391 pass attempts and 112 carries in 13 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week.
How it ended
Four seasons at Arizona State, 8,622 passing yards — the college career is complete.
Four or fewer games in the first season, then ten or more.
Coaching lineage · 2014–2018
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Todd Graham → Herm Edwards. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
