CFB Zeitgeist PK Score
Awaiting
Matt Araiza
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
Where He Ended Up · NFL
BuffaloEntering 5th NFL season
#180Rd 6 · Pick 1
BuffaloEntering 5th NFL season
PK · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Matt Araiza
- 2
- #2
- 6-2 | 205 lb
- San Diego, CA
Heisman Heat
#13078
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP K AWARD
Lou Groza
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
San Diego State
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 · #180
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2-star | 0.7886 | No. 2609 recruit | HighSchool | San Diego State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to San Diego State
Composite
0.7886
#2609 national
NFL Draft
2022 · Rd 6, Pick 1
#180 overall · Buffalo
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Matt Araiza
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Matt Araiza
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Matt Araiza already has 13 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2021 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
OTHER season snapshot
2021 season snapshot | final
2021 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021San Diego State11-2HC: Brady Hoke · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 4 | #18/388 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 3 | #15/282 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #15/390 | 96th pct | Disruptionvs FBS peers |
| Defense | TFL | 0.0 | #20/390 | 95th pct | Disruptionvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking points | 99 | #34/221 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking LONG | 53 | #32/175 | 82nd pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking XPA | 45 | #33/213 | 85th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking XPM | 45 | #32/213 | 85th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking FGA | 28 | #9/188 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | FG made | 18 | #34/175 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | FG % | 64.3% | #137/175 | 22nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YDS | 4,044 | #1/179 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting LONG | 86 | #1/179 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting NO | 79 | #1/179 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YPP | 51 | #3/179 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting IN 20 | 38 | #1/166 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting TB | 15 | #1/142 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Groza award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · PK · 2021
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sean Lewis
Pass share
35.3%
290 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
63.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
224 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2021
1 coach2021
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
Played his entire career under Brady Hoke.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSan Diego, CA
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class2
PositionPK
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSan Diego State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2021
Career arc1 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🏆
ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS
Consensus AA (2021)
9 first-team selectors
🏅
POSITION AWARDS
Ray Guy
2021 season
🥈
ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM
All-Conf 1st team (2021)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
10 All-America selections
National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ray Guy | position_award | San Diego State | Ray Guy | winner | P |
| 2021 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | San Diego State | Mountain West | K |
| 2021 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | San Diego State | Mountain West | P |
| 2021 | All-America (USA Today) | all_america | San Diego State | USA Today | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (The Athletic) | all_america | San Diego State | The Athletic | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (ESPN) | all_america | San Diego State | ESPN | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (CBS) | all_america | San Diego State | CBS | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (WCFF) | all_america | San Diego State | WCFF | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (SN) | all_america | San Diego State | SN | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (FWAA) | all_america | San Diego State | FWAA | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (AP) | all_america | San Diego State | AP | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (AFCA) | all_america | San Diego State | AFCA | first | P |
| 2021 | All-America (Consensus) | all_america | San Diego State | Consensus | -- |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | San Diego State | PK2 | #13078 | #12853 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | San Diego State | Mountain West | PK | 2 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 205 lb | San Diego, CA |