cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Parker Hughes /Middle Tennessee

Parker Hughes

LB · Middle Tennessee · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

89 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Jacksonville — Rd 7, Pick 24, #240 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season

#240Rd 7 · Pick 24
Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season

LB · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA

Parker Hughes

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-1 | 225 lb
  • Elizabethton, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15396

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Middle Tennessee · LB

2025

Middle Tennessee · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 7, Pick 24 · #240 overall · Jacksonville

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Middle Tennessee
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 &middot; #240
Jacksonville &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-1 | 225 lb
HometownElizabethton, TN
Primary teamMiddle Tennessee

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15396Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15562Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 7, Pick 24

#240 overall · Jacksonville

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Parker Hughes

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Parker Hughes

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
89Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
105Tackles
3.0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 89.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 89): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Parker Hughes is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Middle Tennessee's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15396 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 89 48 solo | #91/4942 (98th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
89 98th
SOLO
48 98th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 14-34vs Austin Peay950.00.01
Wk 2L 10-42@ Wisconsin530.50.00
Wk 3W 14-13@ Nevada741.00.00
Wk 4L 28-42vs Marshall1490.00.00Season-high 14 tackles
Wk 5L 16-24@ Kennesaw State740.00.01
Wk 7L 20-22vs Missouri State420.50.00
Wk 9L 28-31@ Delaware820.50.00
Wk 11L 30-56vs Florida International520.00.00
Wk 12L 26-42@ Western Kentucky1180.00.010
Wk 13W 31-17vs Sam Houston740.00.010
Wk 14W 31-24@ New Mexico State1250.00.00
Total89482.50.022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2025Middle Tennessee3-9HC: Derek Mason · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Middle Tennessee89482.50.022--
2023Middle Tennessee53317.02.51----
Career2 loaded seasons142799.52.532--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 89 #91/4942 98th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 68 #62/578 89th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 48 #90/4584 98th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 34.0 #71/578 88th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g7.80.10.00.2
Road6g8.30.30.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g8.70.30.00.0
Losses8g7.90.20.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g7.70.30.00.3
Weeks 8+5g8.60.10.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

65Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (96th). Strength: solo tackles (96th). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Tackles#91 / 2975 · 97th pct
89defe
Solo tackles#90 / 2975 · 97th pct
48defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Parker HughesMiddle TennesseeBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 88% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 86% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 84% sim
Tackles
97
Hughes
99
Llewellyn
99
Fletcher
99
Benefield
Solo tackles
97
Hughes
95
Llewellyn
91
Fletcher
100
Benefield
Interceptions
75
Hughes
75
Llewellyn
75
Benefield
QB hurries
72
Hughes
72
Llewellyn
92
Fletcher
55
Benefield
Passes defended
67
Hughes
86
Llewellyn
67
Fletcher
78
Benefield
Tackles for loss
56
Hughes
80
Llewellyn
28
Fletcher
94
Benefield
Sacks
24
Hughes
24
Llewellyn
24
Fletcher
24
Benefield

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Gaethan Bernadel’s 2023 season.

Gaethan Bernadel

87%match

Stanford · 2023

#2

Kyle Taylor

Arkansas State · 2025

86%
#3

Ozzie Nicholas

Duke · 2024

83%
#4

Anthony Pandy

Arizona · 2021

83%
#5

Owen Pappoe

Auburn · 2022

All-SECNFL Rd 5
83%

Matches Gaethan on

TFL rate
Sack rate
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to TJ Quinn's junior season at Louisville (2023).

TJ Quinn

92%match

Louisville · 2023

#2

Troy Brown

Ole Miss · 2022

All-MAC
90%
#3

Larry Nixon III

North Texas · 2022

89%
#4

Owen Pappoe

Auburn · 2022

All-SECNFL Rd 5
88%
#5

Rich Miller

Kansas · 2022

87%

Matches TJ on

PD rate
TFL rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Derek Mason

Pass share

61.3%

495 pass / 313 run

Plays / game

67.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2025
Derek Mason
Middle Tennessee
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Rick Stockstill → Derek Mason. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownElizabethton, TN
Height6'1"
Weight225 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Conference USA all_conference Conference USA LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Middle Tennessee LB4 #15396 #15562 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Middle Tennessee LB4 #9507 #10175 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Middle Tennessee Conference USA LB 4 No. 9 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Elizabethton, TN
2024 Middle Tennessee Conference USA LB 4 No. 9 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Elizabethton, TN
2023 Middle Tennessee Conference USA LB 4 No. 9 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Elizabethton, TN