Patrick Mahomes II: QB · Texas Tech · #5.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Patrick Mahomes II
Picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Three seasons in the Texas Tech quarterback room to date. The first one came in 2016: All-Big 12. On tape: 734 passing yards and 85 rushing yards against Oklahoma, Week 8, 2016.
Play style
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
60.7% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 40.0% conversion-per-dropback — 23.5% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
10 of 11 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (90.9%). 13 of the team's 21 inside-the-5 carries (61.9%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Yahoo Sports Nov 3
On3 Oct 28
Heartland College Sports Oct 24Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Texas Tech | 388 | 591 | 65.7% | 5,052 | 8.5 | 41 | 10 | 157.0 | 70 |
| 2015 | Texas Tech | 364 | 573 | 63.5% | 4,653 | 8.1 | 36 | 15 | 147.2 | 61 |
| 2014 | Texas Tech | 105 | 185 | 56.8% | 1,547 | 8.4 | 16 | 4 | 151.2 | 53 |
| Career | 857 | 1,349 | 63.5% | 11,252 | 8.3 | 93 | 29 | 152.0 | 64 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Texas Tech | 131 | 285 | 2.2 | 12 | 32 |
| 2015 | Texas Tech | 131 | 456 | 3.5 | 10 | 25 |
| 2014 | Texas Tech | 46 | 104 | 2.3 | 0 | 14 |
| Career | 308 | 845 | 2.7 | 22 | 32 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2016 season · 12 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 69-17vs Stephen F. Austin | 30/43 | 483 | 4 | 0 | 11.2 | 93.2 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | L 55-68@ Arizona State | 38/53 | 540 | 5 | 2 | 10.2 | 82.5 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 59-45vs Louisiana Tech | 26/36 | 470 | 5 | 0 | 13.1 | 96.6 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 5 | W 55-19vs Kansas | 27/34 | 277 | 4 | 1 | 8.1 | 75.6 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 6 | L 38-44@ Kansas State | 45/62 | 504 | 2 | 1 | 8.1 | 78.6 | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-48vs No. 20 West Virginia | 28/44 | 305 | 1 | 1 | 6.9 | 47.1 | |
| Wk 8 | L 59-66vs No. 16 Oklahoma | 52/88 | 734 | 5 | 1 | 8.3 | 89.1 | Season-high 734 yds |
| Wk 9 | W 27-24@ TCU | 24/39 | 206 | 2 | 1 | 5.3 | 77.3 | |
| Wk 10 | L 37-45vs Texas | 36/59 | 367 | 3 | 1 | 6.2 | 39.9 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | L 44-45@ No. 17 Oklahoma State | 34/51 | 361 | 3 | 0 | 7.1 | 83.9 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 12 | L 10-66@ Iowa State | 18/36 | 219 | 1 | 2 | 6.1 | 34.4 | |
| Wk 13 | W 54-35vs Baylor | 30/46 | 586 | 6 | 0 | 12.7 | 94.9 | 6 TD passes |
| Total | 388/591 | 5052 | 41 | 10 | 8.5 | — |
Week 8 · 2016
L 59-66
vs Oklahoma
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 581 passing plays (378 completions) against the box score's 591 attempts (388 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
8.5019 of 193 QBsSack rate
4.4%49 of 193 QBsRarely sacked (49 of 193 QBs) and still 19 of 193 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 65.7% completion on 591 attempts · 72 deep completions averaging 33.3 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2016 baseline
+89
percentile points better on third down or later
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
3 seasons under Kliff Kingsbury — 16-21 over that span.
Splits · Per-game
2016 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 439 | 3.7 | 9.0 | 0.7 |
| Road5g | 366 | 2.6 | 7.4 | 1.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 430 | 3.5 | 9.6 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 412 | 3.3 | 7.6 | 0.8 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kliff Kingsbury
Pass share
63.1%
652 pass / 381 run
Plays / game
86.1
12 games
Scheme: Pass-heavy, fast tempo.
Player standing · 2016
Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.
Career, closed
Gone at #10 overall.
How it ended
Three seasons at Texas Tech, 11,252 passing yards — drafted at #10 overall by the Kansas City Chiefs.
A stat line in 32 games over three seasons.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-BIG 12 · 2ND TEAM
All-Big 12 2nd team (2016)
Coaching lineage · 2014–2016
1 coachPlayed every college season under Kliff Kingsbury.
Next stop · NFL
Kansas City ChiefsEntering 10th NFL season
Kansas City ChiefsEntering 10th NFL season
