cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Sam Howard /Tulane

Sam Howard

LB · Tulane · Sr · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

50 TACKLES · 4 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Tulane

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (20 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulane · Last season: 11-3 (AP #17) · Talent rank #68 · 2026 recruiting class #74

LB · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Sam Howard

  • 4
  • #15
  • 6-2 | 220 lb
  • Birmingham, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#7826

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2024

Tulane · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Tulane · LB

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Tulane
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey15
Measurements6-2 | 220 lb
HometownBirmingham, AL
Primary teamTulane

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Tulane 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Mar 22, 2024
Season Move Context
2024 Austin Peay -> Tulane 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#7826Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8266Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Sam Howard

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Sam Howard

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
50Tackles
8.5Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Projected (13g)
59Tackles
10Tackles for loss
4.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 50): needs 15/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 50): needs 25/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 4): needs 1/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Sam Howard is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Tulane's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 8.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #7826 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 50 30 solo | #600/4942 (88th pct)
TFL 8.5 Backfield disruption | #175/4972 (97th pct)
Sacks 4.0 Pass-rush finish | #169/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
50 88th
SOLO
30 89th
TFL
8.5 97th
SACK
4.0 97th
QBH
2 66th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 23-3vs Northwestern310.00.00
Wk 2W 33-31@ South Alabama520.50.00
Wk 3W 34-27vs Duke540.00.00
Wk 4L 10-45@ Ole Miss531.51.00
Wk 5W 31-14@ Tulsa721.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 7W 26-19vs East Carolina620.50.00
Wk 11W 38-32@ Memphis542.01.00
Wk 13W 37-13@ Temple222.01.00
Wk 14W 27-0vs Charlotte330.00.00
Wk 15W 34-21vs North Texas321.01.00
BowlL 10-41@ Ole Miss650.00.00
Total50308.54.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Tulane9-5HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-heavy
2025Tulane11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulane50308.54.0------
2024Tulane62334.51.511--
Career2 loaded seasons1126313.05.511--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 50 #600/4942 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 8.5 #175/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.0 #169/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 30 #515/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.00.30.20.0
Road6g5.01.20.50.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g4.30.80.30.0
Losses2g5.50.80.50.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.30.50.10.0
Weeks 8+4g3.21.20.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

74Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (93rd). Strength: sacks (93rd). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles for loss#175 / 2975 · 94th pct
8.5defe
Sacks#169 / 2975 · 93rd pct
4.0defe
Solo tackles#515 / 2975 · 82nd pct
30defe
Tackles#600 / 2975 · 79th pct
50defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Sam HowardTulaneMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 87% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 84% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 84% sim
Tackles for loss
94
Howard
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
95
Baranowski
Sacks
93
Howard
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
89
Baranowski
Solo tackles
82
Howard
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Baranowski
Tackles
79
Howard
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Baranowski
QB hurries
72
Howard
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Baranowski
Passes defended
18
Howard
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
48
Baranowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ryan Henry’s 2022 season.

Ryan Henry

84%match

Old Dominion · 2022

#2

Luke Reimer

Nebraska · 2023

All-Big Ten
81%
#3

Jaylen Moody

Alabama · 2022

76%
#4

Mani Powell

UNLV · 2024

76%
#5

Gavin Graham

Texas State · 2020

74%

Matches Ryan on

Tackle volume
Sack rate
Weight

Differs from Ryan on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to D'Vion Harris's graduate season at Marshall (2024).

D'Vion Harris

88%match

Marshall · 2024

#2

Marlowe Wax

Syracuse · 2024

79%
#3

D'Andre Ragin

Toledo · 2024

76%
#4

Jamal Ligon

UTSA · 2024

All-Conference USA
73%
#5

Josh Pearcy

Rice · 2024

73%

Matches D'Vion on

Tackle volume
Weight
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jon Sumrall

Pass share

45.8%

424 pass / 501 run

Plays / game

66.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.4%

294 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
2025
Jon Sumrall
Tulane

Played his entire career under Jon Sumrall.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBirmingham, AL
Height6'2"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-AAC all_conference Tulane | AAC LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tulane LB4 #7826 #8266 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulane American Athletic LB 4 No. 15 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Birmingham, AL
2024 Tulane American Athletic LB 4 No. 15 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Birmingham, AL