cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tacario Davis /Washington

Tacario Davis

CB · Washington · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

20 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Cincinnati — Rd 3, Pick 8, #72 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Cincinnati2026 NFL rookie season

#72Rd 3 · Pick 8
Cincinnati2026 NFL rookie season

CB · WASHINGTON · BIG TEN

Tacario Davis

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-4 | 200 lb
  • Long Beach, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

45

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11112

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2022

Arizona · CB

2023

Arizona · CB

2024

Arizona · CB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Washington · CB

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 3, Pick 8 · #72 overall · Cincinnati

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1140 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 &middot; #72
Cincinnati &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-4 | 200 lb
HometownLong Beach, CA
Primary teamWashington

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1140 recruit
Composite rating 0.8544 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Millikan Long Beach, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8544 No. 1140 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Washington 2025
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Arizona -> Washington 4-star | 0.9300 | Immediate
2024 Arizona -> -- 4-star | 0.9200 | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11112Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11296Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8544

#1140 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 3, Pick 8

#72 overall · Cincinnati

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tacario Davis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tacario Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
20Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
32Tackles
1.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 20): needs 12/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 20): needs 16/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tacario Davis is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Washington's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11112 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 20 16 solo | #1998/4942 (60th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
20 60th
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-21vs Colorado State110.00.02
Wk 2W 70-10vs UC Davis1
Wk 7W 38-19vs Rutgers430.00.01
Wk 8L 7-24@ Michigan541.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 9W 42-25vs Illinois440.00.010
Wk 11L 10-13@ Wisconsin320.00.00
Wk 12W 49-13vs Purdue220.00.01
Wk 13W 48-14@ UCLA100.00.00
Total20161.00.024
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Arizona5-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Pass-leaning
2023Arizona10-3HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2024Arizona4-8HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2025Washington9-4HC: Jedd Fisch · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Washington20161.00.042--
2024Arizona39252.00.06----
2023Arizona25130.50.0151--
2022Arizona750.00.01----
Career4 loaded seasons91593.50.0263--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 20 #1998/4942 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 34 #189/578 67th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 17.0 #253/578 56th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 16 #1348/4584 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.00.00.8
Road3g3.00.30.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.00.00.00.7
Losses2g4.00.50.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.70.00.01.0
Weeks 8+5g3.00.20.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

45Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Solo tackles#1348 / 2975 · 53rd pct
16defe
Tackles#1998 / 2975 · 32nd pct
20defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tacario DavisWashingtonTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 65% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 65% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 64% sim
Passes defended
86
Davis
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
Interceptions
75
Davis
95
Johnson
75
Lafayette
Solo tackles
53
Davis
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
Tackles
32
Davis
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
28
Davis
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
Sacks
24
Davis
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Davis
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Press Corner

Long and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jamari Brown’s 2021 season.

Jamari Brown

81%match

Purdue · 2021

#2

DeCarlos Nicholson

USC · 2024

74%
#3

Ezekiel Blake

Toledo · 2024

74%
#4

Ricky Fletcher

Ole Miss · 2025

74%
#5

Elijah Clark

Temple · 2022

73%

Matches Jamari on

PD rate
Weight
Height

Differs from Jamari on

Tackle volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Mory Bamba's senior season at BYU (2025).

Mory Bamba

83%match

BYU · 2025

#2

Rashad Battle

Pittsburgh · 2024

74%
#3

Cam Hart

Notre Dame · 2023

NFL Rd 5
70%
#4

Justin Hodges

Arkansas State · 2023

69%
#5

Virdel Edwards II

Hawai'i · 2025

69%

Matches Mory on

Class year
Tackle volume
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jedd Fisch

Pass share

44.9%

370 pass / 454 run

Plays / game

63.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.3%

268 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Kalen DeBoer
Washington
2023
Kalen DeBoer
Washington
2024
Jedd Fisch
Washington
era →
2025
Jedd Fisch
Washington

Coaching transition mid-career: Kalen DeBoer → Jedd Fisch. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLong Beach, CA
Height6'4"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionCB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Big 12 all_conference Arizona | Big 12 DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arizona CB4 #11112 #11296 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Arizona CB4 #7126 #7266 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Arizona CB4 #13661 #13707 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Washington Big Ten CB 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 200 lb | Long Beach, CA
2024 Arizona Big 12 CB 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 200 lb | Long Beach, CA
2023 Arizona Pac-12 CB 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 200 lb | Long Beach, CA
2022 Arizona Pac-12 CB 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 200 lb | Long Beach, CA