CFB Zeitgeist Score
83
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 99th percentile.
Tanner Koziol
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Tanner Koziol is a cornerstone for Houston — measured against the line he joined.
727REC YDS74REC6REC TD
TEAM RECEIVING YARDS LEADER
727
Team leader in receiving yards (727).
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season
#164Rd 5 · Pick 24
Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season
TE · HOUSTON · BIG 12
Tanner Koziol
- 4
- #9
- 6-7 | 240 lb
- Bloomingdale, IL
Heisman Heat
#5076
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2022
Ball State · TE
—
★
2023
Ball State · TE
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Houston · TE
—
NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 5, Pick 24 · #164 overall · Jacksonville
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+95%
Up 95% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 · #164
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2-star | 0.7859 | No. 2603 recruit | HighSchool | Ball State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (727).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to Ball State
Composite
0.7859
#2603 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 5, Pick 24
#164 overall · Jacksonville
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Tanner Koziol
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Tanner Koziol
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving yards (total)
727
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #85 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 84th
Why it matters
#85 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 727 yards on 74 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 727 (84th)
HIGH · n=74 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#55 / 531
- Yards per reception#431 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 9 at Arizona State — 100 receiving_yards_total
Result W 24-16
The week the volume broke through — put up 100 yds at Arizona State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
727Rec yards
74Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
55.9Rec yards
6Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
727Rec yards
74Receptions
6Rec TDs
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 727.
✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 74.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Tanner Koziol already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
74 100th
YDS
727 100th
YPR
9.8 49th
TD
6 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-0vs Stephen F. Austin | 7 | 63 | 9.0 | 1 | 23 | |
| Wk 2 | W 35-9@ Rice | 6 | 52 | 8.7 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 3 | W 36-20vs Colorado | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 5 | W 27-24@ Oregon State | 6 | 86 | 14.3 | 1 | 50 | |
| Wk 6 | L 11-35vs Texas Tech | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 39-17@ Oklahoma State | 5 | 66 | 13.2 | 0 | 29 | |
| Wk 8 | W 31-28vs Arizona | 6 | 40 | 6.7 | 1 | 15 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-16@ Arizona State | 7 | 100 | 14.3 | 1 | 32 | Season-high 100 yds |
| Wk 10 | L 35-45vs West Virginia | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 1 | 25 | |
| Wk 11 | W 30-27@ UCF | 8 | 66 | 8.3 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-17vs TCU | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 14 | W 31-24@ Baylor | 7 | 59 | 8.4 | 0 | 13 | |
| Bowl | W 38-35vs LSU | 9 | 76 | 8.4 | 1 | 22 | |
| Total | 74 | 727 | 9.7 | 6 | 50 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Ball State5-7HC: Mike Neu · Balanced
2023Ball State4-8HC: Mike Neu · Run-heavy
2025Houston10-3HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston | 74 | 727 | 9.8 | 6 | -- |
| 2023 | Ball State | 34 | 295 | 8.7 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | Ball State | 35 | 373 | 10.7 | 7 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 143 | 1,395 | 9.8 | 16 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 74 | #1/475 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 727 | #2/475 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 6 | #6/475 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.8 | #241/475 | 49th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 21.2% | #4/468 | 99th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 50 | #37/475 | 92nd pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.7% | #8/468 | 99th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.7% | #9/468 | 98th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.4% | #12/468 | 98th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 9.0% | #9/468 | 98th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.8% | #15/468 | 97th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.6% | #56/468 | 88th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 5.0 | 42.6 | 8.5 | 0.6 |
| Road6g | 6.5 | 71.5 | 11.2 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins10g | 6.5 | 64.1 | 10.0 | 0.5 |
| Losses3g | 3.0 | 28.7 | 8.9 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 5.6 | 55.1 | 9.6 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 5.8 | 56.8 | 9.9 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
83All-Conference
Elite: receptions (99th). Strength: rec yards (99th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Tanner KoziolHoustonJustin JolyNC State· 94% simTerrance CarterTexas Tech· 88% simJeremiah HasleyDuke· 85% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Long catch
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cole Turner’s 2021 season.
Cole Turner
44%match
#2
Oronde Gadsden II
All-ACCNFL Rd 5
28%
#3
Dallin Holker
All-Mountain West
27%
#4
Jared Wiley
All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
24%
#5
Gunnar Helm
NFL Rd 4
21%
Matches Cole on
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Cole on
Class year (higher)
Reception volume (higher)
Height (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Keleki Latu's senior season at Washington (2024).
Keleki Latu
60%match
#2
Joe Royer
All-Big 12NFL Rd 5
59%
#3
Jared Wiley
All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
54%
#4
Terrance Ferguson
All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 14
54%
#5
Jahmal Banks
53%
Differs from Keleki on
Reception volume (higher)
Recruiting rating (lower)
TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Willie Fritz
Pass share
41.4%
377 pass / 534 run
Plays / game
70.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
262 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2023
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2025era →
Willie Fritz
Houston
Coaching transition mid-career: Dana Holgorsen → Willie Fritz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBloomingdale, IL
Height6'7"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamHouston
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-MAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-MAC | all_conference | Ball State | MAC | TE |
| 2023 | All-MAC | all_conference | Ball State | MAC | TE |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Ball State | TE4 | #5076 | #5668 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Ball State | TE4 | #1942 | #2540 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Ball State | TE4 | #1302 | #1827 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston | Big 12 | TE | 4 | No. 9 | 6-7 | 240 lb | Bloomingdale, IL |
| 2024 | Ball State | Mid-American | TE | 4 | No. 9 | 6-7 | 240 lb | Bloomingdale, IL |
| 2023 | Ball State | Mid-American | TE | 4 | No. 9 | 6-7 | 240 lb | Bloomingdale, IL |
| 2022 | Ball State | Mid-American | TE | 4 | No. 9 | 6-7 | 240 lb | Bloomingdale, IL |