cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tate Whatley /Southern Miss

Tate Whatley

QB · Southern Miss · So · #6

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSSouthern Miss 2020 alumnus

QB · SOUTHERN MISS · CONFERENCE USA

Tate Whatley

  • 2
  • #6
  • 6-2 | 198 lb
  • Lakeland, FL

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#95

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1930 national
CFB
College
Southern Miss
2020
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey6
Measurements6-2 | 198 lb
HometownLakeland, FL
Primary teamSouthern Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1930 recruit
Composite rating 0.8154 HighSchool
Signed with Southern Miss 2018
Origin Lakeland Christian School Lakeland, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8154 No. 1930 recruit | HighSchool | Southern Miss

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2020 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#95Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#131Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Southern Miss

Composite

0.8154

#1930 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tate Whatley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tate Whatley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tate Whatley's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Southern Miss, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #95 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 29.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2020 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2020 season snapshot | final

2020 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 460 3 TD | 2 INT | #183/382 (52nd pct)
Completion rate 56.9% 37/65 completions | #261/383 (32nd pct)
Yards/attempt 7.1 Explosiveness through the air | #165/382 (57th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Balanced profile

2020 Season · Final

2020 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
37 50th
ATT
65 54th
CMP%
56.9% 32nd
Y/A
7.1 57th

Passing Production

YDS
460 52nd
TD
3 57th
INT
2 52nd

Rushing

CAR
19 50th
YDS
36 50th
YPC
1.9 37th
TD
4 82nd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2020Southern Miss3-7HC: Scotty Walden · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2020Southern Miss376556.9%4607.132125.4----
Career1 loaded season376556.9%4607.132125.4----
SeasonTeam
2020Southern Miss19361.94--
Career1 loaded season19361.94--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 36 4 rush TD | #207/408 (50th pct)
Usage 29.9% 50.4% pass share | 10.6% rush share | #180/428 (58th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.30 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #82/200 (60th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 460 #183/382 52nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 3 #178/407 57th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 37 #191/383 50th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 56.9% #261/383 32nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.1 #165/382 57th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 36 #207/408 50th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.30 #82/200 60th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 73 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 29.9% #180/428 58th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 65 #190/407 54th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 2 #195/407 52nd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 19 #205/408 50th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 19 #186/391 53rd pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #74/408 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.9 #259/407 37th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 50.4% #182/428 58th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 41.7% #176/428 59th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 34.7% #197/428 54th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 28.6% #188/428 56th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 27.3% #173/428 60th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 26.1% #177/428 59th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 10.6% #150/428 65th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2020

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Huff

Pass share

49.9%

454 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2020

1 coach
2020
Scotty Walden
Southern Miss

Played his entire career under Scotty Walden.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLakeland, FL
Height6'2"
Weight198 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2020 Southern Miss QB2 #95 #131 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2020 Southern Miss Conference USA QB 2 No. 6 | 6-2 | 198 lb | Lakeland, FL