cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Taylor Tatum /Oklahoma

Taylor Tatum

RB · Oklahoma · So · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

-1 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 1 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Oklahoma → Michigan for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Michigan

2025Oklahoma
2026Michigan

RB · OKLAHOMA · SEC

Taylor Tatum

  • 2
  • #8
  • 5-10 | 212 lb
  • Longview, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

1

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 3rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#409

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words 63 windows · 2025 fan posts
taylor×247.3safeties×1978.3room×73.3start×30.9

Taylor Tatum will start off in the safeties room. He could move back to RB but will start off in the safeties room for Michigan.”

reddit/MichiganWolverines · fan post, verbatim

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
2782024
-1.02025

-100%

Sharp dropoff (-100%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#38 national
CFB
College
Oklahoma
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey8
Measurements5-10 | 212 lb
HometownLongview, TX
Primary teamOklahoma

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 38 recruit
Composite rating 0.9823 HighSchool
Signed with Oklahoma 2024
Origin Longview Longview, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9823 No. 38 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Michigan 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Oklahoma -> Michigan 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#409Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#448Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oklahoma

Composite

0.9823

#38 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Taylor Tatum

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

67

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +33 · "Michigan Wolverines fans on edge over the slow transfer portal start can breathe"Own fansRivals: 4 mentions · belief +25 · "Just curious—after a pretty successful day (with hopefully another few current t"RivalsNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "[Tony Garcia] Michigan football's Taylor Tatum, who transferred in from Oklahoma"National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • Rivals · n=4
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Taylor Tatum

Obsession score 3
Rival mentions 4
Weeks on radar 1
Peak moment Week 0 · 4 mentions
Grudging respect 25% Neutral 75% Mockery 0%

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What we can say about this player

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Taylor Tatum's page is mostly roster and pedigree right now — there isn't measurable current-season production on file for Oklahoma yet. As box scores and snaps land, the on-field story fills in here.

Current place #409 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 38 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards -1 -1 rush | -- rec | #729/735 (1st pct)
Rush TD 0 1 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry -1.0 Per-rush efficiency | #732/735 (1st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
1 5th
YDS
-1 1st
YPC
-1.0 1st
TD
0 40th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 8W 26-7@ South Carolina1-1-1.000Season-high -1 yds
Total1-1-1.000
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning
2025Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma1-1-1.00--
2024Oklahoma562785.03--
Career2 loaded seasons572774.93--
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma----------
2024Oklahoma5418.21--
Career2 loaded seasons5418.21--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 1.5% 2.6% rush share | #701/738 (5th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.10 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #209/362 (43rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards -1 #729/735 1st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry -1.0 #732/735 1st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.10 #209/362 43rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 52 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 1.5% #701/738 5th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 1 #701/739 5th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 5.3% #443/738 40th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.2% #600/738 19th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 2.6% #702/738 5th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #706/738 4th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #622/738 16th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 0.0% #724/738 2nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Road1g-1.0-1.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins1g-1.0-1.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 8+1g-1.0-1.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

1Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
-1rush
Yards / carry#350 / 349 · 0th pct
-1.0rush
Long run#350 / 349 · 0th pct
0rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Taylor TatumOklahomaTae MeadowsTroy· 35% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 35% simRashod DubinionApp State· 35% sim
Rush TDs
3
Tatum
72
Meadows
72
Henderson
50
Dubinion
Rush yards
0
Tatum
74
Meadows
79
Henderson
84
Dubinion
Yards / carry
0
Tatum
29
Meadows
18
Henderson
53
Dubinion
Long run
0
Tatum
53
Meadows
43
Henderson
39
Dubinion
Carries
0
Tatum
84
Meadows
90
Henderson
87
Dubinion

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Venables

Pass share

50.4%

429 pass / 423 run

Plays / game

65.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

345 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2025
Brent Venables
Oklahoma

Played his entire career under Brent Venables.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLongview, TX
Height5'10"
Weight212 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oklahoma RB2 #409 #448 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma SEC RB 2 No. 8 | 5-10 | 212 lb | Longview, TX
2024 Oklahoma SEC RB 2 No. 8 | 5-10 | 212 lb | Longview, TX