Zach Terrell: QB · Western Michigan · #11.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Zach Terrell
Picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Arrived as a two-star recruit; three seasons of production at Western Michigan since. The first career honor came in 2016: Campbell. A game that shows it: 445 passing yards and 24 rushing yards against Buffalo — Week 12, 2016.
Play style
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
52.4% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 20.5% conversion-per-dropback — 59.1% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
5 of the team's 54 inside-the-5 carries (9.3%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Western Michigan | 263 | 377 | 69.8% | 3,533 | 9.4 | 33 | 4 | 175.2 | 88 |
| 2015 | Western Michigan | 262 | 391 | 67.0% | 3,522 | 9.0 | 29 | 9 | 162.5 | 76 |
| 2014 | Western Michigan | 250 | 368 | 67.9% | 3,443 | 9.4 | 26 | 10 | 164.4 | 81 |
| Career | 775 | 1,136 | 68.2% | 10,498 | 9.2 | 88 | 23 | 167.4 | 81 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Western Michigan | 80 | 249 | 3.1 | 7 | 21 |
| 2015 | Western Michigan | 77 | 107 | 1.4 | 3 | 31 |
| 2014 | Western Michigan | 78 | 264 | 3.4 | 3 | 41 |
| Career | 235 | 620 | 2.6 | 13 | 41 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2016 season · 14 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 22-21@ Northwestern | 26/36 | 218 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 | 73.9 | |
| Wk 2 | W 70-21vs North Carolina Central | 15/22 | 255 | 4 | 0 | 11.6 | 96.8 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 34-10@ Illinois | 9/13 | 150 | 0 | 0 | 11.5 | 71.6 | |
| Wk 4 | W 49-31vs Georgia Southern | 18/27 | 270 | 4 | 0 | 10.0 | 96.1 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 5 | W 49-10@ Central Michigan | 15/21 | 170 | 3 | 0 | 8.1 | 91.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 6 | W 45-30vs Northern Illinois | 18/24 | 327 | 3 | 0 | 13.6 | 93.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | W 41-0@ Akron | 21/31 | 207 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 | 86.6 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-31vs Eastern Michigan | 29/35 | 398 | 3 | 1 | 11.4 | 86.6 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | W 52-20@ Ball State | 23/34 | 367 | 3 | 0 | 10.8 | 90.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 37-21@ Kent State | 6/13 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | 65.7 | |
| Wk 12 | W 38-0vs Buffalo | 29/37 | 445 | 4 | 0 | 12.0 | 91.6 | Season-high 445 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 55-35vs Toledo | 19/25 | 196 | 3 | 0 | 7.8 | 90.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 14 | W 29-23vs Ohio | 19/31 | 290 | 2 | 2 | 9.4 | 58.9 | |
 Bowl | L 16-24vs No. 8 Wisconsin | 16/28 | 157 | 1 | 1 | 5.6 | 44.1 | |
| Total | 263/377 | 3533 | 33 | 4 | 9.4 | — |
Week 2 · 2016
W 70-21
255 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 96.8
Dominant 49-point win at home against North Carolina Central.
With D. Phillips — 3 tackles · 1 pass breakup · 2 solo tackles · D. Mitchell — 51.7 yards per punt · 3 punts · 56 long
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 355 passing plays (247 completions) against the box score's 377 attempts (263 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
10.096 of 193 QBsSack rate
3.6%33 of 193 QBsRarely sacked (33 of 193 QBs) and still 6 of 193 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 69.8% completion on 377 attempts · 48 deep completions averaging 31.9 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2016 baseline
No situation moves him more than 13 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
3 seasons under P.J. Fleck — 29-11 over that span.
Splits · Per-game
2016 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 315 | 3.5 | 11.1 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 199 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 219 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 296 | 2.5 | 9.6 | 0.5 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
P.J. Fleck
Pass share
37.9%
378 pass / 620 run
Plays / game
71.3
14 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2016
Our Heisman model had this player inside its top 25 in 2016.
How it ended
Three seasons at Western Michigan, 10,498 passing yards — the college career is complete.
Recruited as a two-star, and honored since.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
National awards
Campbell
2016 season
Coaching lineage · 2012–2016
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Bill Cubit → P.J. Fleck. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
