FSU-Miami

See both programs’ full 91-year Zeitgeist History, side by side →
This year’s game — the live preview →
3 players crossed straight to the rival since 2021 — the turncoat ledger →

Miami leads the all-time series 38-33. They've met 71 times since 1951. Miami has won the last 3.

Current season

Vegas win totals and transfer-portal swing right now, plus what fans are actually saying — not history, this year.

Win total
6.5
Vegas over/under
Transfer portal
-8
portal net points (weighted) · raw ledger: -81
What fans are saying · job security
fans believe Norvell is underperforming as head coach
Even if some how FSU goes 8-4, 7-5. I still don't want Norvell back.
Verified verbatim
Win total
9.5
Vegas over/under
Transfer portal
-5
portal net points (weighted) · raw ledger: -28
What fans are saying · recruiting result
fans believe Miami's coaching staff is exceptionally skilled at recruiting top-tier talent
Mario is a hell of a recruiter. He's getting 4 & 5 Star QB's after going to the portal 3 years in a row! These kids could go and possibly start at big schools yet they choose to come to Miami to learn.
Verified verbatim

Stature & the series, 1951–2026

Both programs’ standing over time, each line named at its end, with every meeting beneath — read down to see who was bigger and who won. (Stature is each program’s season-by-season standing on the Zeitgeist List, 1936–present — one score blending on-field performance, program achievement, and roster talent.)

program stature over timeFlorida StateMiamievery meeting (bar height = margin; dark: Florida State won, gray: Miami won)19401960198020002020

The identity war

Miami has been the more pass-heavy program more often than not.

Across 23 seasons of real play-level data (2004–2026), Florida State led 7 and Miami led 16.

more passmore runFlorida StateMiami2004200620082010201220142016201820202022202420262005Florida State 14.9 ptsFlorida State won 10-72018Florida State 11.2 ptsMiami won 28-272021Miami 9.5 ptsFlorida State won 31-28
Source team_season_stats (CFBD season totals) · pass rate = passAttempts ÷ (passAttempts + rushingAttempts)

Florida State once won 7 in a row. The biggest win was Miami by 47 in 1976. The biggest crowd, 84,409, was in 2013.

The coaching duels

The draft ledger

Every NFL Draft pick either program has produced since the modern era began, decade by decade.

Draft picks
218-248
Miami leads
1st-rounders
47-63
Since
1967
First CFBD-carried draft class
Florida StateMiami
1960s7-6
1970s11-20
1980s16-29
1990s56-46
2000s55-63
2010s53-52
2020s20-32

Best picks, either side

2015Jameis Winston Quarterback · Tampa Bay BuccaneersRd 1, pick 1#1 overall
2025Cam Ward Quarterback · Tennessee TitansRd 1, pick 1#1 overall
1987Vinny Testaverde Quarterback · Tampa Bay BuccaneersRd 1, pick 1#1 overall
1991Russell Maryland Defensive Tackle · Dallas CowboysRd 1, pick 1#1 overall
1998Andre Wadsworth Defensive End · Arizona CardinalsRd 1, pick 3#3 overall
1977Eddie Edwards Defensive End · Cincinnati BengalsRd 1, pick 3#3 overall
1987Alonzo Highsmith Running Back · Houston OilersRd 1, pick 3#3 overall
1990Cortez Kennedy Defensive Tackle · Seattle SeahawksRd 1, pick 3#3 overall

Recent meetings

Gate premium

Florida State1.16×its own average home crowd
Miami1.14×its own average home crowd
2026Miami43-35
2025Miami28-22
2024Miami36-14
2023Florida State27-20
2022Florida State45-3
2021Florida State31-28
2020Miami52-10
2019Miami27-10Florida State — Florida State routed by 17
2018Miami28-27
2017Miami24-20
2016Florida State20-19Miami — both ranked, decided by 1
2015Florida State29-24
2014Florida State30-26
2013Florida State41-14Miami — both ranked

Every meeting since 2018, play by play

Each line is Florida State’s chance to win through that meeting. Florida State is 1-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. The loudest meeting for fans was 2026: firestorm.

2026Miami 43-35Florida State lost 35-43 at Miami. Chance to win started at 5%, low under 1%, high 60%.Firestorm
2025Miami 28-22Florida State lost 22-28 vs Miami. Chance to win started at 53%, low under 1%, high 66%.Busy
2024Miami 36-14Florida State lost 14-36 at Miami. Chance to win started at 6%, low 2%, high 27%.
2023Florida State 27-20Florida State won 27-20 vs Miami. Chance to win started at 88%, low 64%, high 99%.Busy
2022Florida State 45-3Florida State won 45-3 at Miami. Chance to win started at 65%, low 64%, high better than 99%.Steady
2021Florida State 31-28Florida State won 31-28 vs Miami. Chance to win started at 40%, low 9%, high better than 99%.
2020Miami 52-10Florida State lost 10-52 at Miami. Chance to win started at 19%, low under 1%, high 20%.
2019Miami 27-10Florida State lost 10-27 vs Miami. Chance to win started at 51%, low 1%, high 64%.
2018Miami 28-27Florida State lost 27-28 at Miami. Chance to win started at 16%, low 10%, high 95%.
“Man I can't do these commercials anymore please god”
A Miami fan
Read a quote from each meeting
  • 2026
    “Man I can't do these commercials anymore please god”
    A Miami fan
  • 2025
    “Let's see what trick play gus runs next”
    A Miami fan

Share the loudest meeting

This season’s plays, Florida State and Miami

Official highlights with our numbers, from the 12 plays on film when they met.

  1. Overtime, 0:00 · Miami down 7, ties itJavian Mallory runs 25 yards for a touchdownFlorida State at Miami, week 7Overtime, 0:00 · Miami 35, Florida State 35Overtime touchdown for MiamiOvertime touchdown for MiamiJ.Mallory rush left for 25 yards gain to the FSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q3, 4:09 · Florida State breaks the tieAshton Daniels finds Tre Wisner for a 28-yard touchdownFlorida State at Miami, week 7Q3, 4:09 · Florida State 21, Miami 14Go-ahead score for Florida State in the third quarterGo-ahead score for Florida State in the third quarterNo Huddle A.Daniels pass complete short left to Q.Wisner caught at UM31, for 28 yards to the UM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q4, 9:33 · Miami down 7, ties itJavian Mallory runs 3 yards for a touchdownFlorida State at Miami, week 7Q4, 9:33 · Miami 21, Florida State 21▲16%Miami’s chance to win, 61% to 77%▲16%Miami’s chance to win, 61% to 77%J.Mallory rush left for 3 yards gain to the FSU00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q4, 2:39 · Florida State down 7, ties itAshton Daniels finds Duce Robinson for a 75-yard touchdownFlorida State at Miami, week 7Q4, 2:39 · Florida State 28, Miami 282:39Game-tying touchdown for Florida State with 2:39 left2:39Game-tying touchdown for Florida State with 2:39 leftGame-tying touchdown for Florida State with 2:39 leftA.Daniels pass complete deep left to D.Robinson caught at UM50, for 75 yards to the UM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q4, 8:57 · Florida State tiedQ. Wisner fumbles and Miami recoversFlorida State at Miami, week 7Q4, 8:57 · Florida State 21, Miami 217Florida State’s turnover led to a touchdown7Florida State’s turnover led to a touchdownFlorida State’s turnover led to a touchdownQ.Wisner rush middle for 24 yards gain to the UM39 fumbled by Q.Wisner at FSU49 forced by E.O'Connor recovered by UM X.Lucas at UM39, End Of PlayWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q4, 2:49 · Miami breaks the tieDarian Mensah finds Elija Lofton for a 3-yard touchdownFlorida State at Miami, week 7Q4, 2:49 · Miami 28, Florida State 212:49Go-ahead touchdown for Miami with 2:49 left2:49Go-ahead touchdown for Miami with 2:49 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Miami with 2:49 leftElija Lofton 3 yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jake Weinberg Kick)Watch from this playESPN College Football

Meetings with their own story page

11 meetings in our archive, 2015 to 2025.