7-1, won 5 straight, on track for 10-2 in the regular season.
Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 3-3
2020First Responder BowlL 24-31
2021Frisco BowlL 24-38
2022Cure BowlL 12-18
2023Frisco BowlW 35-17
2024Myrtle Beach BowlW 44-15
2025First Responder BowlW 57-20
This week Wed Nov 4
- Last gameW 42-19 at Tulane Sat Oct 24
- This season7-1 won 5 straight
- On track for10-2 regular season
- Nextat Florida Atlantic Thu Nov 5
- Stature53rd of 138 FBS programs
What the result changed
- Playoff odds 10% → 16% CFB Zeitgeist forecast, before and after
Thursday: at Florida Atlantic
Thu Nov 5, 7:30 pm ET 
· Florida Atlantic is 5-3 · First meeting between Traylor and Zach Kittley as head coaches · UTSA’s chance to win: 83% (the site’s model)
One headline named him in the last 7 days
85th of 138 FBS head coaches
The headlines, Oct 25–Nov 4 from several outlets
Yahoo SportsDave Aranda replacements: Ranking Baylor's best candidates, from Jason Eck to Jeff TraylorSun Oct 25
On3UTSA's Jeff Traylor addresses speculation linking him to Baylor head coach openingMon Oct 26
FootballScoopScoop — UTSA: Jeff Traylor was asked about the Baylor opening and…Wed Oct 28- FootballScoopJeff Traylor comments on Baylor football openingTue Oct 27
Heartland College SportsIs UTSA’s Jeff Traylor the Solution At Baylor?Thu Oct 29
Houston ChronicleA $500 interception and running game at UT and Jeff Traylor to Baylor? | BohlsWed Oct 28
San Antonio Express-NewsWhat UTSA's Jeff Traylor said about the open job at BaylorWed Oct 28- BVM SportsUTSA’s Jeff Traylor, Four Roadrunners Earn Midseason All-Texas HonorsWed Oct 28
YardbarkerUTSA's Jeff Traylor a coach to watch for the Baylor openingTue Oct 27- BVM SportsBaylor Football Coaching Search 2026: Jeff Traylor Emerges as TargetMon Oct 26
Offense: 29th of 138 per play. Defense: 107th.
4 games left
- Thu Nov 5at Florida Atlantic (5-3)83%
- Sat Nov 14vs. North Texas (6-2)ESPNU65%
- Sat Nov 21at UAB (4-4)74%
- Sat Nov 28vs. Tulsa (4-4)80%
Percent: UTSA’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.
How the season got here
Where UTSA stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).
- Oct 26–Nov 1No game9 headlines · 45th of 138UTSA's Jeff Traylor addresses speculation linking him to Baylor head coach opening On3
- Oct 19–25W 42-19 at Tulane0 headlines
- Oct 12–18W 38-34 vs. Navy1 headline · 82nd of 138
- Oct 5–11W 31-24 vs. South Florida0 headlines
- Sep 28–Oct 4W 16-14 at Rice0 headlines
- Sep 21–27 · rebuiltW 59-45 vs. Colorado State0 headlines
Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.
Watch the biggest plays from UTSA’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.
Report card
Offense carries it: 63rd percentile offense, below the median defense at 32nd.
UTSA, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Poach watch
This winter
Our poach model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, his program, his pay and his background. Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches this season. The zone words describe the market’s interest; none of them says he is leaving.
What drives his number
The biggest factors in his profile, each against the typical FBS head coach today. The games he has left are priced into the number, not listed here.
- ▲ HigherHis team is 7-1, outscoring opponents by 7.5 points a game
- ▼ LowerAge 58 · in the state he was born in
- ▲ HigherHis 7th season at UTSA
How good is this number? It ranks a head coach who leaves for another head-coaching job ahead of one who stays 78 to 82% of the time, and its average came within a point of the share who actually left. What it can’t do
Tested on every FBS head coach from 2012 through 2025, each season scored by a model fit only on the seasons before it. From three games on, given one coach who left for a head-coaching job elsewhere or an NFL coordinator job and one who stayed, it ranked the one who left ahead 79 to 82% of the time; in a season’s first two games, 78%. Its average chance came within a point of the share who actually left. It counts a move a coach makes while he still holds the job; when his school ends it, that doesn’t count, even if another school then hires him.
- The live number prices the games he has left with the power model’s ratings from this season. The test priced them with each team’s rating from the season before, because ratings made during past seasons were not kept, so this live version could not be replayed.
- Programs new to FBS have no FBS record before this season in the data it reads, so their coaches are scored without one.
- It is frozen: it learns nothing from 2026 until a deliberate refit.
- A coach hired in December needs his background (age, alma mater, the state he was born in) added before his first game, or he shows as not rated.
Fans
Fan chatter
- Oct 17W 38-34 vs. Navy
Traylor is livid lol
UTSA fan - Sep 19L 6-30 at Texas
Coach traylor to you
UTSA fan
Several stories about him in the last 30 days
Thu Nov 5: Florida Atlantic
from several outlets and r/CFB
What UTSA's Jeff Traylor said about the open job at Baylor - San Antonio Express-News
San Antonio Express-News Oct 28 · one outlet
What they’re talking about
The headlines for each topic are on the News tab.
Many stories about him this season
from many outlets and r/CFB
UTSA coach Jeff Traylor wants out of series vs. Texas, despite a big payday
Houston Chronicle Sep 21 · one outlet
What they’re talking about
The headlines for each topic are on the News tab.
Could another school hire him? What has he said?
Across his career
23 stories about him across 7 seasons
Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Nov 4.
Stats
Big games
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
3-2 against his rivals. Just 1-4 against Jeff Monken.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Passed more than the situation called for under Mattox/Stein and Burke.
5,646 run and pass snaps at UTSA, 2020–2025, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Five numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
His recruiting, really
His 6 ranked UTSA classes of his own have averaged #86 nationally — best #59, worst #123.
His class — he had the full signing cycleTransition — he was hired mid-cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 162 of 163 players. The other 1 is a holdover from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 19% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
This tenure spans the 2021 transfer-portal tracking floor: seasons before 2021 structurally cannot be classified portal-vs-not (they land in 'unknown' below), so the portal-share figure understates how many pre-2021 arrivals might have been transfers under the pre-portal-tracking transfer rules.
21% of his 242 new players since 2022 came through the portal (FBS programs, same seasons: 23%). His share was 14% in 2022 and 25% in 2026.
Graded on the players who arrived and the players who left together, his portal seasons came out better than most FBS programs’ in 2 and worse than most in 1 of the 5 seasons graded. our read
Each player counts once, in the season he arrived. 2021, the first season of portal tracking here, is left off because its arrival records look incomplete (about 31 new players per FBS team, against 52 in 2022). Portal grade: the site’s position-value-weighted scoring (the same engine as the Portal Heat feed and the “Who won the portal” grade): the value of the players who came in minus the value of the ones who left, ranked against every FBS program’s grade that same season. A season with fewer than 4 transfers in and out is not graded.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his UTSA rosters have averaged 3 lb heavier than the FBS average (2020–2026). In the three seasons before he arrived, UTSA’s line averaged 4 lb heavier than the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 86 of 129 signees (67%) across his 2020–2026 tenure, drawn from 21 states in all. Next: FL (8).
72% of his signees come from TX and its 4 border states (LA 4, AR 2, OK 1).
Off this map: 5 signees to the west (CA 5), 3 to the east (MA, NY, others) and 1 to the north (SD). 1 signee without a plottable hometown location not shown.
- median hometown distance
- 231 mi
- within 100 mi
- 22%
- within 500 mi
- 74%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 12%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. Most were someone else’s recruits: 2 arrived under Frank Wilson; 1 he brought in himself.
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R5.33 | Zah Frazier | Cornerback |  Chicago Bears | |
| 2022 | R4.29 | Spencer Burford | Offensive Tackle |  San Francisco 49ers | recruited under Frank Wilson |
| 2022 | R5.10 | Tariq Woolen | Cornerback |  Seattle Seahawks | recruited under Frank Wilson |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
News
Stories about him
Headlines, grouped by what they are about. Each is the outlet’s own.
This week
Press conference and quotes
- On3 +1UTSA's Jeff Traylor addresses speculation linking him to Baylor head coach openingOct 26
- FootballScoopJeff Traylor comments on Baylor football openingOct 27
- FootballScoopScoop — UTSA: Jeff Traylor was asked about the Baylor opening and…Oct 28
Linked to another job
- Yahoo SportsDave Aranda replacements: Ranking Baylor's best candidates, from Jason Eck to Jeff TraylorOct 25
- San Antonio Express-NewsWhat UTSA's Jeff Traylor said about the open job at Baylor - San Antonio Express-NewsOct 28
This season
Press conference and quotes
- On3 +1UTSA's Jeff Traylor addresses speculation linking him to Baylor head coach openingOct 26
- FootballScoopSearching for a way to improve their road record, UTSA and Jeff Traylor are utilizing a "Triangle of Toughness" idea from his video coordinatorAug 14
- UTSA AthleticsSeventh season of Jeff Traylor Radio Show to premiere Sept. 2 at The County LineAug 21
- On3Everything UTSA head coach Jeff Traylor said about the No. 1 Texas LonghornsSep 15
- Anyone catch Jeff Traylor’s scheduling comments?Sep 17
Game preview
- Houston ChronicleUTSA coach Jeff Traylor wants out of series vs. Texas, despite a big paydaySep 21
- On3UTSA HC Jeff Traylor Joins Inside Texas to Preview Upcoming Texas MatchupSep 15
- Yahoo SportsWhy even Jeff Traylor, ever a realist, doesn't think UTSA will beat Texas Week 3 | GoldenSep 18
- The first 100 UT Health students to hit up Jeff Traylor will get a free ticket to UTSA vs. Colorado State Football gameSep 22
Profile and feature
- San Antonio Express-News +1Inside UTSA's new spin on Jeff Traylor's Triangle of Toughness - San Antonio Express-NewsAug 18
All 2 articles
San Antonio Express-NewsInside UTSA's new spin on Jeff Traylor's Triangle of ToughnessYahoo SportsInside UTSA's new spin on Jeff Traylor's Triangle of Toughness - San Antonio Express-NewsWhy coach Jeff Traylor has made 2026 a year of change for UTSA - San Antonio Express-NewsAug 25
Linked to another job
- Yahoo SportsDave Aranda replacements: Ranking Baylor's best candidates, from Jason Eck to Jeff TraylorOct 25
- San Antonio Express-NewsWhat UTSA's Jeff Traylor said about the open job at Baylor - San Antonio Express-NewsOct 28
In his own words
Every quote, back to August 2026
In his own words
It’s a good thing [to be mentioned for the Baylor opening]
[I’m] really proud of my kids
[Tulane’s defense] was doing a bunch of stuff that we hadn’t seen them do a lot of
We’ve kind of just slow-played it for years, knowing I was going to have Frank Harris all the way to the end. Knowing I was going to have Rashad Wisdom all the way to the end. Knowing that player would start taking over and teaching for me
Well, the guys that would teach for me now, most of those guys are gone.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Builder meaningfully raised a program that wasn't one
1st-best UTSA tenure of 3 by the numbers.
Followed Frank Wilson (2016–2019).
| Season | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||||
| Record | 7-5 | 12-2 | 11-3 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 7-1 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | L bowl | L bowl | W bowl | W bowl | W bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | ||||||||
| OC | Barry Lunney Jr. | Barry Lunney Jr. | Matt Mattox / Will Stein | Justin Burke | Justin Burke | Justin Burke | Rick Bowie | |
| DC | Tyrone Nix | Rod Wright / Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||||
| Offense | 68 | 75 | 82 | 64 | 68 | 71 | 72 | |
| Defense | 51 | 28 | 69 | 70 | 85 | 68 | 32 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 38.8 | 41.1 | 47.1 | 44.9 | 46.6 | 45.5 | 43.3 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 47.5 | 41.5 | 46.2 | 40.4 | 46.6 | 50.5 | 27.5 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 34.9 | 29.4 | 41.7 | 38.7 | 34.0 | 47.8 | 26.9 | |
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.
Coach of the Year: Conference USA Coach of the Year (2021), Conference USA Coach of the Year (2022)
Was he good?
The data leans positive, where the data can separate from zero: every conclusive reading points the same way.
+17.8 pts at UTSA · #88 of 1290 · top quarterModel fit as of 2026-09-04.