5-3, on track for 8-4 in the regular season.
Bowls and playoffs: 1-2
2022Cure BowlW 18-12
Tulane
2024Gasparilla BowlL 8-33
2025CFP first roundL 10-41Sat Nov 7, 7:45 pm ET 
· Oklahoma is 4-4 · Sumrall vs. Brent Venables: 0-1 · Florida’s chance to win: 71% (the site’s model)
He wants to play”
Florida football coach Jon Sumrall on VBIII
Gainesville Sun headline · Mon Nov 2
Yahoo SportsFlorida's Jon Sumrall Concerned Loss to Georgia Could Send Team SpiralingTue Nov 3Yahoo SportsFlorida HC Jon Sumrall Not Happy With Offense After Loss to GeorgiaSun Nov 1
Sports IllustratedJon Sumrall Sends Clear Message Ahead of Gators Clash with SoonersTue Nov 3Sports IllustratedJon Sumrall Sends Message to Gators Fans after 27-8 Loss to GeorgiaSun Nov 1
On3Jon Sumrall details Florida's depth chart change at QB for OklahomaMon Nov 2On3WATCH: Jon Sumrall talks QB competition, Oklahoma game & moreMon Nov 2
Saturday Down SouthJon Sumrall says Vernell Brown III ‘doing everything in his power to play’ amid prolonged absenceMon Nov 2Gainesville SunJon Sumrall pleased with development of Florida WR Justin WilliamsTue Nov 3Gainesville SunFlorida football coach Jon Sumrall won't reveal starting QB for OklahomaMon Nov 2
The Independent Florida AlligatorJon Sumrall gives insight into quarterback swap, doesn’t announce starterMon Nov 271%
50%
75%Percent: Florida’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.
Where Florida stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).
The New York Times“Hated it for our football team”Everything Jon Sumrall said of Florida's 27-8 loss vs. Georgia, Oct 31
ESPNESPNYahoo Sports“No excuse for it”Everything Jon Sumrall said after Florida’s loss to South Carolina, Oct 10The New York Times“Embarrassing performance in every phase”Jon Sumrall details Florida's 45-17 loss at Missouri, Oct 3
CBS SportsEach week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.
Watch the biggest plays from Florida’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.
This season
Our hot-seat model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, and his contract (a bigger buyout, relative to pay, makes a change costlier). Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches with 3+ games this season.
His first rated season here.
The chance he’s out by the end of that season, as it stood after every week of his tenure here, by today’s model.
The biggest factors, each against the typical FBS job today.
Tenure is one of this model’s strongest inputs, but its weight was set when retirements like Nick Saban’s and Bob Stoops’ still counted as being pushed out, so it overstates how much tenure matters.
A different comparison: past coaches, not today’s, grouped by one fact at a time. Neither line knows the games he has left or his contract, so they can sit above or below his chance.
How good is this number? Checked on every FBS coach from 2010 to 2025, with its percentages calibrated each season on earlier years only: they track what happened — coaches it put near 25% were out about a quarter of the time — and a version pricing the games left with the previous season’s ratings ranked jobs as well as the ranking this page used before. Each week it learns from coaches who were still on the job at that point, so a firing during the season counts. In the Boiling zone it has run a few points high. Every job, and the method.
This winter
Our poach model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, his program, his pay and his background. Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches this season. The zone words describe the market’s interest; none of them says he is leaving.
The biggest factors in his profile, each against the typical FBS head coach today. The games he has left are priced into the number, not listed here.
Tested on every FBS head coach from 2012 through 2025, each season scored by a model fit only on the seasons before it. From three games on, given one coach who left for a head-coaching job elsewhere or an NFL coordinator job and one who stayed, it ranked the one who left ahead 79 to 82% of the time; in a season’s first two games, 78%. Its average chance came within a point of the share who actually left. It counts a move a coach makes while he still holds the job; when his school ends it, that doesn’t count, even if another school then hires him.
Fired the bum 3 years too late but sumrall has looked the part so far. Crushing overmatched competition and look confident
I trust Coach Jon Sumrall and his staff will get us back to winning and winning BIG.
Florida · Based on 3 comments from 3 posters across 3 threads · Sep 11, 2026–Sep 20, 2026 · via CFB, Florida Gators, FloridaGators
Jon Sumrall's loyalty to Philo is going to cost us this gameFlorida fan
Anyone talking about firing Sumrall atp is a nut case lol. But last week was really bad and they should feel badFlorida fan
Flo "Fire Jon Sumrall" ridaFlorida fan
Fire Jon SumrallFlorida fan
Part of Sumrall's 5 year plan is throwing the FSU game to insure Norvell keeps his jobFlorida fan
Love the fire from Sumrall. Gotta get those penalties cleaned upFlorida fan
Sumrall lit a fire under the defense at half timeFlorida fan
Sat Nov 7: Oklahoma
19th of 104 FBS head coaches · from many outlets and r/CFB
Jon Sumrall apologizes to Florida fans after Georgia loss: ‘Clearly not good enough’
Saturday Down South +1 Nov 2 · a few outlets
Roster talk is up: many stories in the last two weeks, from several stories the two weeks before.
The headlines for each topic are on the News tab.
from dozens of outlets and r/CFB
Florida coach Jon Sumrall questions being favored against No. 4 Ole Miss in the Swamp
Baltimore Sun +4 Sep 21 · several outlets
The headlines for each topic are on the News tab.
Stories we tracked, by school.
FloridaDozens of stories2026 to nowMost about: press conference and quotes, game preview, quarterback and depth chart.
247Sports +2Everything Jon Sumrall said ahead of Florida's season-openerAug 31
Montgomery Advertiser +3Are Alex Golesh and Jon Sumrall friends? ‘Not this week,’ Golesh saysSep 14Saturday Down South +2Everything Jon Sumrall Said After Florida's 52-28 Win Over Ole MissSep 26247Sports +2Everything Jon Sumrall said of Florida's 27-8 loss vs. Georgia: 'Hated it for our football team'Oct 31
TulaneDozens of stories2024 to 2025Most about: press conference and quotes, recruiting, profile and feature.
Gainesville Sun +1Why Florida AD Scott Stricklin sees early signs of success in Jon Sumrall - The News-PressJun 10
Locked OnJon Sumrall's stock is blowing up and it's great for Auburn Football, John CohenNov 26Locked OnWhy Florida State’s faith in Mike Norvell Could backfireDec 2Locked OnFlorida Gators out of Lane Kiffin Sweepstakes, Jon Sumrall and Jedd Fisch TargetedDec 12
Troy2022 to 2023not trackedCould another school hire him? What has he said?
Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Nov 4.
Pick a job to see its years on their own.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
2-0 against his rivals at Troy.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0-1 against his rivals at Florida.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
2-1 against his rivals. Nobody he faced three or more times has a winning record against him.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Four numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
None of his Florida classes is ranked and fully his yet. Across his other stops, his own classes averaged #84 nationally.
TroyTulaneFloridaAcross every program: 2 ranked classes of his own, averaging #84 nationally.
His class — he had the full signing cycleTransition — he was hired mid-cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.
Troy→Tulane2024Tulane→Florida2026Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.
of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 58 of 145 players. The other 87 are holdovers from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 43% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2026–2026Counting players who have since left: 43% of the 58 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
is his biggest recruiting state: 11 of 20 signees (55%) across his 2026–2026 tenure, drawn from 6 states in all. Next: AL (3).
80% of his signees come from FL and its 2 border states (AL 3, GA 2).
Off this map: 2 signees to the west (TX 2).
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
Headlines, grouped by what they are about. Each is the outlet’s own.
Quarterback and depth chart
Gainesville Sun +1Florida football coach Jon Sumrall discusses the status of the Gators’ QBs prior to the matchup vs GeorgiaOct 29Gainesville Sun +1Florida football coach Jon Sumrall explains QB decision, VBIII statusOct 31Gainesville Sun +1Florida football coach Jon Sumrall won't reveal starting QB for OklahomaNov 2Sports IllustratedJon Sumrall Names Aaron Philo Starting Quarterback for Clash Against Georgia FootballOct 30The Independent Florida AlligatorJon Sumrall gives insight into quarterback swap, doesn’t announce starterNov 2Press conference and quotes
247Sports +2Everything Jon Sumrall said of Florida's 27-8 loss vs. Georgia: 'Hated it for our football team'Oct 31Yahoo SportsFlorida HC Jon Sumrall Not Happy With Offense After Loss to GeorgiaNov 1Sports Illustrated5 Key Quotes from Gators HC Jon Sumrall After Loss to GeorgiaNov 1Saturday Down SouthJon Sumrall says Vernell Brown III ‘doing everything in his power to play’ amid prolonged absenceNov 2Game preview
On3Jon Sumrall calls himself a 'dumbass' after drawing sideline interference penalty vs. GeorgiaOct 31Gainesville SunJon Sumrall fails in first Florida football coaching test vs rival UGAOct 31
Orlando SentinelGators face season-defining November as Sumrall demands Florida finishes strongNov 3Sports IllustratedJon Sumrall Sends Clear Message Ahead of Gators Clash with SoonersNov 3Arrest or discipline
Saturday Down South +1Jon Sumrall apologizes to Florida fans after Georgia loss: ‘Clearly not good enough’Nov 2Reported by Saturday Down South and UGA WireGainesville SunFlorida football coach Jon Sumrall apologizes to the fan base after the Gators’ loss to GeorgiaOct 31Reported by Gainesville SunThe New York TimesJon Sumrall apologizes to Florida fans after Georgia extends Cocktail Party dominanceOct 31Reported by The New York TimesPress conference and quotes
247Sports +2Everything Jon Sumrall said ahead of Florida's season-openerAug 31Montgomery Advertiser +3Are Alex Golesh and Jon Sumrall friends? ‘Not this week,’ Golesh saysSep 14Saturday Down South +2Everything Jon Sumrall Said After Florida's 52-28 Win Over Ole MissSep 26247Sports +2Everything Jon Sumrall said of Florida's 27-8 loss vs. Georgia: 'Hated it for our football team'Oct 31Game preview
Gainesville Sun +1Jon Sumrall’s Gators down FAU in dominant season-opening winSep 6Gainesville Sun +1Jon Sumrall era begins. Swampcast previews Florida football opener vs FAUSep 2
Heavy +1Florida Gators Get Strong Jon Sumrall Year 1 Prediction From ESPNSep 3Quarterback and depth chart
Locked On +2Jon Sumrall announces Aaron Philo as expected Week 1 starting quarterbackAug 24Orlando SentinelJon Sumrall in no rush to name Florida’s starting quarterback as camp opensAug 3
A to Z Sports +1Jon Sumrall names starting quarterback for the Florida Gators and it's about timeAug 24Heavy +1Florida’s Jon Sumrall Announced QB News Before 2026 SeasonAug 24Gainesville Sun +1Florida football coach Jon Sumrall discusses the status of the Gators’ QBs prior to the matchup vs GeorgiaOct 29Profile and feature
Field Level Media +2Florida opens the Jon Sumrall era in the Swamp against Florida AtlanticSep 3
USA Today +1Florida is back. Jon Sumrall needed only four games to prove it | OpinionSep 26A to Z SportsJon Sumrall continues to prove why he was the right coach for the Florida GatorsAug 1Gainesville SunWhy Florida’s Jon Sumrall wasn't ready to let Greg McMahon walk away from footballAug 6Win
GatorCountry.comFlorida Gators cruise past FAU to give Jon Sumrall’s his first win as a GatorSep 5Gainesville Sun +1Florida football opens Jon Sumrall era with dominant win over FAUSep 6Saturday Down South +1Jon Sumrall regarding win over Texas: ‘We still suck’Oct 19Loss
FootballScoop +1Jon Sumrall claims son sent disappointed text after South Carolina loss: 'I don't know that this is forgivable'Oct 13On3Jon Sumrall details Florida's second scrimmage as fall camp endsAug 24We both have been incredibly high on Sumrall, and all the haters out there came after us when they fell apart. But I think he showed yesterday what he is capable of. I wish I could say the same thing about Steve Sarkisian, someone I’ve always liked and respected
(Jon) Sumrall walks into The Swamp with a brand new staff a brand new offense and no one to run it. It’s down to Aaron Philo and Tramell Jones. Sumrall’s scouting report on the depth chart was 3 words — ‘it’s very fluid,'
My relationship with Coach Craddock and Coach Sumrall was big. Coach Faulkner, too
I’m not even sure Coach Sumrall knows this, but I did some homework and had a friend of mine gather about 10 interviews that he did and I had them pick them, because I didn’t have time to run through all of them
Jon Sumrall, I think more so, not necessarily just the type of players he brings in, but just his ability to galvanize, put a team together and get them all to believe in each other. And then they improve. Every single John Sumrall team you watch, they’re just absolutely improving week to week to week to week
Sumrall is a good coach
Head coach was a dumbass
The chance you’ll see them both is real
I’ve said the whole time I think we can win with either guy
It helps us get better
Tramell is gonna be ready when his number is called, and he’s gonna continue to have opportunities as we move forward
If I do, they're not family to me
I’m going to be very transparent with you, in the spring, I think Philo was way ahead because of understanding the offense and Tramell was significantly behind. I think they’ve both taken some steps up. Tramell has probably had more upward mobility, room to grow because he’s learning the offense
How you walk into a place says a lot about you, and how you leave says even more
Well, I’d say no two decisions are alike. You know, like Lane and I are friends, and Lane and I talked several times through the process of October, November about what it was looking like for both of our schedules of how things were going to unfold
Lane and I talked as we were going through it
You would be kicked out of our team meeting. I swear
You are right Tom. I wasn’t serious. I was joking
There is a clear delineation
Well, I’d say no two decisions are alike
It was challenging to do it
It’s mixing and matching, and we’re not done. We’ll go through training camp and continue to work different groupings. I do feel like we’re way ahead of where we were starting spring
Just because you start Game 1 doesn’t mean you start Game 12
If we don’t improve, we’re going to get our ass beat
I would have stayed at Tulane and not taken any other job
That’s not a shot at anybody.
You probably have to start with Florida State
I think I nailed it
Those guys have to have a freaking great summer, or we got no chance. Like, no chance
We gotta wake the beast up. It’s time we wake this thing up. This is a sleeping giant
Do we know who the starter is today? No. No clue
I think probably one of the biggest things you have to do is, we have this transfer portal culture of transient players, where we have a lot of players on this team who don’t understand what Florida- Florida State and Florida-Georgia is all about
I got too much sh*t to do
I kind of feel like I’m talking to myself 20 years ago
I was like, ‘Can you say that again?'
The ultimate competitor, ridiculously detailed, super intense
Very, very blown away with how much he’s been open and willing to give me some feedback since I’ve been at Florida.
We’ve got a lot of work to do to figure out what that looks like, and who’s the starter and all that stuff
Gotta earn it. Gotta earn the logo
Hired into programs rated 54 to 54 (Power Program II tier). Rough match, not calibrated yet — ranked on what the job inherited alone. Coaches hired into this same job aren’t used as comps.
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
Followed Billy Napier (2022–2025).
Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.
Followed Willie Fritz (2016–2023) · succeeded by Will Hall (2026–now).
| Season | 2024 | 2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 9-5 | 11-3 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | CFP loss | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | Joe Craddock / Evan McKissack | Joe Craddock / Evan McKissack | |
| DC | Greg Gasparato / Tayler Polk | Greg Gasparato / Tayler Polk | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 85 | 78 | |
| Defense | 92 | 60 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 35.3 | 45.0 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 29.2 | 36.0 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 44.1 | 34.9 | |
Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
A portal-built roster.
Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
2 NFL Draft picks: Caleb Ransaw (2025), Micah Robinson (2025)
1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Rayshawn Pleasant (2024)
Followed Chip Lindsey (2019–2021) · succeeded by Gerad Parker (2024–now).
| Season | 2022 | 2023 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 12-2 | 11-2 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | Joe Craddock | Joe Craddock | |
| DC | Shiel Wood | Greg Gasparato | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 35 | 64 | |
| Defense | 94 | 97 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 39.0 | 43.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 41.0 | 44.5 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 47.7 | 38.8 | |
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and outperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
3 NFL Draft picks: Jake Andrews (2023), Javon Solomon (2024), Kimani Vidal (2024)
Coach of the Year: Sun Belt Coach of the Year (2022)
Defensive coordinator across 2 programs, 2 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.
How to read this. Coordinator seasons come from our coordinator career records; head-coaching-era seasons are the same unit's FBS-relative percentile for those years, regardless of who coached it, read directly from the staff assignments record. A role change (a “hinge”) is a fact, never a performance verdict — only the season-by-season data itself is colored by outcome.
