Kevin Sumlin
Followed Rich Rodriguez. Kevin Sumlin held Arizona at National Program II for 3 seasons.
Career arc
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached Power Program in his 5th career season — faster than 30% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #251 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).
Style position and drift
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
2–9 against his rivals. Winless in 4 tries against Les Miles.
His own effect, isolated
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coaching career
11th-best Arizona tenure of 20 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Followed Rich Rodriguez (2012–2017) · succeeded by Jedd Fisch (2021–2023).
| Season | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||
| Record | 5–7 | 4–8 | 0–5 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #61 | #54 | #62 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||
| Pass rate | 44.1 | 48.3 | 50.5 | |
| Coordinators | ||||
| OC | Noel Mazzone | Noel Mazzone | Noel Mazzone | |
| DC | Marcel Yates | Marcel Yates / Chuck Cecil | Paul Rhoads | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||
| Offense | 62 | 43 | 14 | |
| Defense | 34 | 16 | 18 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | ||||
| 1st-down pass% | 39.1 | 46.5 | 49.2 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 39.7 | 50.6 | 42.9 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 29.7 | 29.0 | 23.5 | |
4 NFL Draft picks: Dane Cruikshank (2018), PJ Johnson (2019), Roy Lopez (2021), Gary Brightwell (2021)
7th-best Texas A&M tenure of 19 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Followed Mike Sherman (2008–2011) · succeeded by Jimbo Fisher (2018–2023).
| Season | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||
| Record | 11–2 | 9–4 | 8–5 | 8–5 | 8–5 | 7–5 | |
| Postseason | — | — | W bowl | CFP loss | L bowl | CFP loss | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | #5 | #11 | #18 | #13 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | 55.0 | 48.8 | 49.2 | 47.0 | |
| Coordinators | |||||||
| OC | — | — | Jake Spavital | Jake Spavital | Noel Mazzone | Noel Mazzone | |
| DC | — | — | Mark Snyder | John Chavis | John Chavis | John Chavis | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||
| Offense | — | — | 58 | 29 | 76 | 54 | |
| Defense | — | — | 22 | 70 | 54 | 53 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | |||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | 49.3 | 47.1 | 45.1 | 42.3 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | 50.0 | 42.2 | 49.1 | 42.9 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | 40.7 | 21.7 | 29.3 | 25.6 | |
25 NFL Draft picks: Ryan Tannehill (2012), Randy Bullock (2012), Cyrus Gray (2012), Terrence Frederick (2012), Luke Joeckel (2013), Christine Michael (2013), Damontre Moore (2013), Sean Porter (2013) + 17 more
14th-best Houston tenure of 16 by the numbers.
Followed Art Briles (2003–2007) · succeeded by Tony Levine (2012–2014).
3 NFL Draft picks: Donnie Avery (2008), Sebastian Vollmer (2009), Fendi Onobun (2010)